First Week Not Kind To SEC Basketball

While Arkansas exploded in its first game, it got brought down to reality by 20th-ranked Louisville. Several other SEC teams have lost already as well.

 One of those teams is 18th-ranked Mississippi State.

 The biggest surprise for the conference, however, was a positive one. Rotnei Clarke blew past SEC and Arkansas records on his way to a 13-of-17 performance from downtown to post 51 points against Alcorn State.

 Here are Week One’s awards.

 

PLAYER OF THE WEEK: Rotnei Clarke (33.5 ppg, 2.0 stl, 66.7% 3PT)

 COACH OF THE WEEK: Trent Johnson (3-0 with win over Western Kentucky)

 FRESHMAN OF THE WEEK: Marshawn Powell (16.0 ppg, 11.0 rpg, 2.5 blk)

 

A breakdown of each team’s performance thus far follows.

 

Alabama (1-1)

The Tide joined the ranks of those who lost their home opener. Cornell, picked to win the Ivy League, came in and stunned Alabama in Tuscaloosa on Saturday.

 A youth-dominated team can be both a positive and negative thing. Short-term, it’s going to make the losses add up. Long-term, the team will have some depth and experienced talent.

 Such is the case for Alabama. JaMychal Green led the way against Cornell, notching the game’s only double-double with 17 points and 10 rebounds.

 In the Tide’s second game, freshman Tony Mitchell came off the bench and put up 23 points on 10-of-14 shooting in just 24 minutes.

 Poor defense and rebounding is the theme early on. ‘Bama’s opponents are shooting a collective 45.0 percent from the floor and outrebounding the Tide by 2.5 rebounds per game.

 That must improve if Anthony Grant’s team wants to turn this ship around.

 

ALABAMA GRADE: D

Arkansas (1-1)

Jaws across the nation dropped when Arkansas’ box score against Alcorn State was released.

 Arkansas won 130-68—but that wasn’t even the impressive part.

 Rotnei Clarke shattered the SEC record on his way to shooting 13-of-17 from long range and scoring 51 points.

 The ‘Backs knocked down 53.3 percent of their threes and won by over 60 points. Some thought they might be able to give Louisville a run for their money.

 They did, for a while.

 Unfortunately for John Pelphrey, the Cardinals fired at will in the second half and cruised to a 96-66 victory.

 Clarke also came back to earth but still led his team in scoring with 16 points, this time on 3-of-7 shooting from three.

 Even in its blowout of Alcorn State, Arkansas barely outrebounded its opponent and was outrebounded by 13 against Louisville. Rebounding seems to be the weak area that needs the most attentions for the Hogs.

 

ARKANSAS GRADE: B-

 

Auburn (1-1)

The Tigers have had a tough early-season schedule and came out with a decent home win over visiting Niagara in their first game.

 A trip to Missouri State produced a somewhat predictable 73-62 loss, but one that won’t scar the RPI too badly.

 DeWayne Reed is the team’s most reliable scorer early on, as he led all scorers against Niagara with 24, despite an 8-of-20 shooting performance. Ball hog anyone? He followed that performance with a respectable 12 points in the Missouri State loss.

 Auburn, always a small team, is battling rebounding issues early on. The team outrebounded Niagara by one and was outrebounded by six against Missouri State.

 While the team won’t suddenly grow a few inches anytime soon, spacing and foot placement can make all the difference on the glass.

 

AUBURN GRADE: B-

 

Florida (1-0)

Florida’s first game against Stetson went about as well as Billy Donovan could have hoped for.

 Scoring was balanced, defense was aggressive, rebounding was impressive.

 There were some warning signs, though.

 Florida managed to hit just 1-of-13 treys for 7.7 percent. On top of that, Nick Calathes’ departure left its mark, as the Gators dished out just 11 assists to 18 turnovers.

 Only time will tell if the team’s shooting and ball-handling will improve.

 Alex Tyus recorded his first double-double of the season in the team’s first game, scoring 12 points on 6-of-8 shooting and 13 rebounds.

 

FLORIDA GRADE: A-

 

Georgia (1-1)

As was expected, the Bulldogs are looking fairly awful early on.

 Mark Fox’s new squad managed to just squeak by New Orleans at home by a 67-59 score before falling to Wofford 60-57.

 Trey Thompkins is leading the Bulldogs in nearly every respect. He’s averaging 19.5 points and 14 points per game with double-doubles in each contest.

 Offensive inconsistency is burdening this team, with excessive three-point misses the most obvious case. So far, Georgia has shot 30 three-pointers and made just six of those.

 

GEORGIA GRADE: D

 

#4 Kentucky (2-0)

After a less than outstanding start to the season with a 75-59 home victory against Morehead State, the Wildcats escaped certain ridicule on a step-back jumper from freshman John Wall with 0.5 seconds remaining to defeat Miami (OH) 72-70 in Lexington.

 Eric Bledsoe, another big UK freshman, came out firing in Kentucky’s first game, notching 24 points and seven rebounds—though he turned the ball over as many times as he hit the boards.

 Wall scored 19 in his debut in the Blue’s second game, while Patrick Patterson and DeMarcus Cousins both pulled down double-doubles.

 Rebounding and scoring don’t seem to be a problem for the ‘Cats. Defense, however, does. Their opponents are shooting a combined 42.5 percent from the floor and 38.0 percent from behind the arc.

 To keep out of trouble, John Calipari needs to put a little defense with his offense.

 

KENTUCKY GRADE: B

 

LSU (3-0)

Storm Warren and Bo Spencer have coupled to become the most surprising duo in the league thus far.

 Spencer, who averaged 3.4 points per game last season, has put up 61 points in the team’s first three games on 20-of-51 shooting.

 Warren has similarly come from nowhere to put up three double-doubles in three games.

 The team isn’t playing just nobodies either. Western Kentucky is a solid squad this year and gave the Tigers everything they could handle up until the end.

 So far, LSU seems to have few weaknesses all around and may very well surprise some teams in the Western Division this season.

 

LSU GRADE: A+

 

Mississippi State (0-1)

The Bulldogs were the conference’s first big disappointment, coming into the season ranked 18th only to lose to Rider 88-74. While Rider is likely one of the favorites in the MAAC, this was a tough loss for MSU.

 Hard to keep the effort up when players are dropping like flies. MSU is down to eight scholarship players after injuries have swept through the once deep lineup.

 Against Rider, the Bulldogs simply couldn’t keep the Broncs from draining threes. Rider brought down 62.5 percent of those treys and 50.8 percent of their shots from the arc.

 All-American Jarvis Varnado did everything he could. He’s the only starter in the SEC not to have missed a shot (8-of-8) and scored 22 points, claimed 14 rebounds, and blocked seven shots in the loss.

 If poor defense becomes a trend for State, the Bulldogs could be in for a disappointing season.

 

MSU GRADE: F

 

Ole Miss (2-0)

The Rebels have been balanced both offensively and defensively early on and quietly winning by big margins.

Murphy Holloway is looking to be a big part of the puzzle for the Rebels underneath, as he recorded the team’s first double-double of the season against UALR with 17 points and 10 rebounds.

Rebounding, as it was last season, will be a weakness for this squad. If Eniel Polynice and Holloway can continue to claim their share, this team could be competitive.

 

OLE MISS GRADE: A

 

South Carolina (2-0)

Call the Gamecocks the Rebels of the Eastern Division: quietly winning by large margins and getting the job done.

USC trumped Alabama A&M 88-50 and Georgia Southern 90-66. Nice wins, but lowly competition.

Devan Downey has been scoring well, especially in his first outing, where he put up 23 points on 7-of-9 shooting, though he turned the ball over four times.

Turnovers seem to be an issue for Darrin Horn’s squad early on, as the team is averaging 20.5 per game—a sign that Downey needs to focus more on his team and less on scoring.

 

SOUTH CAROLINA GRADE: A

 

#10 Tennessee (2-0)

Watch out nation: Scotty Hopson has arrived.

After a disappointing freshman season, he’s exploded onto the SEC scene early on. He’s shooting 10-of-13 from behind the arc and averaging 20.5 points per game. Legit numbers.

As a team, the Vols are excelling. They broke a school scoring record in their second game, against UNC-Asheville, where they stomped their way to a 124-49 win. That’s right, a 75-point margin.

They shot nearly 60 percent in that game and handed out 34 assists.

Anyone doubting that Tennessee will compete for the SEC title yet?

 

TENNESSEE GRADE: A+

 

Vanderbilt (1-0)

Vanderbilt played absolutely no defense in their 95-73 victory over Lipscomb, and I suppose they didn’t have to.

Their scoring was dominated by Jeffery Taylor, who led the game with 20 points on 8-of-13 shooting, and Jermaine Beal, who scored 17. Taylor also grabbed seven rebounds.

Perhaps to avoid injury, A.J. Ogilvy was held to just 19 minutes but still recorded 13 points and nine rebounds in that time.

If Ogilvy’s numbers increase against real opponents and the team’s defensive effort improves, Vanderbilt could be a dangerous team.

 

VANDERBILT GRADE: A-

Arkansas Suspensions Decimate Squad’s Depth

John Pelphrey is losing control of the Arkansas Razorback team.

We already received news that Stefan Welsh was suspended indefinitely.

Today comes news that several others are being suspended. As if Arkansas could afford any other losses.

The biggest surprise is that Courtney Fortson, who will play a major role when he finally gets back to the hardwood, has been suspended indefinitely as well. Fortson averaged 14.8 points, 5.5 rebounds last year and is the team’s only point guard with floor experience.

Marcus Britt, who is set for a breakout season, will miss six games while Glenn Bryant will miss two. Walk-on Nick Mason is gone for the entire semester at least.

This leaves, to my count, three players with returning experience—and just eight overall—available on Friday when Arkansas opens against Alcorn State.

If this doesn’t get reigned in, and quickly, Pelphrey might find himself without a job sooner than he thought.

SEC Exhibition Basketball Comes To A Close

Only a few exhibition games remain for the Southeastern Conference, as most teams have played at least one.

Here’s a recap of those played since Nov. 2, my last update of them. The rest will come tonight and tomorrow, while the regular season begins at the end of this week.

I’m adding a new feature into all of my stories…a grade for each team’s performance. It will be entirely subjective (obviously) and will focus on how well the team should have done compared to how it actually performed. It’s A-F and will use pluses and minuses.

The game reviews will be in chronological order.

 

Alabama 81, Montevallo 53

Five Tide players scored in double-digits, led by JaMychal Green’s double-double of 18 points and 12 rebounds. Green started out slow in the first half, bogged down by foul trouble, but came out swinging in the second. All of his 18 points came in the second half.

 Grant’s team excelled in both facets of the game. They shot 48.1 percent from the field and held Montevallo to 33.3 percent. Alabama also out-rebounded the Falcons 47-31.

 Alabama won’t be a three-point heavy team this season, but this game showed some sign of hope. While the squad only attempted 13 shots from behind the arc, they connected on 5 of them for 38.4 percent.

 

PLAYER OF THE GAME: JaMychal Green (18 pts, 11 rbs, 3 blks)

STAT OF THE GAME: Alabama’s +16 rebounding margin

 ALABAMA GRADE: A

 

Tennessee 97, Lincoln Memorial 58

Tennessee cooled off offensively a bit in their second exhibition game and went for (insert sarcasm here) just 97 points. The team excelled once again in most every way from the very beginning, shooting 45.5 percent from the field and holding Lincoln Memorial to just 33.3 percent shooting.

 The Vols shared the ball well with 20 assists, but turned it over 17 times. Good thing they forced 30 turnovers. Rebounding also wasn’t close.

 Scotty Hopson may be finally living up to his 2008-09 preseason hype, as he once again led the Vols offensively.

 In two games, Hopson scored 40 points on 15-of-19 shooting (78.9 percent for those of you counting at home) and was 6-of-8 (75.0 percent) from three.

 Chism had a disappointing showing, shooting just 4-of-12, though he grabbed eight rebounds. All-American Tyler Smith has been a bit understated in the team’s preseason, as he scored 11 points and claimed just two rebounds in 16 minutes.

 The team is looking for a point guard, and Maze didn’t exactly impress with four assists to three turnovers. Goins wasn’t much better with the same amount of turnovers and five assists.

 Ball-handling continues to be a problem for the Volunteers, but may be less so if Hopson can continue his rampage.

 

PLAYER OF THE GAME: Scotty Hopson (20 pts, 2 rbs, 77.8% FG, 66.7% 3PT)

STAT OF THE GAME: Lincoln Memorial’s 30 turnovers

 TENNESSEE GRADE: A

 

Arkansas 102, LeMoyne-Owen 69

Arkansas somewhat rebounded from a less than impressive outing in its first exhibition game to explode offensively against LeMoyne-Owen. There were some startling numbers, but let’s look at the good first.

 The ‘Backs brought down 56.1 percent of their shots, held their opponents to 33.7 percent shooting, and recorded 19 assists to just 10 turnovers. The team also blocked 10 shots and stole the ball 16 times.

 The offense was balanced as well…five Razorbacks scored in double-digits.

 Rotnei Clarke led the charge, shooting 8-of-12 for 21 points. Freshman Marshawn Powell continues to look like a beast early on, as he matched Courtney Fortson with 18 points. Powell also grabbed 9 rebounds.

 All-SEC forward Michael Washington was his typical self, scoring 11 points and 7 rebounds in just 22 minutes.

 Now the scary part.

 Arkansas was outrebounded by LeMoyne-Owen—using the name here again for emphasis—52-40. A minus-12 rebounding margin against LeMoyne Owen. The team also shot just 33.3 percent from behind the arc, ending exhibition competition at 32.3 percent from long-range. Not a good sign.

 Finally, Pelphrey’s squad managed to hit just 66.7 percent of their free throws.

 The ‘Backs have the potential and the talent, but have some gaping holes to fix before becoming a truly competitive team.

 

PLAYER OF THE GAME: Rotnei Clarke (21 pts, 2 rbs, 66.7% FG, 66.7% 3PT)

STATE OF THE GAME: Arkansas’ minus-12 rebounding margin

 ARKANSAS GRADE: B-

 

South Carolina 78, Kentucky Wesleyan 55

The Gamecocks weren’t exactly dominating in their first exhibition matchup, but it was a solid outing for the squad.

 The scoring was balanced, as five Gamecocks scored in double-digits and the team out-shot its opponent by about five percent. The big difference was from behind the arc, as USC shot 42.1 percent and held Kentucky Wesleyan to 26.1 percent.

 Sam Muldrow led the Gamecocks offensively, hitting five of his nine attempts and scoring 17 points along with seven rebounds. Dominique Archie also recorded double-figure points (11) and claimed eight rebounds. All-SEC Devan Downey had a poor showing—1-of-7 shooting for six points and three rebounds—though he did manage seven assists.

 All-in-all a decent performance from USC, though the 13:18 assist-to-turnover ratio needs to improve as does the 59.3 percent free-throw shooting.

 

PLAYER OF THE GAME: Sam Muldrow (17 pts, 7 rbs, 55.5% FG, 100.0% 3PT)

STAT OF THE GAME: USC’s 42.1% effort from behind the arc

SOUTH CAROLINA GRADE: B

 

Auburn 87, Miles College 40

The Tigers had a surprisingly solid outing in their first exhibition game, smoking Miles College after a sluggish first half. Auburn outscored its opponent 51-17 in the second half.

 The three-point shooting was the standout benefit for the Tigers. The team shot 14-of-32 from long-range, good for 43.8 percent on the back of Tay Waller’s 5-of-7 effort from that distance. Waller scored a game-high 15 points, while two other Tigers scored in double digits.

 Auburn out-rebounded their opponents (THAT’S a new phrase) by the biggest margin of any SEC team thus far (what?) in exhibition play, 55-35. Losing Robertson, ball-handling was expected to be a weakness, but it didn’t show in this game, with 20 assists to 14 turnovers.

Free throw shooting was abysmal for the War Eagle, though: 42.9 percent. The team actually shot better from behind the three-point arc than it did at the charity stripe. Yikes.

Auburn might surprise a few people if it can continue to rebound well and keep up its precision from long-distance.

 

PLAYER OF THE GAME: Tay Waller (15 pts, 1 rbd, 62.5% FG, 71.4% 3PT)

STAT OF THE GAME: Auburn’s +20 rebound margin

AUBURN GRADE: A+

 

Kentucky 117, Clarion 52

Any John Wall dissenters suffered a setback when he went off in his first outing for 27 points on 10-of-14 shooting and nine assists against four turnovers.

 Whether he can be nearly as effective against real opponents is another issue for another day…Wall showed he has the potential to be a star.

 After struggling in its first exhibition game (in which it was without Wall), Kentucky left no doubt against Clarion. The Wildcats heavily out-shot, out-rebounded, and out-everythinged Clarion from tipoff.

 Kentucky shot 59.2 percent from the field while holding Clarion to 23.8 percent shooting. The team improved its performance from long-range significantly, to the tune of 8-of-16 (50.0 percent). The Blue won the rebounding battle 47-34.

 Six Wildcats scored in double-digits, and Wall wasn’t the only player with at least 20. DeMarcus Cousins recorded 20 points on 9-of-12 shooting and grabbed six rebounds.

 Even Kentucky’s mediocre free-throw shooting improved to a very impressive 25-of-30 (83.3 percent) mark.

 Too bad not every team is Clarion, eh?

 

PLAYER OF THE GAME: John Wall (27 pts, 4 rbs, 71.4% FG, 9 ast)

STAT OF THE GAME: Kentucky’s 2.25 assist-to-turnover ratio

KENTUCKY GRADE: A

 

Ole Miss 102, Auburn-Montgomery 62

The Rebels’ debut featured a slightly ironic turn of events. Most expect the Rebels to struggle with rebounding this season due to a lack of size and front court depth, but they out-rebounded their opponents by 16. What was assumed to be a strength—ball-handling—seemed to be a massive weakness. Ole Miss managed just six assists and turned the ball over 19 times.

 Warren, early on, looks to be a Ronald Steele twin. If you’ll remember, Steele was an outstanding pass-first point guard for Alabama before massive knee injuries. When he returned, he was a potent scoring threat but had lost his touch as a true point guard.

 Warren’s stats from the team’s exhibition outing says something similar. He scored 22 points on 8-of-14 shooting but dished out just two assists. Those two assists led his team though. Ouch.

 The final score also hides an ugly little fact: Ole Miss was trailing at the half, 38-35.

 The second-half blowout somewhat made up for the ugly start, though. The Rebels should continue the effort on the boards, but the ball movement must improve if they want to earn a post-season bid.

 

PLAYER OF THE GAME: Chris Warren (22 pts, 2 rbs, 57.1% FG, 50.0% 3PT)

STAT OF THE GAME: Ole Miss’ 0.32 assist-to-turnover ratio

OLE MISS GRADE: B-

 

Georgia 87, North Georgia 53

For the Eastern-Division Bulldogs to be facing such low expectations, Fox managed to impress in his first outing.

This game was another ho-hum beat-down of a lesser opponent. The catch here is, though, that Georgia will need a miracle to even reach .500 this season.

Travis Leslie, who showed flashes of greatness last season as a freshman, led the game with 21 points on 9-of-13 shooting and recorded five rebounds. Rebounding wasn’t an issue for the Bulldogs, as two players had at least eight boards.

Georgia only attempted 14 treys, and instead opted to get the ball to the paint. This was pretty effective—the team shot an eye-popping 60.7 percent from the field, compared to 35.7 percent from three.

Free throw shooting was also an issue. As a team, UGA shot 56.0 percent from there—worse than they did from the field.

Last year, Georgia took down Albany State by 37 points in exhibition play on its way to a 12-20 record.

With that said, this wasn’t a bad showing for UGA.

 

PLAYER OF THE GAME: Travis Leslie (21 pts, 5 rbs, 69.2% FG, 2 stl)

STAT OF THE GAME: Georgia’s 30 offensive rebounds

GEORGIA GRADE: A

 

Mississippi State 90, Georgetown-KY 70

The Bulldogs seemed to have reason to worry after Georgetown (KY) led 19th-ranked Louisville at the half and lost to the Cardinals by just 12 points.

They were wrong.

State never trailed in the contest and only felt the heat early in the second half, when the Tigers pulled within 7. MSU ended both halves on huge runs and thoroughly outplayed its opponent.

Kodi Augustus, the big-man who sparked State’s run through the 2009 SEC Tournament, notched a double-double with 16 points on 6-of-9 shooting and 11 rebounds. All-American Jarvis Varnado led the team with 17 points on a perfect 7-of-7 effort and fell just shy of the squad’s second double-double with nine rebounds.

Point guard Dee Bost handed out eight assists and shot 5-of-10 for 14 points.

As a team, State pulled down a very impressive 56.6 percent of its shots, but managed just 26.3 percent of its three-pointers. This was no doubt in large part to Barry Stewart’s 0-of-7 effort. Long gone are the days when Stewart was a freshman who shot nearly 40 percent from behind the arc.

This is opposed to the team’s first exhibition game, where it shot 43.3 percent from that range. MSU seems to be a very versatile, deep squad.

Ball-handling was suspect against Georgetown, however. The team had 16 assists to 16 turnovers. Rebounding wasn’t better, as MSU managed to just tie its opponent with 33 boards.

An encouraging performance for the Bulldogs, overall.

 

PLAYER OF THE GAME: Kodi Augustus (16 pts, 11 rbs, 66.7% FG, 2 ast)

STAT OF THE GAME: MSU’s 26.3 percent effort from behind the arc

MISSISSIPPI STATE GRADE: A-

 

Florida 104, Webber International 53

Florida has opened some eyes in its preseason action, winning its two games by a total of 90 points. Perhaps this team won’t miss Nick Calathes quite as much as they should.

The new star in town is named Kenny Boynton, and he’s dominated both exhibition games. Boynton scored 25 in this one on 6-of-11 shooting, also grabbing three rebounds.

With Walker doing a fine job thus far of replacing Calathes’ ball-handling and Boynton stepping into the scorer’s outfit, this team might step into the three-ring circus known as the SEC Eastern Division and compete for the title.

As a team, the results were no less impressive. The Gators notched a 53.7 percent mark from the floor, outrebounded their opponents by 18, and shot 41.7 percent from behind the arc.

Turnovers were the only noticeable flaw for Florida, giving the ball up 21 times. They did, however, force 26 turnovers.

PLAYER OF THE GAME: Kenny Boynton (25 pts, 3 rbs, 62.5 percent 3PT, 54.5 percent FG)

STAT OF THE GAME: Three Gators with at least seven rebounds

FLORIDA GRADE: A+

 

Alabama 61, Augusta State 55

When the threes aren’t falling for the Crimson Tide – which will be often this year due to a thin backcourt – the defense isn’t there for the team to be able to win competitive ballgames.

This was the closest any SEC team came to losing an exhibition game, and for that very reason. ‘Bama managed just 29.4 percent from three and allowed Augusta State to shoot 38.9 percent from the field. Alabama lost the turnover battle 23-18 as well.

Two facts were encouraging for the Tide, though.

First, free-throw shooting was solid. The squad hit 90.9 percent of its shots from the charity stripe. With that kind of mark, close late-game situations will always be winnable.

Secondly, scoring was balanced. Seven players scored at least six points, but only one in double-digits. That honor went to JaMychal Green, who shot 5-of-7 to score 12 points and grab a team-high five rebounds. His defense is still lacking, though, as he didn’t register a single block or steal.

This serves as a pretty big wake-up call for Alabama. If the defense doesn’t improve, this team is going to have a long season.

 

PLAYER OF THE GAME: JaMychal Green (12 pts, 5 rbs, 71.4 percent FG, 100.0 percent FT)

STAT OF THE GAME: Alabama with more turnovers, less blocks/steals than opponent

ALABAMA GRADE: D+

SEC Basketball Sees First Exhibition Action

In their exhibition debuts, both Kentucky and Arkansas registered lackluster performances, while Mississippi State rebounded from a poor first-half showing with a second-half blowout. Florida and Tennessee wasted no time in their domination.

Let’s discuss the games in chronological order.

 

No. 10 Tennessee (117) vs. North Alabama (79)
Knoxville, Tenn., Oct. 30, 2009

The Volunteers dominated North Alabama in every way and lent evidence to my prediction of their taking the SEC Eastern Division title. The squad shot 65.7 percent from the field, including a barn-burning 58.8 percent from behind the arc.

While six UT players registered double-digit efforts, sophomore Scotty Hopson finally showed a flash of his potential by nailing 8-of-10 of his shots from the floor, including 4-of-5 from three. The Vols put up a 1.23 assist-to-turnover margin, forced 28 turnovers, and won the rebounding battle 46-30.

In his debut as a Volunteer, freshman power forward Kenny Hall impressed the crowd by shooting a perfect 5-of-5 from the floor, hitting all four of his free throws, and grabbing seven rebounds. He fouled out, however, which looks to be an issue he needs to work on.

While almost all of the game was positive for the Orange fans, one thing was not: defense. Allowing 79 points to UNA isn’t a positive sign, and Tennessee won’t be averaging 117 points a game. The Vols need to work on defense if they truly want to contend for a National Title.

Player of the Game: Scotty Hopson (20 pts, 80.0% FG, 80.0% 3PT, 4 ast, 2 stl)
Stat of the Game: +16 Tennessee rebounding margin

 

No. 18 Mississippi State (82) vs. Oklahoma City (54)
Starkville, Miss., Oct. 31, 2009

The Bulldogs of the SEC West struggled with consistency and offensive smoothness in this game’s first half, despite never trailing. MSU led just 38-33 at the half. State figured out OCU’s zone defense in the second, however, and dominated the rest of the game.

Four MSU players registered double-digit scoring, led by outstanding junior shooter Ravern Johnson’s 23 points on 8-of-15 shooting, including a 6-of-10 effort from behind the arc. All-everything senior Jarvis Varnado led the game with 11 rebounds on top of eight points and four blocks. The Bulldogs finished the game well ahead in every major category.

Renardo Sidney is still awaiting an NCAA decision on his eligibility, and big man John Riek was benched in hopes his exhibition game would count toward his nine-game suspension. Wendell Lewis continued his impressive preseason performance, grabbing eight rebounds in just 13 minutes. Shaunessy Smith had four assists without a turnover, but not much else.

As a team, this was a very nice performance against a solid lower-division team. If Johnson continues his streak of hot shooting as he did during last season’s non-conference schedule, this will be a very dangerous team.

Player of the Game: Ravern Johnson (23 pts, 5 rbs, 53.3% FG, 60.0% 3PT)
Stat of the Game: MSU +15 rebound margin after trailing at halftime

 

Arkansas (77) vs. Dillard (59)
Fayetteville, Ark., Nov. 2, 2009

The Razorbacks could have very well lost this game if it weren’t for Michael Washington’s tremendous 25-point, 10-rebound double-double effort. Even with him, the ‘Backs shot just 39.2 percent from the field and just 21.9 percent from three.

Ranked as the best shooting guard in the nation this offseason, Rotnei Clarke managed just 5-of-15 shooting and 4-of-13 from behind the arc. Courtney Fortson handed out nine assists to four turnovers.

Hyped freshman Marshawn Powell didn’t play, though power forward Glenn Bryant stood out amongst the remainder of the newcomers. He put up the ‘Backs’ second double-double with 17 points on 6-of-12 shooting and 10 rebounds.

Julysses Nobles and Jemal Farmer, the team’s other two participating freshmen, each grabbed six rebounds and combined for seven points.

This team is as expected thus far—talented but thin. Most will be willing to shake this performance off as preseason jitters and hope that Powell makes a big difference, but Clarke and Fortson (who combined for 7-of-25 shooting) need to improve their efforts if this team wants to make a run for the postseason.

Player of the Game: Michael Washington (25 pts, 10 rbs, 62.5% FG, 3 blks)
Stat of the Game: Arkansas without Washington: 32.7% FG

 

Florida (95) vs. Saint Leo (46)
Gainesville, Fla., Nov. 2, 2009

Florida came out about as hot as the Vols did, on both ends of the floor. The big story was incoming all-star freshman Kenny Boynton, who led the team with 22 points on 7-of-14 shooting, including 5-of-9 from three, and grabbed six rebounds. Not to be lost was Erving Walker’s nine assists and no turnovers, coupled with 16 points on 5-of-9 shooting.

Florida outshot Saint Leo by 30.3 percent and held them to 4.8 percent shooting from three.

Erik Murphy, the team’s other freshman, had a nice game as well: nine points on 3-of-4 shooting and six rebounds.

If Walker can keep up his impressive team-leading and Boynton remains this dominating, I might just be wrong about Florida. Granted, the competition was weak, but this could mean Florida might very well have a stake in the SEC East title after all.

Player of the Game: Kenny Boynton (22 pts, 6 rbs, 50.0% FG, 55.5% 3PT, 3 stl)
Stat of the Game: Five Florida players with at least five rebounds

 

No. 4 Kentucky (74) vs. Campbellsville (38)
Lexington, Ky., Nov. 2, 2009

The Wildcats got off to a fast start, holding CU to just 11 points in the first half. There were large stretches in the second half, however, where UK was bogged down and was outscored. For a top-five team, this was a disappointing debut.

While the team shot well (50.0 percent) from the floor, my prediction as to its lack of outside shooting presence rang true (21.4 percent). This team is seriously going to miss Jodie Meeks.

Freshman Darnell Dodson was the star of the game, scoring 19 points on 7-of-14 shooting along with six rebounds.

Turnovers look to be a serious issue for the young team as well, as it handed the ball over 23 times, though it forced 25 CU turnovers.

John Wall is still serving a two-game suspension, while results from the other freshmen were mixed. Behind Dodson’s big game, DeMarcus Cousins pulled down a respectable 11 points and six rebounds and blocked four shots. Eric Bledsoe looks talented if he can limit the turnovers, as he managed nine points, four rebounds, four assists (to four turnovers), and four steals.

Jon Hood and Daniel Orton weren’t as impressive: They combined for seven points on 3-of-7 shooting.

Lots of great pieces to the puzzle, but no glue to make them stick. I hear there’s a brand of Wall Glue being released this month, so stay tuned.

Player of the Game: Darnell Dodson (19 pts, 6 rbs, 50.0% FG, 2 stl)
Stat of the Game: Kentucky’s 3-of-14 (21.4%) three-point shooting

Tennessee Volunteers Suffer Setback

Josh Tabb has left the Tennessee Volunteer men’s basketball team after being suspended indefinitely by Pearl for the infamous “violation of team rules.”

Tabb, who stands 6′4″ and weighs 196lbs, was an extremely talented guard who started 11 games for the Vols last season. He ranked third on the team – and best amongst guards – for field-goal percentage at 50.6 percent and easily led the team with a 42.4 three-point percentage, though he only attempted 33.

He also recorded an impressive 1.7 assists-to-turnover ratio and 24 steals.

Statistically, this reduces Tennessee’s returning scoring to 93.06 percent and keeps them in first place in the league, while they now return 89.66 percent of their rebounding – second, behind Vanderbilt.

More importantly, however, the Vols lose a potential threat from behind the arc and have even less depth in the back-court. Only four guards remain on the team, and none arrive on scholarship.

This might even out the field a bit in the SEC, as Vanderbilt, Mississippi State and even Kentucky seem to have a better shot at toppling the Vols for the league title.

As for the national implications, this severe lack of guard depth might cost the team a deep run in March, as uni-dimensional teams tend not to fare well in the Big Dance.

One thing is for certain: this team can not afford any injuries or suspensions of any kind to any of its guards in 2009-10.

2009-10 SEC Basketball Conference Preview

For the second-straight season, the Southeastern Conference finished last amongst BCS leagues and sixth overall in RPI standings in 2008-09.

Just three teams made the NCAA Tournament, none of which made the Sweet Sixteen.

My, how a year can change everything.

While the nation was as experienced and talented as it had ever been, the SEC was struggling to reload and patiently waiting for its younger stars to grow into full-bodied threats.

That day has come for several league teams.

“There are eight teams in the league that return four starters,” Tennessee coach Bruce Pearl explained. ”So the league is going to be a lot better and part of the reason is because of returning players. That experience is going to put us in a position to not get too high when we win and not get too low when we lose, because this league is going to beat up on each other and I think the team that handles adversity and handles success the best is the team that is going to win the championship.”

Couldn’t say it better myself.

The most well-known example is Kentucky, who let an embattled Billy Gillispie go after just two seasons at the helm and its first NCAA absence in 15 years. In stepped Memphis’ John Calipari, and an outrageous recruiting class alongside. Returning Second-Team All-American Patrick Patterson plus adding three five-star along with two four-star recruits means high expectations.

High they are indeed. Many publications have ranked Kentucky second pre-season, and all have them in the Top 10. They have been picked overwhelmingly to win the SEC by the media, though much hinges on the NCAA’s verdict of John Wall’s elligibility. Wall, the nation’s top recruit, could make an immediate impact for the Wildcats at point guard.

“We are very big, athletic and fast,” Calipari said. ”We don’t shoot the ball well, and have a lot of room to grow.”

That loss of shooting comes in the form of Jodie Meeks, who bolted to the NBA after leading the team—and the SEC—in scoring. His 23.7 points per game was over 33 percent of Kentucky’s scoring last year and with his loss, the team loses more offensive production than any other team in the league.

Often joining the True Blue in top ten lists across the country are the Tennessee Volunteers. The Vols looked to bring back every single player on its roster before highly talented forward Emmanuel Negedu went down recently to heart trouble. His future with the team looks dim, though the squad’s outlook on this season remains steadfast.

Third-Team All-American Tyler Smith can quite literally do it all, and Kentucky’s amount of talent may be matched, or even exceeded, by the team in orange. The Vols are looking to prove the nation wrong and dethrone the Wildcats.

“As far as our team’s chemistry, we are going to learn from last year to play together,” Pearl stated.

Yet another national contender resides in Starkville, Mississippi. That town endured a wild off-season, as Fourth-Team All-American Jarvis Varnado—who should become the nation’s leading shot-blocker of all time this season—chose to return to the team. Then, a couple of high-profile recruits with elligibility issues signed on.

Sidney, who most consider the most talented player in this year’s class, hasn’t received his elligibility yet, former Top Five recruit John Riek has, though he will sit out nine games. Riek is 7′2″ with a much bigger wingspan and should immediately contribute.

The Bulldogs return every starter and lose a few back-ups, mostly to injury. This team is the prohibitive favorite to win a Western Division which it seemingly owns, and could make a run at the league title.

“It is the most experience I have had in a long time and we only have two seniors coming back,” MSU coach Rick Stansbury expressed. ”There is no question that we are better off at this point in the year than we were at this point last year.”

Four other SEC teams have been ranked in the nation’s Top 25 in various preseason selections this season.

Ole Miss has received some increased expectations for a few reasons. Several players, including Second-Team All-SEC point guard Chris Warren, return from season-ending injuries in 2007-08. Much-hyped sophomore Terrico White will look to continue his momentum from last season, as he was selected on the media’s First-Team All-SEC list.

South Carolina returns a great deal of power from last year’s SEC East co-champion team, including star point-guard and First-Team All-SEC selection Devan Downey.

Florida lost its heart and soul in Nick Calathes, but the amount of pure talent and depth on the team should lend itself to a competitive season.

The biggest darkhorse of the 2009-10 season, however, is Vanderbilt. The Commodores return nearly every player from last season and add five-star recruit John Jenkins. With perhaps the league’s most physically talented player in Second-Team All-SEC choice A.J. Ogilvy and two players in Jermaine Beal and Brad Tinsley who compete with the conference’s best at their respective positions, this team is set to compete for the overall SEC title.

No surprise, then, that the league coaches have high expectations for themselves and their competition.

“I am excited about where the league is,” Ole Miss coach Andy Kennedy said. ”I think from a balanced stand point it is as strong as it has been in quite some time and our marquis players are back. The top of the league is going to be where I believe we are going to have three, four, five teams in the top 25 week in and week out. I think there is a buzz in the league and rightfully so.”

 

ALABAMA

Last Year : 18-14, 7-9 (Nationally: #95 )
Postseason : None
Returning : 69.67% of scoring (6th), 66.02% of rebounding (10th)

The Crimson Tide return a great deal of talent, and a solid recruiting class. The team does, however, lose a lot of offense which could hurt, considering it ranked near the bottom of the league in points scored a year ago. If Grant can find some reliable shooters to complement talented big-man JaMychal Green, they could challenge Ole Miss for second place in the Western Division and a post-season appearance.

Prediction : (18-12, 7-9), No Postseason

 

ARKANSAS

Last Year : 14-16, 2-14 (Nationally: #126 )
Postseason : None
Returning : 84.63% of scoring (4th), 77.66% of rebounding (5th)

The Razorbacks will struggle again this year due only to their severe lack of depth. Washington, Clarke and Fortson each are among the most talented at their respective positions, but there simply isn’t much below them. Word is that Welsh is suspended indefintiely, and Sanchez is out indefinitely with foot issues. That leaves the team with four non-freshman players. The freshmen will need to step up in a big way, and expect at least Marshawn Powell too—he’s already impressing the coaches—if the team is to improve upon their utter collapse last season.

Prediction : (15-16, 6-10), No Postseason

 

AUBURN

Last Year : 24-12, 10-6 (Nationally: #55 )
Postseason : NIT Quarterfinals
Returning : 61.60% of scoring (10th), 49.33% of rebounding (11th)

Lebo saved his job a year ago by making the NIT Quarterfinals. This season, he won’t be so lucky. The Tigers lose three of the league’s most talented players, including highly-underrated big-man Korvotney Barber, and bring in a sub-par recruiting class. Expect the War Eagle to retain its spot at the bottom of the SEC West and be looking for a new head coach next off-season.

Prediction : (13-18, 3-13), No Postseason

 

FLORIDA

Last Year : 25-11, 9-7 (Nationally: #42 )
Postseason : NIT Quarterfinals
Returning : 63.63% of scoring (8th), 73.80% of rebounding (7th)

With the loss of Nick Calathes to the Greecian professional leagues, along with the graduation of Walter Hodge, a true team-leader and decision-maker needs to step up. Florida is always immensely talented, but Calathes was the heart and soul of this team and the Gators will miss him badly. If a player steps into that leadership role, Florida might be able to make a step up into the Big Dance.

Prediction : (20-10, 10-6), NCAA Tournament

 

GEORGIA

Last Year : 12-20, 3-13 (Nationally: #200 )
Postseason : No Postseason
Returning : 62.21% of scoring (9th), 68.92% of rebounding (9th)

Losing two starters—including the squad’s top scorer—is a hit for any basketball team. Moreso for one struggling like Georgia is. Former Nevada skipper Mark Fox inherits a bad situation in Athens with no immediate promise for improvement. This season is certainly one of rebuilding and restructuring, as anything but last place in the conference would be a miracle.

Prediction : (10-19, 3-13), No Postseason

 

KENTUCKY

Last Year : 22-14, 8-8 (Nationally: #52 )
Postseason : NIT Quarterfinals
Returning : 56.95% of scoring (11th), 75.76% of rebounding (6th)

Kentucky loses offensive juggernaut Jodie Meeks, and despite what the talking heads say, they will suffer because of it. The Blue bring in one of the greatest recruiting classes of all time, but none of those players are known for explosive offensive potential. The entire offense can’t rest on the shoulders of the frontcourt, much less only All-SEC star Patrick Patterson. This team will struggle at times offensively and is far too imbalanced to warrant their sky-high expectations. An NCAA Tournament bid is probable, a Final Four run is not.

Prediction : (21-9, 10-6), NCAA Tournament

 

LSU

Last Year : 27-8, 13-3 (Nationally: #43 )
Postseason : NCAA Second Round
Returning : 41.61% of scoring (12th), 36.17% of rebounding (12th)

Trent Johnson has proven he can coach (no word yet on his teams’ motivation, though). He will manage to upset some teams this season, but the Tigers lose six scholarship athletes and are going to be awfully young. This may be a reloading year for LSU, but don’t expect it to last very long. Don’t count me surprised if the Tigers manage to heavily overachieve and receive an invitation to the postseason.

Prediction : (13-14, 4-12), No Postseason

 

MISSISSIPPI STATE

Last Year : 23-13, 9-7 (Nationally: #61 )
Postseason : NCAA First Round
Returning : 90.85% of scoring (3rd), 86.53% of rebounding (4th)

The Bulldogs caught on fire toward the end of last season, winning their last six games (including an SEC Tournament title) before bowing out in the NCAA Tournament to Washington. The SEC West mainstay returns nearly every player and adds at least one former five-star recruit and is immensely talented and deep. This team could make some serious noise in March.

Prediction : (24-6, 12-4), NCAA Tournament

 

OLE MISS

Last Year : 16-15, 7-9 (Nationally: #97 )
Postseason : No Postseason
Returning : 65.93% of scoring (7th), 69.40% of rebounding (8th)

Andy Kennedy struggled with off-the-court issues last season and loses his top scorer, but return a talented core of players from injury. The Rebels join the Gators as one of the biggest question-marks in the league. If star point guard Chris Warren can return to form after a serious knee injury and the team can find enough front-court depth to suffice, it could challenge for an NCAA bid.

Prediction : (18-10, 8-8), NIT

 

SOUTH CAROLINA

Last Year : 21-10, 10-6 (Nationally: #68 )
Postseason : NIT First Round
Returning : 77.61% of scoring (5th), 87.94% of rebounding (3rd)

Darrin Horn underachieved last season in a weak SEC, despite a postseason bid and a SEC East co-title. With the sudden strengthening of the league, particularly the East, things just get harder from here. The Gamecocks don’t have the talent or depth to keep up in the East, and could struggle this year. An NCAA Tournament bid isn’t out of the question, but would be an impressive achievement.

Prediction : (16-12, 7-9), No Postseason

 

TENNESSEE

Last Year : 21-13, 10-6 (Nationally: #31 )
Postseason : NCAA First Round
Returning : 97.30% of scoring (1st), 94.50% of rebounding (1st)

The Volunteers look to be loaded for another chance at a Final Four run. There are, though, some weaknesses that became apparent last season. The team has little depth a the point-guard position, and struggles from outside the arc as well as on defense. That said, the Orange are one of the league’s most talented and deepest teams. If Pearl can find some shooters and get his team to play hard on both ends of the court, this could be a National Title contender.

Prediction : (24-4, 13-3), NCAA Tournament

 

VANDERBILT

Last Year : 19-12, 8-8 (Nationally: #77 )
Postseason : No Postseason
Returning : 92.58% of scoring (2nd), 92.25% of rebounding (2nd)

If you’re looking for an SEC dark-horse, look no further. The Commodores return every important piece of their squad, including outstandingly talented big-man A.J. Ogilvy. Added to the mix is five-star recruit John Jenkins, who will add some firepower to the team’s offense. With this amount of talent and experience, expect the ‘Dores to challenge for the SEC and push its way well into March.

Prediction : (22-6, 12-4), NCAA Tournament

 

Now, as for the conference predictions…

 

SEC EAST

1. Tennessee – 24-4, 13-3

2. Vanderbilt – 22-6, 12-4

t3. Kentucky – 21-9, 10-6

t3. Florida – 20-10, 10-6

5. South Carolina – 16-12, 7-9

6. Georgia – 10-19, 3-13

 

SEC WEST

1. Mississippi State – 24-6, 12-4

2. Ole Miss – 18-10, 8-8

3. Alabama – 18-12, 7-9

4. Arkansas – 15-16, 6-10

5. LSU – 13-14, 4-12

6. Auburn – 13-18, 3-13

 

And on to the 2009-10 SEC Pre-Season Awards…

 

SEC Pre-Season Awards

SEC Player of the Year: Jarvis Varnado (Mississippi State)

While this may be an unpopular pick, no one in the conference alters the game as much as Varnado. His offense is underrated, as he shoots 54.9 percent from the floor as it is, and should only increase this season. His rebounding is nearly untouched in the league, and he should break the national career blocking record this season.

SEC Coach of the Year: Kevin Stallings (Vanderbilt)

The Commodores enter the season with not nearly as much hype as they deserve. Expect them to be one of the toughest teams in the league and challenge for an Elite Eight spot when it’s all said and done.

SEC Freshman of the Year: John Wall (Kentucky)

Assuming he becomes elligible to play, Wall should have an immediate impact for Kentucky. The Wildcats desperately need his decision-making and ball-handling to become competitive once again.

All-SEC First Team

Jarvis Varnado (Mississippi State)
Patrick Patterson (Kentucky)
Tyler Smith (Tennessee)
A.J. Ogilvy (Vanderbilt)
Chris Warren (Ole Miss)

All-SEC Second-Team

Michael Washington (Arkansas)
Rotnei Clarke (Arkansas)
Tasmin Mitchell (LSU)
Wayne Chism (Tennessee)
Alex Tyus (Florida)

 

Non-Conference Viewing Guide

Arkansas vs. Louisville (Tue, Nov. 17)
Florida vs. Michigan St. (Fri, Nov. 27)
Vanderbilt vs. Missouri (Wed, Dec. 2)
Kentucky vs. North Carolina (Sat, Dec. 5)
South Carolina @ Clemson (Sun, Dec. 6)
Vanderbilt vs. Illinois (Tues, Dec. 8)
Kentucky vs. UConn (Wed, Dec. 9)
Florida vs. Syracuse (Thu, Dec. 10)
Mississippi St. vs. UCLA (Sat, Dec. 12)
Alabama vs. Purdue (Sat, Dec. 12)
Auburn @ Florida St. (Thu, Dec. 17)
LSU @ Washington St. (Tue, Dec. 22)
Ole Miss @ West Virginia (Wed, Dec. 23)
LSU @ Xavier (Tue, Dec. 29)
South Carolina @ Boston College (Wed, Dec. 30)
Tennessee @ Memphis (Thu, Dec. 31)
Georgia @ Missouri (Sat, Jan. 2)
South Carolina vs. Baylor (Sat, Jan. 2)
Kentucky vs. Louisville (Sat, Jan. 2)
Mississippi St. @ Western Kentucky (Mon, Jan. 4)
Arkansas vs. Texas (Tue, Jan. 5)
Tennessee vs. Kansas (Sun, Jan. 10)
Florida vs. Xavier (Sat, Feb. 13)

2009-10 SEC Basketball Previews: Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt is used to being the underdog.

With academic expectations unmatched in the SEC—and most of the nation—it’s not necessarily easy to compete on such a high level of physicality in sports such as football and basketball.

Stallings has found a way to do it.

And 2009-10 is no different. Vanderbilt is forgotten and passed over, despite bringing in a rare five-star recruit (per Rivals) and featuring two of the league’s best at their respective positions.

In fact, their starting five might be as talented as any in the league.

Vanderbilt, however, is consistently placed in this year’s second-tier programs such as South Carolina and Florida. Most rank the former two nationally without regard to the Commodores. That’s a mistake.

This team has the makings of a dark-horse the size of a Trojan one.

Balance, experience, talent, and depth are the four basic essentials for success in this sport, and this year’s Vanderbilt team has a solid mix of these.

The ‘Dores return two shooters who averaged better than 40 percent from behind the arc and bring in a big-time freshman who can stroke it. They also return seven players who can play in at the four or five.

Balance, check.

The team returns all but one [bench] player on its roster, even walk-ons.

Experience, check.

Vanderbilt brings in a five-star (per Rivals) recruit to join Second-Team All-SEC and former SEC Co-Freshman of the Year A.J. Ogilvy along with one of the league’s best overall point-guards and shooting guards.

Talent, check.

Eight players shared starting minutes last season, with a five-star likely to join them. There were 11 players who averaged over 6.5 minutes per game last season. They also return a redshirt forward, Andre Walker, who is a capable scorer.

Depth, check.

This team would have had huge potential without an addition, and it’s a heck of an addition.

 

John Jenkins
(No. 47 overall – No. 10 SG – Four stars – 6′4″ – 180lbs)

Jenkins is a shooter by trade. He doesn’t defend, he doesn’t handle the ball, but he can drain the threes. He’s got a good mentality and strong work ethic, but isn’t as aggressive or assertive on offense as he would need to be, especially if he hopes to expand his game into slashing into the lane.

With that said, Jenkins will give the ‘Dores a third lethal long-range weapon and should contribute immediately. He likely won’t start, though, due to the team’s excessive depth.

  

Despite the talent and offensive capabilities of its individual players, the Commodores ranked second-to-last in the league in scoring offense. Jenkins hopes to provide that extra spark.

 

A.J. Ogilvy  - 6′11″, 250lb Senior C
(15.4ppg – 7.1rpg – 54.3% FG – 48blk)

Ogilvy is perhaps not in the right system for him to truly stand out. Stallings has always favored his big-time shooting guards, and Ogilvy is the main anchor under the basket.

Despite this, Ogilvy’s efficiency ranked amongst the league’s best in nearly every category. His offensive numbers are the best, considering minutes played, of any SEC big-man.

He’s also an excellent rebounder and underrated defender, though he’s not nearly as aggressive on defense as he should be.

Ogilvy should have yet another great season and his decision to jump to the draft next spring will be a good one.

 

Jermaine Beal  - 6′3″, 205lb Senior PG
(12.5ppg – 3.5rpg – 40.3% 3PT – 2.02 A/TO)

Beal certainly isn’t a pass-first point in the typical sense; he is also a big-time scorer as well.

That said, don’t doubt his ability to dish the ball out. In fact, he led the entire conference with a 2.02 assist-to-turnover ratio and ranks ninth among returning players in total assists.

Beal shoots over 80 percent from the charity stripe and is a capable defender as well. He doesn’t have many weaknesses, and should once again start every Commodore game this season.

 

Jeffery Taylor  - 6′7″, 210lb Sophomore SF
(12.2ppg – 6.2rpg – 50.2% FG – 29 stl)

Returning All-SEC Freshman Jeffery Taylor is an all-around great player whose numbers were all that more impressive considering his youth.

He’s an excellent mid-range scorer with a great touch on the basketball, and has the athleticism to get to the basket. He’s also a decent defender.

Taylor will likely join Beal in starting every game this season.

 

Brad Tinsley  - 6′3″, 210lb Sophomore SG
(11.0ppg – 2.5rpg – 41.1% 3PT – 1.34 A/TO)

Tinsley was even more impressive than Taylor last season, if that was possible. Vanderbilt was looking at a rebuilding year last season with so many freshmen being relied upon, but Tinsley in particular stepped up to the plate and dominated the backcourt for the ‘Dores.

Tinsley shot an unbelievable 41.1 percent from three despite 168 attempts, and could very well be this year’s Jodie Meeks with this amount of potential.

His poise is unmatched. As a freshman, he brought down 56 of 68 free throws for 82.4 percent. He ranked second on the team with 86 assists and a 1.34 assist-to-turnover ratio.

His numbers exude experience, and he was just a freshman. He looks to be the heart and soul of this year’s Vanderbilt squad.

 

Lance Gouldbourne  - 6′8″, 225lb Sophomore SF
(5.1ppg – 3.3rpg – 47.2% FG – 71.0% FT)

Gouldbourne knows how to get to the basket and score and has great size for his position, which creates mismatches for defenders. What he can’t do effectively, however, is drive to the basket without turning the ball over.

He was more than capable as a freshman, and should improve this season. He won’t start, but he is a solid player off the bench.

 

Festus Ezeli  - 6′11″, 255lb Sophomore C
(3.8ppg – 2.6rpg – 54.7% FG – 22 blk)

Ezeli has more potential than he showed last year. His post moves around the basket are solid and he ranks as one of the best in the league at getting to the free-throw stripe because of his assertiveness and competitive nature.

His up-side is sizeable and he could become a competent role-player in a year or two.

 

Steve Tchiengang  - 6′9″, 240lb Sophomore PF
(3.6ppg – 3.2rpg – 71.9% FT – 32.9% FG)

Tchiengang is less serviceable than most on the roster. His offense seems to have little upside, and his decision-making is weak. He also has little confidence, and effectively serves as a big body to put on the floor in worst-case scenarios.

 

Darshawn McClellan  - 6′7″, 240lb Junior PF
(2.1ppg – 3.0rpg – 1.03 A/TO – 29.1% FG)

McClellan is not completely unusable, and can provide some rebounding while on the floor in limited minutes. He’s also a smart and aware player who doesn’t turn the ball over, though somewhat inept as a scorer or defender.

 

Charles Hinkle  - 6′6″, 195lb Sophomore SF
(2.0ppg – 0.9rpg – 0.92 A/TO – 86.7% FT)

Hinkle is a decent free-throw shooter who can be substituted when games are out of hand and be counted on to make free throws without being a liability to turn the ball over. Not much else.

 

Joe Duffy  - 6′8″, 225lb Junior PF
(1.0ppg – 1.2rpg – 40.0% FG – 75.0% FT)

Duffy serves well as a place-holder on the floor, but not much else. He doesn’t receive many chances to show his skill, but when he does he simply doesn’t have the assertiveness to compete.

 

Andre Walker wasn’t included because he didn’t play last year, but he should compete for a starting position. The team is heavily talented and deep, and has every chance at winning the SEC this season.

 

Schedule Breakdown

Cupcakes : Limpscomb (H), DePaul (H), Tennessee St. (H), Mercer (H), Manhattan (H), Southern Mississippi (H), Middle Tennessee St. (H)

Real Games : at St. Mary’s (A), Cincinnatti (N), Western Kentucky (N)

Marquee Matchups : Missouri (H), Illinois (N)

Opposite Division : Alabama (A), Auburn (H), Mississippi St. (H), LSU (H), Ole Miss (A), Arkansas (A)

Predicted Result : (22-6, 12-4), NCAA Tournament

Analysis : The Commodores have a brutal non-conference schedule; what I’d call the toughest in the league. Despite this, I think the team loses just two of those and compete for the overall SEC title.

 

What’s Returning

Points : 92.58 percent (2nd—SEC Avg: 73.81 percent)

Rebounds : 92.25 percent (2nd—SEC Avg: 75.80 percent) 

 

The Commodores have everything it takes to take the SEC by storm this season. Everything is there, with the only potential weakness is talent under the basket to back up Ogilvy. If that is straightened out, this team could pose a strong threat for a Final Four.

2009-10 SEC Basketball Previews: Tennessee

The pile of drool that has become Kentucky basketball this offseason has overshadowed a lurking menace to the SEC in the form of Bruce Pearl’s Volunteers.

I personally see very few arguments against the Vols being the heavy favorites in the SEC East. The Vols return every major contributor from last year’s SEC East co-title team, add a talented newcomer, and have possibly the best coaching staff in the league.

Unlike the Wildcats, the Vols’ preseason rankings—that all seem to be hovering around 10th—are deserved.

Pearl is an offensive coach, and this is well understood. He also likes his guards.

Both of these began to appear to be too obvious to Vols fans last season, as the team struggled to shut down opponents defensively and when the guards couldn’t live up to their end of the bargain, their own offense collapsed.

In fact, in a Bruce Pearl oddity, it was the big men who carried Tennessee in 2008-09.

The Vols were physical and rebounded well, but struggled with ball-handling and shooting. Highly-touted freshman Scotty Hopson didn’t live up to expectations and only one [backup] player averaged more than a third of their three-point attempts.

Despite the struggles in specific areas of the game, the Volunteers pushed their way into the NCAA Tournament and lost in the first round.

The offseason wasn’t kind to the Vols, as their second potential all-star freshman Emmanuel Negedu went down to a heart condition and most assume his basketball career is over.

Josh Tabb, one of the most potential-filled players on the roster, was also suspended in September for an unspecified amount of time so he can “focus on academics”. Look for his situation to be reassessed in December.

The Vols’ recruits this season could help fill that void.

 

Kenny Hall
(No. 54 overall—No. 11 PF—6′9″—215lbs)

Hall is a versatile big-man. He’s quick and has a limited face-up game, and is a competent shot-blocker.

His work ethic and competitive attitude make him stand out, and he should help with the Vols’ depth under the basket this season.

 

While depth nor talent will be an issue for Pearl this season, the team needs to click on both offense and defense. An extra season with nearly the exact same players should help.

 

Tyler Smith —6′7″, 215lb Senior SF
(17.4 PPG—5.8 RPG—1.63 A/TO—43.9% FG)

Smith is as close to as unclassifiable as is physically possible. The only thing he surely is NOT is a center. Past that, take your best guess.

He is an ultra-reliable player in every respect. He has an unlimited supply of energy and competitiveness, and is a dominating leader on the floor.

I’m a number Nazi, I admit this. But Smith is the only case in which I will shamelessly say his impact and ability hugely outstretches his efficiency.

He’s the best ball-handling big(ish) man in the conference, and he is likely the smartest player in the league as well.

As Tyler Smith goes, the Vols go. He was named First-Team All-SEC this preseason, and will make a push for SEC Player of the Year.

 

Wayne Chism —6′9″, 246lb Senior PF
(13.7 PPG—8.0 RPG—46.6% FG—32.0% 3PT)

Chism is easily amongst the most underrated players in the SEC. He ranks in the league’s top 10 most efficient scorers, outranking even Tyler Smith. He’s the third-most efficient returning rebounder. And that’s just what the numbers can say.

Chism is dynamic and a massive mismatch for opponents. With his size, defenders tend to give him space at range, despite his numbers, and he more often than not makes them pay.

Chism is a game-changer overshadowed by game-changers. He should be a crucial piece of the puzzle for the Volunteers this season.

 

J.P. Prince —6′7″, 205lb Senior PG
(9.9 PPG—4.2 RPG—57.2% FG—1.49 A/TO)

Prince is a slasher by default, as only 24 of his 222 attempts last season were from behind the arc. Good thing, though, as only three of those went in.

He’s an explosive and athletic scorer, with speed and ball-handling skills. He’s also a very talented on-ball defender and capable rebounder.

Prince plays an important role for the Vols, and should continue to do so this season.

 

Scotty Hopson —6′7″, 200lb Sophomore SG
(9.2 PPG—2.7 RPG—42.8% FG—35.7% 3PT)

Hopson wasn’t the one-and-done talent most expected, and the Vols needed, him to be a year ago.

Not only did he disappoint to some degree, he also limited team chemistry as a ball-hog. He attempted more threes than any other team member, despite making just 35.7 percent of them. His effort from the floor also left much to be desired.

Hopson needs to step up his effort on the defensive end of the floor and either shoot more reliably or become more of a team-player to keep from becoming a liability while on the floor.

 

Bobby Maze —6′3″, 195lb Senior PG
(8.2 PPG—2.4 RPG—2.02 A/TO—109 AST)

Most pointed to point-guard play as the weakness for the Vols in 2008-09, and this wasn’t the case for the most part.

In fact, Maze ranked second in the league in assist-to-turnover ratio and ninth in average assists.

He did, however, tend to shoot first and pass second. If either Smith or Chism wasn’t available on the inside, he tended to shoot the ball a bit too often considering his lack of game-changing ability from that distance.

Maze should be solid for the Vols once again, though he needs to be more aware of the off-ball movements of his guards to maximize his team’s offensive fluidity.

 

Cameron Tatum —6′6″, 197lb Sophomore SF
(7.6 PPG—2.2 RPG—41.9% FG—32.1% 3PT)

Tatum is merely a roleplayer who gives his teammates some breathing time. His decision-making is suspect, his shooting is weak, and his effort level is questionable.

Tatum has a while to go before he can contribute to any degree on this talent-laden team.

 

Brian Williams —6′10″, 278lb Junior C
(5.0 PPG—5.6 RPG—53.8% FG—20 BLK)

Williams is yet another thoroughly talented big-man that Pearl has filtered into the program, though not as versatile as the others. Williams’ range is limited to near the basket—as most centers’ are—and his rebounding is literally the most prolific and efficient in the league.

His sheer size is no doubt his strength. If he could work on his free-throw percentage, he could be a star for the Orange.

 

Josh Tabb —6′4″, 195lb Senior PG
(3.4 PPG—1.8 RPG—50.6% FG—42.4% 3PT)

As I mentioned earlier, Tabb could be Tennessee’s most potential-laden player. His stroke is phenomenal, but his motivation is lacking.

His effort is poor and his work ethic isn’t great. If he would put his head into the game, he could be an X-Factor for the Vols.

 

Renaldo Woolridge —6′8″, 208lb Sophomore SF
(2.6 PPG—1.3 RPG—1.55 A/TO—31.1% FG)

Woolridge provides some depth off the bench and handles the ball well, but does very little else.

 

Melvin Goins —5′11″, 195lb Junior PG
(Transfer from Ball State)

Goins looks to provide competition for Maze at the starting point-guard spot. He is a pass-first point, who plays selflessly and has great awareness on fast-breaks. He’s also more adept than Maze at defending in the press-style defense, which Pearl plans on employing more this season.

Goins could very well become the Vols’ starting point-guard by SEC play.

 

The Volunteers have so many playmakers on the squad, that very well could be their weakness. With that number of players willing and able to score, it could be holding back the team’s chemistry.

 

Schedule Breakdown

Cupcakes : Austin Peay (H), UNC Asheville (H), East Carolina (N), College of Charleston (H), East Tennessee St. (H), Middle Tennessee St. (N), Wyoming (H), North Carolina A&T (H), Charlotte (H)

Real Games : USC (A)

Marquee Matchups : Memphis (A), Kansas (H)

Opposite Division : Auburn (H), Ole Miss (H), Alabama (A), LSU (A), Arkansas (H), Mississippi State (A)

Predicted Result : (24-4, 13-3), NCAA Tournament

Analysis : The Vols’ strength of schedule decreased a good bit this season from last season, with the non-conference losing a good number of high-powered mid-majors. There’s only one truly difficult non-conference game, with the Jayhawks coming to Knoxville, and the SEC schedule sets up nicely for an SEC title run.

 

What’s Returning

Points : 97.30 percent (1st—SEC Avg: 73.81 percent)

Rebounds : 94.50 percent (1st—SEC Avg: 75.80 percent) 

 

Outlook

This team has the pieces to make an NCAA Championship run. The talent is there. The depth is there.

The trick will be for those pieces to fit together.

For that to happen, a long-distance threat or two will need to emerge, and consistent pass-first point-guard play must emerge.

If it does, the nation could turn orange in April.

2009-10 SEC Basketball Previews: South Carolina

For the second-straight season, the Gamecocks return nearly every single player on their roster.

Second-year head coach Darrin Horn is hoping that, for the second-straight season, the Gamecocks won’t underachieve.

Despite being one of the most experienced rosters in the league last season, USC only managed 21 wins and a first-round NIT exit.

Last year’s squad was dangerous, but inconsistent. And there certainly was significant improvement from the previous two years, but not nearly as much as many expected, despite tying for the SEC Eastern Division Championship.

The issue this coming year is that, though the team is likely the most experienced in the league with eight upperclassmen on the roster, the SEC has caught up. Last year, the league was weak, but specifically the East has retooled and every team but Georgia could legitimately challenge for the division this season.

Last year seemed to be USC’s shot at making a statement and although the team improved heavily, it fell just short of making a name for itself.

This season, it will be much, much harder to do so.

The team brings back every major contributor to that team minus Zam Fredrick, the team’s top shooter. Also gone are Branden Conrad and Mitchell Carter, neither of who played more than 20 games last season.

To replace them, Horn has some respectable talent coming into Columbia.

 

Lakeem Jackson
(No. 68 overall, No. 15 SF, 4 stars, 6′5″, 200lbs)

Jackson has energy to spare, both on offense and defense. His strength, speed, and aggressiveness will suit him well if they translate into college. His tendency to turn the ball over while slashing to the basket, however, needs to be limited and his shooting touch could improve.

Ultimately, he’s a big guard-type that, once the learning process is complete, has the body of a successful SEC player. Could start.

Ramon Galloway
(No. 13 PG, 3 stars, 6′2″, 170lbs)

Galloway has blinding speed and huge hops, and is very long for his size. He’s great driving to the rim, but can see the floor as a point, as well.

He will probably endure some growing pains in college, but he should be ready to step into Downey’s shoes next season.

Steve Spinella
(No. 44 SG, 3 stars, 6′5″, 180lbs)

The Gamecocks desperately needed to add size on their perimeter, and have done so in this long, sizeable shooter.

Spinella is not much more than a shooter, but his shooting touch could be potent if it can endure SEC defenses. With his size, I suspect he’ll have a better shot than most.

Johndre Jefferson
(PF, 2 stars, 6′9″, 205lbs)

With the Gamecocks suffering at times last season due to their lack of size in all areas of the floor, Jefferson should help provide a big body to take some pressure off defensively.

Jefferson is a capable shot-blocker and is relatively quick for his size, but isn’t much of a scorer.

 

Hard to tell whether the offseason brought a net gain or loss for the Gamecocks, as Fredrick was crucially important for the team but the addition is substantial. Jackson may get the start, or may be the first man off the bench. He might be able to provide a spark offensively to compensate for Fredrick’s departure.

 

Devan Downey , 5′9″, 170lb Senior PG
(19.8ppg, 2.8rpg, 89 stl, 1.3 A/TO)

Downey is one of the most well-known names in the SEC, but also one of the more overrated.

What he does well, he does very well. He handles the ball with care, is an excellent passer and is the best on-ball defender in the league.

His scoring prowess, however, is less potent than most would have you believe. Downey is potent slashing to the rim, but despite his 150 attempts from long-range last season he only managed to make 34.7 percent of those.

Downey is a tremendous player and dynamic offensive and defensive force, but his shooting needs to improve this season if he hopes to compete for SEC Player of the Year.

Dominique Archie , 6′7″, 216lb Senior SF
(10.9ppg, 6.4rpg, 50.8% FG, 47 stl)

Archie is a powerful all-around player who can do everything required of him. He is one of the best rebounders in the league at his position, his length makes him a dangerous defender both on and off the ball, and he has a solid jumper to complement his offensive package.

He can also shoot competently behind the arc, making him incredibly difficult to defend. His energy will be crucial to the Gamecocks’ success this season.

Mike Holmes , 6′7″, 230lb Junior PF
(10.8ppg, 7.7rpg, 37 blk, 40 stl)

Holmes is one of the more under-appreciated big-men in the league because of his relative lack of offensive skill.

His shooting is pretty close to awful, and his ball-handling is worse. On top of this, his mark from the charity stripe was 45.8 percent last season.

However, his rebounding is highly efficient and he is a lockdown defender. He should either opt to shoot less or improve his shot-selection, but he is a valuable starter regardless.

Brandis Raley-Ross , 6′2″, 194lb Senior SG
(7.0ppg, 2.6rpg, 1.09 A/TO, 41.8% FG)

Raley-Ross struggles in most areas of the game. His shooting touch is nothing more than adequate, his rebounding leaves room to be desired, and his defense is flat-out bad.

Despite starting seven games last season, it’s tough to imagine Raley-Ross playing more than a backup role on this year’s team.

Evaldas Banilius , 6′7″, 215lb Senior SF
(6.4ppg, 2.6rpg, 48.0% 3PT, 47.5% FG)

Banilius is an underused shooter. That percentage isn’t a trick —he attempted 100 shots last season and made 48 of them. Some serious shooting.

His ability to hold onto the ball and defense are lacking, but his shooting alone could sneak him into the starting lineup if it continues to be as consistent as it was a year ago.

Sam Muldrow , 6′9″, 220 Junior C
(5.6ppg, 5.3rpg, 56.5% FG, 39 blk)

Though he’s no Varnado, Muldrow is a great shot-blocker. In fact, he’s the SEC’s second-most efficient returning swatter.

He’s reliable offensively, as well. His range is as limited as you’d expect a center’s to be, but he is great in and around the paint.

He’s the clean-up kind of guy who can do everything that’s required. He’s got size and can rebound. Not a great ball-handler, but he isn’t asked to do much with the ball.

Muldrow could very well compete for a starting spot for the small USC team to add size and experience underneath the basket.

Austin Steed , 6′8″, 235lb Junior C
(3.9ppg, 3.6rpg, 49.4% FG, 31blk)

Steed is pretty close to a twin of Muldrow, ability-wise. Neither can hold onto the ball, but both are potent shot-blockers and reliable scorers. Steed has a bit more size and is more assertive offensively, but takes riskier shots.

Robert Wilder , 6′1″, 188lb Senior PG
(0.2ppg, 0.2rpg, 42.9% FT, 3 stl)

Despite seeing a little less than five minutes per game and action in 29 of them, Wilder put up eye-poppingly horrible numbers. He has zero confidence and is one of the most irrelevant and inefficient players in the league.

 

The Gamecocks don’t have a ton of depth, but do have a good deal of talent in the top seven or eight-man rotation. The peculiar aspect of USC’s roster is that nearly every player has some glaring weakness at their own position, and those weaknesses will need to be complemented with a consistent rotation of players if the Gamecocks hope to make the NCAA Tournament this season.

 

Schedule Breakdown

Cupcakes : Alabama A&M (H), Georgia Southern (H), Jacksonville (H), Wofford (A), Furman (H), Longwood (H)

Real Games : La Salle (N), Western Kentucky (H), Richmond (H),

Marquee Matchups : Clemson (A), Boston College (A), Baylor (H)

Opposite Division : Auburn (A), LSU (H), Ole Miss (A), Arkansas (A),
Mississippi State (H), Alabama (H)

Predicted Result : (16-12, 7-9), No Postseason

Analysis : While South Carolina may be a better team than last year, it won’t show. Losing its top scorer and bringing in only one sure-fire immediate contributor, coupled with the massive strengthening of the SEC East, should prove a setback for the Gamecocks this season.

 

What’s Returning

Points : 77.61 percent (5th—SEC Avg: 73.81 percent)

Rebounds : 87.94 percent (3rd—SEC Avg: 75.80 percent)

 

Surprisingly to some, USC has an uphill battle to fight this season. Points must be replaced, balance must be found and an all-out dogfight with the SEC East must be waged.

The Gamecocks have the talent to contend for an NIT birth, but the NCAA’s will be a massive over-achievement.

2009-10 SEC Basketball Previews: Ole Miss

Considering the Rebels’ limited success under Andy Kennedy, the team seems to be facing a relatively high amount of expectations heading into 2009-10.

The Rebels have overachieved under Kennedy, this much is true. After struggling for years at the bottom of the SEC West, Kennedy took the team in his first year at the helm to 21 wins and its first postseason appearance in five years.

This, however, was in a downturn in the conference’s strength. In fact, Kennedy has yet to finish above .500 in the league, or make the NCAA Tournament.

Most agree Kennedy has coaching talent, but off-the-court issues and injuries are holding his teams back, and Ole Miss fans are beginning to wonder when excuses won’t be enough to explain the poor performance.

Last year handed the Rebels one of the worst cases of bad luck of any team in the nation.

Sophomore Trevor Gaskins dropped to a knee injury before the season began. Versatile wing Eniel Polynice had to have surgery after playing one game. Eleven games into the season, the Rebels’ most important player in Chris Warren also fell to a knee injury and was done for the season.

After the season, Zack Graham underwent surgery after playing most of the season with a patella tendon tear.

And then there was the Cincinnatti incident.

Depending on whose story you believe, the details differ. The facts are that Kennedy was out late, past his team’s curfew in fact. He had been drinking, and ordered a cab. Words were exchanged between the cabbie and Kennedy, the police were called. Kennedy was arrested, and is currently on probation.

The cabbie claims Kennedy verbally and physically assaulted him, Kennedy denies this.

The problems didn’t end there. Not long after, the head coach’s wife filed a lawsuit against the cabbie, claiming the whole fiasco was hurting, among other things, their love-life.

Imagine the jokes he heard after that one.

Regardless, it’s easy to see why the Rebels struggled to a 16-15 overall record, 7-9 in the SEC.

With several Rebels returning from injury, suddenly the team is receiving votes for the Top 25 and expectations are growing.

If the team can avoid injury and the injured players can return to their former selves (and that’s a big “if”), the Rebels might actually make a push for the postseason.

The Rebels’ top scorer, David Huertas, opted to travel back home and play in Puerto Rico’s professional league. Malcolm White, who would have been the team’s anchor under the basket this season, also decided to leave and transferred to LSU.

Here’s a look at the two newcomers for the Rebels.

 

Reggie Buckner
(No. 25 PF—Four stars—6′9″—205lbs)

Buckner was Tennessee’s Mr. Basketball, and set the state’s high-school career blocking record. That says enough.

Buckner is a very talented player and is highly athletic for his size. He’s quick, handles the ball well, and rebounds tremendously.

On the flip side, his offense needs a lot of refining to be competitive in the SEC. Should start due to the team’s lack of talent/depth up front.

 

DeAngelo Riley
(PF—Two stars— 6′9″—235lbs)

Riley also comes in with a reputation for blocking shots, though his career began at the junior college level.

Like Buckner, Riley is a work in progress offensively, but has further to go. Will provide depth.

 

While the Rebels may be lacking in experienced, talented depth under the basket, the same can not be said for their backcourt. Ranked by many outlets as the best in the league, it will need to carry the squad this year.

 

Chris Warren : 5′10″, 168lb Junior PG
(19.6ppg—1.5rpg—1.63 A/TO—85.5% FT)

Warren has more potential than almost any player in the league. His masterfulness with the basketball sets him apart, and his leadership skills were second last year only to now-departed Florida starter Nick Calathes..

While during his freshman campaign he shot almost 39 percent from behind the arc, that percentage dropped nine percent last season. He only played barely a third of the season last year, but his offensive efficiency should improve to maximize his impact on the floor.

Warren was chosen Second-Team All-SEC by the media pre-season and will start for the Rebels at the point.

 

Terrico White : 6′5″, 213lb Sophomore SG
(13.7ppg—3.4rpg—1.31 A/TO—35.4%)

White was the single most over-hyped player in the league in 2008-09. White had big scoring nights and stepped up in the league, but finished the season with a below-par mark from behind the arc and has yet to prove he can be a reliable threat from deep.

He was forced into the limelight with the team’s massive injuries, but simply attempted too many shots at too low a percentage.

All eyes will be on White this coming season, as he was chosen First-Team All-SEC this preseason. He is a force and has the potential to be a great player, but consistency will be a must this season.

 

Zach Graham : 6′6″, 218lb Junior SG
(8.5ppg—3.1rpg—38.2% 3PT—80.0% FT)

Graham is an unheralded shooter who could start at the small forward position this season. He is athletic, a solid rebounder for his position and has an outstanding touch from all areas of the floor.

 

Murphy Holloway : 6′7″, 230lb Sophomore PF
(8.4ppg—6.6rpg—54.8% FG—1.00 A/TO)

Holloway ranked second in the league amongst freshmen last season in double-doubles, with six. His field-goal percentage led all freshmen.

His ball-handling is excellent for a big-man, and even more so for a freshman.

Holloway will need to continue his impressive performances this season, as the Rebels will be relying upon him heavily under the basket.

 

Eniel Polynice : 6′5″, 222lb Junior SF
(6.0ppg—5.0rpg—28.6% FG—66.7% FT)

Polynice is one of the most intrinsic ball-handlers in the league, even better than teammate Chris Warren. He’s physical and dynamic, energetic, and a mismatch-creating rebounder.

What he is not, however, is a shooter. In 2007-08, Polynice shot just 27.0 percent from three and 50.5 percent from the charity stripe.

His defense is also outstanding, and he will certainly start.

 

Terrance Henry : 6′9″, 202lb Sophomore SF
(4.2ppg—3.6rpg—39.3% FG—71.7% FT)

Henry is yet another large guard/small forward in the stable Kennedy has created. His speed in the open floor is his strength, though his range is limited. If he can find some range from the three-point line, he could turn into a solid contributor.

 

DeAundre Cranston : 6′9″, 260lb Senior PF
(3.1ppg—4.2rpg—45.1% FG—18 ast)

Cranston is Ole Miss’ most efficient rebounder, and is useful if not for that very reason. He also has a decent stroke from most anywhere on the floor except the charity stripe oddly enough, where he shot just 50.0 percent last season.

 

Will Bogan : 6′1″, 172lb Sophomore SG
(2.3ppg—0.8rpg—34.1% 3PT—1.22 A/TO)

Bogan is a serviceable guard with a good handle on the basketball. His shooting is poor, but is a capable three-shooter when he’s not closely guarded. Started seven games a year ago, but shouldn’t see nearly as much playing time with his team healthy.

 

Kevin Cantinol : 6′10″, 255lb Sophomore C
(0.8ppg—0.7rpg—70.0% FG—1.5 A/TO)

Cantinol is one of the meekest and most understated players in the league, ranking amongst the league’s worst in minutes per field-goals attempted. If he were to be more assertive, he could give some meaningful minutes to the team.

 

Trevor Gaskins wasn’t included because he didn’t play a year ago, though he is a very capable shooter that could, and should, have a big impact for Ole Miss this season.

As is obvious, the play of Holloway will be the X-factor for the Rebels this season. The team should naturally struggle with rebounding, and Holloway absolutely must play consistently, and with energy for the Rebels to pose a danger to opposing teams.

 

Schedule Breakdown

Cupcakes : Arkansas-Little Rock (H), Alabama St. (H), TAMCC (H), Arkansas St. (A), Southern Miss (H), McNeese St. (H), Centenary (H), Jacksonville St. (H), UCF (H)

Real Games : Indiana (N), UTEP (N)

Marquee Matchups : West Virginia (A)

Opposite Division : Georgia (A), Tennessee (A), South Carolina (H), Kentucky (A), Vanderbilt (H), Florida (H)

Predicted Result : (18-10, 8-8), NIT

Analysis : The Rebels will suffer because of this schedule for two reasons. First of all, the team’s RPI will be greatly harmed because of the lack of decent opponents. Secondly, Ole Miss’ draw against the opposing division is not favorable, as they will play two of the division’s top three teams on the road.

 

What’s Returning

Points : 66.93 percent (7th—SEC Avg: 73.81 percent)

Rebounds : 69.40 percent (8th—SEC Avg: 75.80 percent) 

 

While expectations are increasing in Oxford, the reality isn’t friendly. The team is uni-dimensional and has no depth under the basket. The non-conference schedule is weak. The conference schedule isn’t friendly.

If Holloway turns into an All-SEC caliber player and the Rebels avoid injuries, the NIT is a good goal for the Rebels and an NCAA bid isn’t out of the question.

2009-10 SEC Basketball Previews: Mississippi State

Senior Jarvis Varnado entered his freshman year as a scrawny, long psuedo-athlete with little conditioning, little offense and a keen eye for blocking shots. He wasn’t ranked in the nation’s top 100 recruits, and he served as a backup as a freshman.

As a sophomore, Varnado grabbed some of the league’s limelight. In just his second year as a collegiate player, and first as a starter, he tied Shaquille O’Neal’s SEC single-season block record with 157 swats to lead the nation and garner National Defensive Player of the Year honors.

Last year was much the same, with improved offense. Varnado stands 12th in the league’s returning scorers and 4th in field-goal percentage. He also is one of the league’s most efficient rebounders and increased his blocking total to 170 – more than over 300 Division 1 schools and again leading the nation and earning National Defensive Player of the Year honors.

And he’s the nation’s best walk-on, and one of the best of all time.

That’s right. He’s a walk-on.

After his experimentation with the NBA draft last spring/summer, Varnado learned that MSU had the chance to sign Renardo Sidney and John Riek, both of which are former top five players. Knowing that would put State over the scholarship limit, Varnado offered to give up his scholarship.

Hard to find positive stories involving athletes in the presses nowadays.

As a team, the Bulldogs didn’t expect much going into last year. The team had lost one of the most dynamic duos to play in the league this decade in Jamont Gordon and Charles Rhodes, and were starting a freshman point guard.

After an average non-conference season, the Bulldogs pulled some upsets and finished third in the West, far worse than they were used to. However, a spirited march through the SEC Tournament landed them in the Big Dance and gave Rick Stansbury more than 20 wins yet again.

This year is different. Expectations are very high for Stansbury, as the team returns every significant player and loses only one benchwarmer. With the addition of former top five player John Riek and the possible inclusion of infinitely-talented Renardo Sidney, the Bulldogs have the school’s second Final Four appearance in sight.

Despite losing just one player, the Bulldogs’ signing class was actually pretty sizeable.

 

Renardo Sidney
(#9 overall – #2 PF – 5 stars – 6′11″ – 255lbs)

Sidney is repeatedly mentioned as the nation’s most talented recruit. Questions exist about his effort level, but his talent level simply can’t be matched.

Although he’s been cleared by the NCAA academically, his amateur status has been a long, ugly fight throughout the summer and continues to be in doubt.

Whether or not he plays for State, every scout in the nation knows Sidney would dominate in college. His shooting touch is extremely rare for a big-man, he would be the best-passing big-man in the collegiate game and he is a massive scoring threat.

If he receives clearance, he could elevate MSU from a deep-March team to one that could challenge for a title. Look for him to start immediately if he were to be declared elligible.

John Riek
(C – 4 stars – 7′2″ – 240lbs)

Riek also faced challenges to his amateur status, and will sit nine games as punishment.

Those nine game will serve him well, however, as he is still recovering from an ACL tear that took his stock from Top Five to nearly-forgotten prep-school player.

Riek is much like Varnado when he entered college: raw offensively but with great size, rebounding and defending skills. His wingspan alone is a force to be reckoned with, and should provide a tremendous impact for the team when he is elligible.

Riek likely won’t start, but will be a force off the bench.

Shaunessy Smith
(#26 SG – 3 stars – 6′5″ – 180lbs)

Smith comes out of high school as one of the most heralded shooters to ever graduate from the state of Mississippi.

His size and body are beneficial to him, and his shooting touch is outstanding. If that touch can translate effectively to the college game, Smith should contribute immediately for the Bulldogs.

Wendell Lewis
(C – 2 stars – 6′8″ – 220lbs)

Lewis is an underrated inside player with a strong offensive set of skills. Coaches say that Lewis has been a surprise and could challenge for minutes off the bench, despite a deep Bulldog rotation.

 

The Bulldogs are one of the deepest teams in the league, if not the nation, and one of the most experienced as well.

 

Jarvis Varnado  - 6′9″, 230lb Senior C
(12.9ppg - 8.8rpg – 170blk – 54.9% FG)

Varnado’s acclaims say it all. First-team All-SEC, two-time National Defensive Player of the Year, Fourth-Team All-American.

Varnado is quite literally the best shot-blocker the nation has ever seen, while his rebounding and scoring skills tend to be overlooked.

While he has a tendency to foul and is attempting to add bulk on his wiry frame, Varnado will easily challenge for SEC Player of the Year honors this season.

Barry Stewart  - 6′3″, 170lb Senior SG
(12.4ppg – 3.8rpg – 36.5% 3PT – 46 stl)

Stewart is a rare case, in that he began his collegiate career with a bang and has faded since. He shot nearly 40 percent from behind the arc as a freshman and was down about three percentage points by last year.

Stewart is still a very capable shooter with the capability of 20-point nights. He’s a smart player with a good handle on the basketball, and is a great defender.

Look for him to back up Dee Bost at the point with the offseason loss of Twany Beckham to surgery.

Ravern Johnson  - 6′7″, 175lb Junior SG
(12.1ppg – 3.1rpg – 39.5% 3PT – 84.8% FT)

Johnson was one of the more underrated shooters in the nation a year ago, as he led the nation from behind the arc at several points last season.

His shooting touch is helped by his height, which creates mismtaches for his defenders. He’s also a speedy and dynamic player who can streak to the rim.

His defense needs work, as does his ball-handling, but Johnson could be one of the best shooters in the league this season.

Dee Bost  - 6′2″, 170lb Sophomore PG
(10.9ppg – 3.6rpg – 1.53 A/TO – 156 ast)

Bost was one of the better true point guards in the league last season, but saw his shooting plummet once SEC play started. His size causes his shooting mark to struggle occasionally under pressure, and he tended to be a bit impatient with the ball.

Selfish, however, he is not. He ranked third in the league in assists as a freshman.

His ball-handling and defense are very solid, but his shooting touch needs to improve if he plans on attempting over 300 shots again this season.

Phil Turner  - 6′3″, 170lb Junior SF
(8.5ppg – 5.5rpg – 46stl – 37.7% 3PT)

Turner is a surprising jumper and a dynamic, energetic player. He’s yet another Bulldog that is capable of 20-point scoring nights and has a tall tear-drop shot that is effective most of the time.

He’s also very potent defensively because of his energy and length. He will challenge for a starting spot, depending on if Stansbury goes big or small.

Kodi Augustus  - 6′8″, 220lb Junior PF
(6.2ppg – 3.4rpg – 48.1% FG – 79.2% FT)

Augustus sparked MSU’s run through the SEC Tournament last season, and has offensive firepower to boot. He’s one of the team’s most versatile players, and can extend his reach out to behind the arc.

He is a poor decision-maker and ball-handler however, and needs to work on his defensive effort before he can challenge for a starting spot.

Romero Osby  - 6′8″, 230lb Sophomore PF
(4.1ppg – 2.6rpg – 43.2% FG – 67.2% FT)

Osby is a physically gifted player who hasn’t learned the game of basketball well enough to be truly effective in college. His shot-selection must improve, but if it comes around he will be a very effective player.

Riley Benock  - 6′4″, 180lb Junior SG
(2.3ppg – 0.9rpg – 37.5% – 1.47 A/TO)

Benock is a rather unidimensional player, but is pretty good at what he does, which is shoot. However, his confidence level is very low and he has very little assertion on the court.

 

Bailey is likely out this season, as he is still recovering from an injured ankle. Beckham is recovering from surgery and is also out.

 

Schedule Breakdown

Cupcakes : Rider (H), Southeastern Louisiana (H), Bethune-Cookman (H), Texas Pan-American (H), St. Bonaventure (H), DePaul (N), Centenary (N), Mississippi Valley St. (H), San Diego St. (A)

Real Games : Richmond (N), Wright St. (H), Houston (A)

Marquee Matchups : UCLA (N), Western Kentucky (A)

Opposite Division : Georgia (H), Vanderbilt (A), Florida (A), Kentucky (H), South Carolina (A), Tennessee (H)

Predicted Result : (24-6, 12-4), NCAA Tournament

Analysis : The Bulldogs aren’t playing a particularly difficult schedule, with a reasonable chance of running through the non-conference slate undefeated. The team plays more games on neutral and away courts than most any team in the conference, and that should help out when the SEC schedule hits in January.

 

What’s Returning

Points : 90.85 percent (3rd—SEC Avg: 73.81 percent)

Rebounds : 86.53 percent (4th—SEC Avg: 75.80 percent)

 

The Bulldogs seem to be set for a big season in 2009-10. If things go well and Sidney is allowed to play, MSU could make a run for April.

One thing is for sure, with or without Sidney, Stansbury’s lack of Sweet Sixteen appearances has no excuse not to end this season.

2009-10 SEC Basketball Previews: LSU

Trent Johnson inherited a quite favorable situation last year in his first year as head coach of the LSU Tigers.

The Tigers had a Final Four appearance still rather close-by in their rear-view mirrors and returned an excellent amount of depth and talent. Granted, from a team that massively underachieved the year before.

LSU had all the pieces to surprise some teams in the West entering November 2008.

The rest, however, was coaching.

Johnson quickly seized his opportunity and LSU tore through their schedule (other than a massive 30-point blowout loss at Utah) and seemed poised to lose just a single game in-conference heading into March.

And then, rather inexplicably, LSU fell apart. The Tigers lost four of their last six games, and flamed out of an outstanding season which carried heavy post-season expectations.

Ironically, Johnson and his squad find themselves in a similar position this preseason.

LSU loses around 15 percent more production than any other SEC squad, including SEC Player of the Year Marcus Thornton, who ranked second in the league at 21.1 points per outing and second amongst league guards in field-goal percentage.

Also gone is the league’s second-best defensive big-man in Chris Johnson, one of the better ball-handlers in Garrett Temple, and talented all-around contributors in Terry Martin, Quintin Thornton and Delwan Graham.

With more to replace than any other team in the league, LSU’s recruiting class leaves a lot to be desired.

 

Aaron Dotson
(#27 SG – 3 stars – 6′4″ – 194lbs)

Dotson has lots of potential and great size for his position. His shooting has nice form, but the range needs to increase a bit. Considering the utter lack of depth, Dotson has a good chance of starting, and will see heavy minutes regardless.

Eddie Ludwig
(#39 SF – 3 stars – 6′7″ – 195lbs)

Ludwig is an all-around player, but needs to work on his speed and man-to-man evasiveness to maximize his impact at the collegiate level.

 

So, by my calculations, LSU is left with seven available scholarship players heading into 2009-10. Looks like Arkansas isn’t the only SEC team that needs to hold open tryouts.

Here’s a look at what remains on the LSU roster.

Tasmin Mitchell  - 6′7″, 245lb Senior PF
(16.3ppg – 7.2rpg – 52.2% FG – 55 stl)

Mitchell will undoubtedly step into the position of big-time scorer that Thornton vacated for the Tigers, and could be a darkhorse for the league’s Player of the Year.

Mitchell is one of the league’s most efficient rebounders, scorers and on-ball defenders, and will be relied upon very heavily this season. Will start.

Bo Spencer  - 6′2″, 186lb Junior SG
(11.4ppg – 2.9rpg – 40.3% 3PT – 1.38 A/TO)

Spencer is one the SEC’s most unheralded shooters and overall players. He is outstandingly potent from behind the arc as well as the charity stripe and handles the ball with care.

Spencer is marketedly unselfish, though his defense is severely lacking. He also is not particularly adept at shooting under pressure. Should start.

Storm Warren  - 6′7″, 230lb Sophomore PF
(2.0ppg – 1.8rpg – 15 blk – 42.9% FG)

Warren is more talented than his numbers show, though he’s very rough around the edges on on-ball defense and ball-handling.

If he can figure out the game and learn some decision-making, he could play a valuable role for the Tigers.

Alex Farrer  - 6′5″, 200lb Senior SG
(1.7ppg – 0.8rpg – 72.2% FT – 1.06 A/TO)

Farrer isn’t a standard bench-warmer, as he can provide some valuable minutes without being a liability. His ball-handling and decent mark from the charity stripe alone warrants him playing time.

 

Although there’s simply no denying Johnson’s coaching talents, 2009-10 should be a long season without some miracles.

 

Schedule Breakdown

Cupcakes : UL-Monroe (H), Indiana St. (H), UL-Lafayette (H), Northwestern St. (H), Southeastern Louisiana (H), Nicholls St. (H), Rice (H), McNeese St. (H)

Real Games : Utah (H)

Marquee Matchups : Washington St. (A), Xavier (A)

Opposite Division : South Carolina (A), Florida (A), Tennessee (H), Kentucky (H), Vanderbilt (A), Georgia (H)

Predicted Result : (13-14, 4-12), No Postseason

Analysis : This is an appropriate schedule for a team that should struggle. Some chances at big upsets and plenty of cupcakes.

 

What’s Returning

Points : 41.61 percent (12th—SEC Avg: 73.81 percent)

Rebounds : 36.17 percent (12th—SEC Avg: 75.80 percent)

 

One of many positives of a talented coach is that the possibility of a surprisingly positive season is always present. Johnson won’t have much depth to work with this season, but stranger things have happened.

2009-10 SEC Basketball Previews: Kentucky

Bandwagon [band-wag-uhn]—Noun: A cause or movement that, by its mass appeal or strength, readily attracts many followers. (www.dictionary.com)

 

What bigger fanbase is there in college basketball? Certainly none more rabid or anxious for success than Kentucky.

When a large mass of people begin to buy into something (a belief, a political party, Kentucky basketball, etc.), the buzz spreads. Who better to create that buzz than God himself (for practical purposes, the previous can be assumed to be John Calipari)?

Granted, Calipari has numbers. He’s 403-137 (.746) as a head coach, including wildly successful stints at UMass—five straight conference titles, five straight conference tournament titles, five straight NCAA appearances, one Elite Eight appearance, and one Final Four appearance—and Memphis—four straight conference titles, four straight conference tournament titles, six NCAA appearances, two Elite Eight appearances, and one National Championship Runner-up.

Easy to see, then, why the True Blue are in a frenzy over their new head coach.

This is a different level of coaching prestige. Billy Gillispie came into Kentucky as one of the hottest mid-major coaches, yes, but Calipari’s achievements make Gillispie look like the slow kid from the house next door that always won a ribbon no matter how many times he ran the bases the wrong way.

Despite being the cynic I am regarding this year’s Kentucky team, I admit that Calipari is a very talented program leader and is a massive step up from the now-alcoholic Gillispie.

Expectations are undeniably at a level that even the majestic Wildcats haven’t seen in some time.

Kentucky is ranked second in many national top-25 publications I’ve viewed and in the top five in nearly all of them. The Wildcats are fully expected to challenge for a national title with the help of the [insert NBA Hall-of-Famer here] protege freshman John Wall.

In fact, it seems as if anything short of a Final Four would be a severe disappointment for most Kentucky fans approaching 2009-10.

My, how memories are short and rationale is scarce.

Unless I’ve suffered an offseason stroke, this is the same backbone of experience that missed the NCAA Tournament in 2009, a feat that hadn’t been achieved since before some of their players had been born. Despite the undeniable talent of Patrick Patterson and Jodie Meeks, the team simply had no chemistry and relied on Meeks for more than 40 percent of its scoring.

Well, guess what? That 40-plus percent is gone. Meeks opted to stay in the NBA draft, leaving Patterson as the only player to average more than eight points last season.

The amount of talent added in Meeks’ place is understood. Calipari’s first recruiting class in Lexington is mathematically one of the best the game has ever seen. The stars fell in Lexington this offseason.

While the freshmen will, in my opinion, vault Kentucky from a non-NCAA team to a Sweet 16-type team, freshmen simply don’t win championships. A freshman, perhaps even two, being relied upon to help carry a team can be doable (Calipari and Derrick Rose comes to mind), but not a whole roster full of freshmen.

That’s not my only reasoning here, Kentucky fans. Stop writing the hate mail you’ve undoubtedly begun and hear my second point.

Truly great teams require a healthy dose of experience, talent, depth, and balance. Experience I’ve discussed, talent will be ample, and depth should be okay. Let’s break down Kentucky’s balance.

Five freshmen in the entire conference hit more than 36 percent of their three-pointers last season. Most, if not all, of these came in as shooters. With the loss of Meeks, Kentucky does not have a single returning player that hit over a third of his three-pointers.

 Let me re-emphasize that: Kentucky does not have a single returning player that hit over a third of his three-pointers.

Thus, it would seem relatively important for this all-star incoming freshman class to have some shooters. This is common logic. Let’s break down that recruiting class now.

 

John Wall
(No. 1 Overall – No. 1 PG – five stars – 6′4″ – 175 lbs.)

Wall is everyone’s (yes, everyone) preseason favorite for National Freshman of the Year. He’s also garnered many picks as preseason favorite for National Player of the Year. Yes, it happens, but no, it doesn’t happen often.

I’ve never been a fan of all-league or non-freshman-related national honors for incoming freshmen, but that’s a different article for a different day.

Wall is very, very quick, has a great layup touch, and is particularly talented at taking contact in the lane. He’s also has an excellent knowledge of the game and superior passing skills.

His weaknesses (yes, he does have them) all involve shooting. His accuracy is subpar, especially for someone with his expectations, from mid-range and flat-out suspect from behind the arc. This will almost certainly become more so against collegiate-level players.

Wall will start—shock, I know—at the point and should obviously challenge for every freshman award there is both in the SEC and in the nation.

 

DeMarcus Cousins
(No. 10 overall – No. 2 C – five stars – 6′9″ – 245 lbs.)

Cousins is an aggressive, physical athlete with an excellent work ethic. Think Patrick Patterson with more range. Cousins is pure potency offensively either on the block or face-up and will almost certainly start alongside Patterson.

Defensively, Cousins needs work—like most freshmen—and his range is limited to about 10 to 12 feet. As it stands, Cousins is not a perimeter shooter in the college game.

 

Daniel Orton
(No. 18 overall – No. 4 C – five stars – 6′9″ – 260 lbs.)

Think of Orton as a mirror image of Cousins—at least in some ways.

Like Cousins, Orton is big, physical, and aggressive. Unlike him, he favors defense instead of offense.

Orton is an instinctual shot blocker and has a tremendous presence under the basket defensively. His offense needs a lot of refining, however, as his mechanics lead him to be block-prone himself.

That lack of basic offensive mechanics also leads to a lack of free throw opportunities.

Orton is tremendously talented and has a great deal of potential, but he needs some work to become an all-around threat.

 

Eric Bledsoe
(No. 30 overall – No. 6 PG – four stars – 6′0″ – 185 lbs.)

Bledsoe will quickly become one of the purest point guards in the conference. His leadership and ability to see the open man will be nearly unrivaled in the SEC, and he should share a decent amount of time with Wall because of it.

However, Bledsoe is a weak scorer. He’s not particularly aggressive with the ball, and his stroke needs work. His perimeter shot is particularly questionable.

 

Jon Hood
(No. 48 overall – No. 10 SF – four stars – 6′6″ – 180 lbs.)

A weak defender, Hood is a unique player overall due to his serious work ethic and passion for the game.

Hood is a classic student of the game and plays as such. He reads the floor masterfully, though he has a tendency to turn the ball over, and has an excellent mid-range jump shot, though he will find it tough to out-step his defender in college because of his lack of dynamic speed.

His perimeter shot is average, perhaps slightly above average, and that should translate better to college than most due to his versatile shot-selection portfolio.

Hood is a solid all-around backup, but he will need to utilize that basketball knowledge to find open opportunities because of his lack of speed.

 

Darnell Dodson
(JC – SF – three stars – 6′8″ – 180 lbs.)

Dodson, a junior-college transfer, comes in as the only freshman of the class known for his shooting. Dodson is a talented scorer who can rebound very well for his thin size.

Dodson’s length helps his long-range shot as well, and he should be able to provide the Wildcats some amount of backcourt presence.

 

 

See a trend here? The Wildcats are looking to have one player, just one, who may actually provide any consistent long-term threat from deep. That is a junior college transfer, no less, whose game may or may not translate efficiently into the Southeastern Conference.

With those transitions, there are success stories and there are failure stories.

Hood has the potential to complement Dodson if the chips fall correctly and he is able to continue to improve his long-range shot against quality competition.

While it’s easy to argue that I’m simply hating or being pessimistic, I’m simply not.

I’m not saying Kentucky won’t be a very good team, and I’m not saying their offense is going to fall apart. What I am saying is that an inordinate amount of their offense will run through the frontcourt due to a lack of backcourt depth, and in return the Wildcats will struggle with teams with talented low-block defenders.

With this glaring weakness, Kentucky simply isn’t well-rounded enough to win a national championship and is not deserving of a top-10 spot at the moment.

 

Here’s analysis of Kentucky’s current roster.

 

Patrick Patterson: 6′9″, 235-lb. Junior PF
(17.9ppg – 9.3rpg – 60.3% FG – 1.02 A/TO)

Patterson is clearly the more rational and sane option on Kentucky’s roster in the 2009-10 National Player of the Year discussion.

There’s simply nothing Patterson doesn’t do nearly perfectly. He is the second-most dominating offensive big man in the conference (to Vanderbilt’s A.J. Ogilvy, based on efficiency numbers), his rebounding speaks for itself, and his defense is also second-best in the conference (to Mississippi State’s Jarvis Varnado).

What’s most surprising about Patterson is not the standard scoring/defending numbers. It’s what else he does well.

He registered more assists than turnovers last year, which is nothing short of remarkable for a big man. In fact, only five forwards return with better ratios.

He also blocked 70 shots, third-best in the conference.

Patterson is, to me, the All-American superman of college basketball. Think Tim Tebow of college hoops.

Patterson will, once again, garner First-Team All-SEC honors and likely jump to the draft after this season.

 

Perry Stevenson: 6′9″, 207-lb. Senior PF
(7.8ppg – 5.9rpg – 67 blk – 54.0% FG)

Stevenson is one of the more underrated low-block defenders in the conference, as his blocking efficiency ranks in the conference’s top 10.

His range is fairly impressive, stretching out to the three-point line at times, though he’s not a huge offensive threat. His rebounding, however, is excellent. Stevenson will likely play backup to an incoming freshman but will be a solid player in his own right.

 

Ramon Harris: 6′7″, 218-lb. Senior SF
(5.5ppg – 3.8rpg – 53.1% FG – 28 starts)

Harris believes he has deep range. His 24 percent three-point percentage from last year suggests otherwise.

Harris is a typical backup, with questionable offensive numbers but with decent rebounding and defensive numbers. He is also above average in the turnover department.

 

Darius Miller: 6′7″, 223-lb. Sophomore SF
(5.3ppg – 3.1rpg – 80.4% FT – 1.13 A/TO)

Miller has more upside than most backups, as his efficiency and effort are above average in nearly every department.

His performance at the stripe alone means he will be an asset on the floor, though his in-game shot selection could be better. He’s smart with the ball and a very good defender. Should see a decent amount of playing time.

 

DeAndre Liggins: 6′6″, 202-lb. Sophomore PG
(4.2ppg – 2.4rpg – 1.23 A/TO – 24 stl)

Liggins is the perfect example of high incoming freshman expectations that don’t see fruition. Liggins was a consensus top-25 and four-star player out of high school, but he struggled mightily on offense (as his 23.5 percent effort on 51 three-point attempts shows) and ultimately saw little floor time.

His skills for his position are solid, as is his knowledge of the game. But his offensive ability, along with his assertiveness, will need to increase before he can challenge for a starting spot.

 

Josh Harrellson: 6′10″, 265-lb. Junior PF
(3.6ppg – 2.5rpg – 20 blk – 72.2% FT)

Harrellson caused waves in last season’s exhibition debut, but those waves have turned to ripples and faded out since.

His game simply isn’t, and never will be, refined enough to make him more than another big body on the floor to provide others with downtime. His shooting touch isn’t too bad, but his ball-handling makes him a liability every time he sees the floor.

 

 

Kentucky is, without a doubt, both very deep and very talented in the frontcourt. In fact, it could be the best in the nation, much less the league.

The backcourt, however, will be key.

Freshmen aren’t known for their consistency, and Dodson/Hood will absolutely have to be better than 36-percent shooters. At least two other Wildcat players will need to become relative threats from deep as well if Kentucky has any hope of matching the incredible expectations placed upon them.

 

Schedule Breakdown

Cupcakes: Morehead State (H), Miami-OH (H), Sam Houston State (H), Rider (H), UNC-Asheville (N), Indiana (A), Austin Peay (H), Drexel (H), Long Beach State (H), Hartford (H)

Real Games: Cleveland State (N)

Marquee Matchups: North Carolina (H), Connecticut (N), Louisville (H)

Opposite Division: Auburn (A), Arkansas (H), Ole Miss (H), LSU (A), Alabama (H), Mississippi State (A)

Predicted Result: 21-9, 10-6; NCAA Tournament

Analysis: Kentucky’s schedule is very favorable, with several mid-majors at home that should build the RPI. Having UNC and Louisville at home are both positives.

 

What’s Returning

Points: 56.95 percent (11th—SEC Avg: 73.81 percent)

Rebounds: 75.76 percent (sixth—SEC Avg: 75.80 percent)

 

I fully realize Kentucky fans will be ripping this to shreds, and only because I refuse to agree to an opinion simply because others have it.

Logic and evidence suggest that Kentucky will be competitive and probably a top-25 team, but not the world-beaters that the Kentucky faithful insist they will be.

Calipari is well on his way (further than he should be in his first year) to building a juggernaut in Lexington, but this isn’t the year for the Wildcats to compete for a national title.

2009-10 SEC Basketball Previews: Georgia

Georgia is a football school. When you’re a Georgia athlete, you want to play between the hedges…not in Stegeman Coliseum.

This is well-known. This is fact.

No surprise, then, that Georgia’s men’s basketball team isn’t exactly the most successful in the league. In fact, it’s perennially one of the least-respected and mediocre programs in the SEC.

Dennis Felton is the latest victim to this fact, as he was unable to revive the Bulldogs past a dream run through the 2008 SEC tournament as the East’s six seed. Georgia, put simply, is a tough place to coach.

This is the situation former Nevada coach Mark Fox inherits. Little talent, no devotion to success, and no history on which to build.

And to be certain, 2009-10 doesn’t appear to be a year to build upon. The Bulldogs lose two starters, including their top scorer, from a squad that went 12-20 overall and 3-13 in the league.

Terrance Woodbury was the team’s main scoring threat, averaging a team-best 14 points per game. He led the team with 141 attempts from behind the arc despite a 33.1 percent mark from that distance.

Corey Butler also graduated, and was possibly the more talented of the two and certainly the more versatile.

With the head-coaching loss, a couple of reserves opted to transfer as well. Zac Swansey, who started 17 games last season, is gone after seeing limited success as a Bulldog. And Troy Brewer left after enduring several off-the-court issues that limited his playing time.

Filling those vacancies are a trifecta of three-stars, who need to step up quickly if Georgia even has hopes of finishing above .500 this season.

 

Marlon Brown
SF—Three stars (Rivals)—6′5″, 205 lbs

Information on Brown is limited, but his size is substantial for his position and this could create some mismatches.

 

Vincent Williams
PG—Three stars (Rivals)—6′1″, 150 lbs

Williams is a speedy ball-handler, but severely undersized. Decent upside.

 

DeMario Mayfield
SG—Three stars (Rivals)—6′3″, 175 lbs

With his only offer from Georgia, his skills need improvement before he will see heavy floor-time.

 

Only one current Bulldog is more than an average role-player, as the Bulldogs suffer from a bare talent cupboard.

Trey Thompkins 

6′10″, 247lb Sophomore PF
(12.6ppg – 7.4rpg – 38.4% 3PT – 31 blk)

 

Thompkins, in all seriousness, could be SEC Player of the Year someday. His pure talent at nearly every aspect of the game is nearly impeccable. His three-point mark included a respectable 86 shots attempted, so it’s no fluke.

He’s one of the most unfairly overlooked players in the league and has super potential, if only he could protect the ball a bit more. Will start.

 

Dustin Ware

5′11″, 182lb Sophomore SG
(7.2ppg – 1.7rpg – 36.4% 3PT – 1.44 A/TO)

Ware is a surprisingly efficient sophomore who has a solid stroke from everywhere on the court. He handles the ball very well, especially for his age, and should be a staple for the Bulldogs this season. Will start.

 

Travis Leslie 

6′4″, 202lb Sophomore SF
(6.3ppg – 3.9rpg – 21 stl – 44.7% FG)

Leslie, who started four games a year ago, is merely a sub-par roleplayer on a sub-par team. He doesn’t specialize in any one area, has a poor shot and turns the ball over prolifically. He does, however, defend fairly well. May start.

 

Jeremy Price 

6′8″, 264lb Junior PF
(5.1ppg – 2.9rpg – 10 starts – 25 ast)

Obviously, Price is a big guy and big guys don’t like to hold onto the ball typically. Such is the case for Price. He also doesn’t perform well either offensively nor defensively. Another body to have on the court. May start.

 

Albert Jackson 

6′11″, 265lb Senior C
(4.5ppg – 3.8rpg – 48.3% FG – 28 starts)

Jackson also has size, and also can’t handle the ball. He is, however, efficient offensively but not nearly as aggressive as he should be. Defensively, he can hold his own. Likely to start.

 

Chris Barnes 

6′8″, 240lb Junior PF
(4.4ppg – 3.9rpg – 52.9% FG – 25 blk)

Unlike most Georgia reserves, Barnes has a good amount of potential if he were to see more playing time. He uses his time wisely offensively and defensively, and could easily be a starter under a good coach.

Look for him to challenge for a starting spot at some point this season if he can learn to hang onto the ball.

 

Ricky McPhee 

6′1″, 184lb Senior SG
(3.6ppg – 1.5rpg – 36.4% 3PT – 1.00 A/TO)

McPhee is a serviceable player who can shoot and defend well. He’s a versatile player that can handle the ball, but the main knock against him is his aggressiveness. He ranks amongst the 10 worst in the league in minutes/field goal made despite a solid shooting percentage.

McPhee needs to find some purpose on the floor if he wants to challenge for a starting spot, as he well could given his ability.

 

Drazen Zlovaric 

6′9″, 210lb Sophomore SF
(1.2ppg – 0.9rpg – 37.5% FG – 17 games)

Zlovaric is amongst the worst in the league in most categories, and is more a practice body than anything.

 

With such a lack of talent and depth, the Bulldogs look to struggle yet again.

 

Schedule Breakdown

• Cupcakes: New Orleans (H), Wofford (H), UNC-Asheville (H),
  Jacksonville St. (H), Florida Atlantic (H), Pepperdine (H)
• Real Games: UAB (A), St. Louis (H), St. John’s (N)
• Marquee Matchups: Virginia Tech (A), Illinois (N), Missouri (A),
  Georgia Tech (H)
• Opposite Division: Ole Miss (H), Mississippi State (A), Arkansas (H), Auburn (A), Alabama (H), LSU (A)
• Predicted Result: (10-19, 3-13), No Postseason
• Analysis: This is a surprisingly tough schedule for a team who is struggling to rebound from years of mediocrity. The Bulldogs will be pushing it to make it to the double-digits in wins.

 

What’s Returning

• Points: 62.21% (9th – SEC Avg: 73.81%)
• Rebounds: 68.92% (9th – SEC Avg: 75.80%)

 

Mark Fox has a long way to go to get this program back to respectability. Unfortunately, there simply isn’t much room for improvement in 2009-10.

Any kind of postseason for the Bulldogs, barring another miracle SEC Tournament streak, is deserving of National Coach of the Year honors.

2009-10 SEC Basketball Previews: Florida

This offseason could have gone from a bad one to a disastrous one for Billy Donovan.

The heralded coach was expecting to approach 2009-10 as a favorite to take the SEC crown, but he saw his phenom point guard opt for the pro league—in Greece.

Losing Nick Calathes was a devastating blow for the Gators. The junior-to-be would have easily been the most talented player in the SEC to return, as his ability to not only handle the ball but also manage the team’s intangibles couldn’t be overstated.

Let the stats talk for themselves. Calathes was consensus First Team All-SEC, ranked seventh in the league with 17.2 ppg, had the highest field-goal percentage amongst conference guards with a 48.2 percent mark, led the conference with 6.42 assists per game, ranked second with 1.89 steals per game, and finished fourth with a 1.94 assist-to-turnover ratio.

As bad as the loss of Calathes was, it could have been worse. Over the summer, it was announced that the team’s only other big-time all-conference player had decided to transfer. Florida’s NCAA Tournament chances hung in the balance of Alex Tyus’ decision to follow through with this decision.

Luckily for the Gators, he chose not to and returned to school. The reasons for this random drama were never released, but Tyus is returning for his junior season.

Donovan is hailed as possibly the best coach in the Southeastern Conference, but dissenters claim he has consistently underachieved sans the two National Championships, where he simply got lucky with the players on the roster.

This year provides him a chance to quiet those claims. If Florida can manage to make the NCAA Tournament, especially if it wins its first game, the Gators certainly wouldn’t have underachieved.

Here’s the breakdown of this year’s Florida freshmen.

 

Kenny Boynton
(No. 15 overall – No. 4 SG – five stars – 6′2″ – 185 lbs.)

Boynton is one of the biggest scoring threats out of this year’s freshman class and is fiercely competitive. His scoring potential alone will earn him a starting spot from the beginning, and this kid could be all-conference in no time.

The Gators need someone to step into Calathes’ shoes at the point, and Boynton may or may not be able to do so. His passing isn’t stellar, and his basketball intelligence needs some work. His height could factor into his effectiveness at the collegiate level as well, as he is a bit short.

 

Erik Murphy
(No. 12 PF – four stars – 6′9″ – 210 lbs.)

Heart is a good word for Murphy, who has a great work ethic and a desire to compete. Murphy is strong on the inside offensively under the basket but has little range or defensive presence. His rebounding could use work as well, along with his ball-handling.

To be truly effective on this level, Murphy needs to master the skills necessary to find himself a bit further away from the basket.

 

 

The entire state of Florida effectively recruits itself, no less the most prestigious athletic university in the state. Florida is already filled with more stars than the night sky.

 

 

Alex Tyus: 6′8″, 220-lb. Junior PF
(12.5ppg – 6.2rpg – 59.1% FG – 222 reb)

Tyus is tremendously talented, though not very versatile. He ranks second in the league for field-goal percentage shooting and is an absolute glass cleaner. With the loss of Calathes, Tyus will be called on to score more, and the ball will be in good hands. Will start.

 

Erving Walker: 5′8″, 171-lb. Sophomore SG
(10.1ppg – 1.5rpg – 41.9% 3PT – 36 stl)

Walker was one of the most underrated freshmen in 2008-09, as his three-point shooting alone should garner him a lot of attention this year. Knocking down over 40 percent of your shots from outside is no easy task, much less when you’ve attempted 167 of them. The returning All-SEC Freshman is a great all-around player and should start this season.

 

Chandler Parsons: 6′9″, 215lb Junior PF
(9.2ppg – 5.7rpg – 1.28 A/TO – 46.0% FG)

Parsons is a bit rough around the edges, as his overall shooting touch could improve and his decision-making is sometimes suspect. However, he can be relied on to not turn the ball over and is a talented rebounder. Parsons is a solid role player and should start this year.

 

Dan Werner: 6′8″, 230-lb. Senior PF
(8.9ppg – 4.9rpg – 1.45 A/TO – 35.7% 3PT)

Werner is one of the biggest mismatches in the SEC. His pure size suggests an opposing big man should be guarding him, but his ability to shoot from outside, strong ball-handling, and speed make that a bad idea. Werner is a dynamic offensive and defensive on-ball threat and will likely start this year.

 

Kenny Kadji: 6′10″, 248-lb. Sophomore C
(4.4ppg – 2.7rpg – 24 blk – 48.4% FG)

Kadji is a former five-star who is inarguably talented, but is also one of the most prolific turnovers-in-waiting in the league. The sophomore’s assist-to-turnover ratio was 0.14 last season, and that has to be corrected if he expects to see more playing time. Kadji is a formidable low-block defender and has upside.

 

Ray Shipman: 6′5″, 210-lb. Sophomore SF
(3.8ppg – 2.1rpg – 27 stl – 49.0% FG)

Shipman is, and always will be, a moderately talented role player. His range is very limited, but he has a nice stroke within that range. His effort at the charity stripe is admirable, and he provides a net gain when on the court both offensively and defensively.

 

The Gators have a solid core of talent but have little depth. Making the NCAA Tournament would be an accomplishment for Donovan’s squad this year.

 

Schedule Breakdown

Cupcakes: Stetson (H), Georgia Southern (H), Troy (H), Florida A&M (H), Jacksonville (A), South Alabama (H), Presbyterian (H)

Real Games: Richmond (N), American (H), N.C. State (A)

Marquee Matchups: Florida State (H), Michigan State (N), Syracuse (N), Xavier (H)

Opposite Division: LSU (H), Arkansas (A), Alabama (A), Mississippi St. (H), Auburn (H), Ole Miss (A)

Predicted Result: 20-10, 10-6; NCAA Tournament

Analysis: After Florida’s embarrassingly weak schedule in 2008-09, this is impressive. Florida should have a tough time with this schedule, and this RPI will likely carry them into the NCAAs.

 

What’s Returning

Points: 63.63 percent (eighth—SEC Avg: 73.81 percent)

Rebounds: 73.80 percent (seventh—SEC Avg: 75.80 percent)

 

Billy Donovan is facing a challenging season and a perfect opportunity to silence his doubters. With a tough schedule ahead of them, the Gators have the potential to make some noise if their key players can stay healthy and Boynton takes quickly to the collegiate game.

2009-10 SEC Basketball Previews: Auburn

Jeff Lebo has a comparatively long coaching history—and it’s an ugly one.

Lebo is barely over .500 as a head coach at 81-76, and this season is looking like the end of the road for the Auburn head coach.

In fact, last year likely would have done it had it not been for a late resurgence. After a slow start to the SEC slate, Auburn’s experience—not coaching—managed to pull them into second place in the Western Division…highest ever under Lebo.

2008-09 was Lebo’s second year over .500 in five years at Auburn and easily the best record at 24-12 overall, along with an NIT quarterfinal appearance.

Those days are gone as the Tigers lose three starters, including possibly the most underrated big man in the nation in Korvotney Barber. Barber at times led the nation in field goal percentage and fell just 0.4 rebounds per game short of averaging a double-double.

Also gone is Rasheem Barrett, who was a steady role player capable of big nights, as well as the league’s best true point guard in Quantez Robertson.

The War Eagle is losing its heart, and it is likely going to equate to a messy season in 2009-10. The three losses combined for 2,865 minutes last season alone, along with 814 shots attempted.

Trying to fill those massive shoes are five lesser-known recruits.

 

Andre Malone
(No. 27 SG – three stars – 6′4″ – 200 lbs.)

Malone is a big shooting guard who creates a mismatch for his defender. He should see decent minutes as a freshman.

 

Earnest Ross
(No. 40 SG – three stars – 6′4″ – 185 lbs.)

Ross is a versatile player with a very strong body. He will likely come in at the three spot, as his long-range touch isn’t the best—neither is his ball-handling. Expect him to play off the bench but struggle with turnovers.

 

Ken Gabriel
(PF – three stars – 6′7″ – 200 lbs.)

Gabriel comes in as yet another smaller big man for Lebo. He’s thick but a bit short for his position; he should come off the bench a good bit due to a lack of depth.

 

Robert Chubb
(PF – two stars – 6′9″ – 200 lbs.)

This afro-armed big man has work to do and will serve as a role player off the bench.

 

 Ty Armstrong
(PF – one star – 6′8″ – 190 lbs.)

While this big man has some work to do, he had several high-major offers and has some upside.

 

 

With such limited talent replacing some outstanding losses, Auburn’s chances both short and long-term are not good for competing in any kind of postseason.

Auburn brings back a few SEC-caliber players.

 

 

DeWayne Reed: 6′1″, 175-lb. Senior PG
(13.2ppg – 2.6rpg – 1.46 A/TO – 67 stl)

Reed will step into Quantez Robertson’s position and run the Tigers this season, as he is a very talented ball-handler and all-around defender. Will start.

 

Tay Waller: 6′2″, 193-lb. Senior SG
(12.1ppg – 2.8rpg – 1.32 A/TO – 36.8% 3PT)

Another leader who handles the ball effectively and has a nice stroke from anywhere on the floor. Waller dominates the team’s three-point shooting. Will start.

 

Lucas Hargrove: 6′6″, 218-lb. Senior SF
(8.1ppg – 5.3rpg – 46.4% FG – 40 stl)

Yet another Tiger that’s good on defense and at handling the ball. Hargrove is the most versatile player on the team and has plenty of range, but he should work on his effort from the charity stripe. Will start.

 

Frankie Sullivan: 6′1″, 195-lb. Sophomore SG
(7.6ppg – 1.9rpg – 1.24 A/TO – 39 stl)

Sullivan is a typical Lebo-style player, small and lean who can defend and handle the ball well. Despite attempting 124 shots from beyond the arc, Sullivan barely hits a third of them and must work on his long-range effort to be truly effective. Likely to start.

 

Johnnie Let: 6′8″, 210-lb. Senior PF
(2.8ppg – 3.4rpg – 52.2% FG – 8 starts)

Let has limited use outside of a big body on the block, though he’s efficient near the basket on offense. His defensive presence is average, and he has an absolutely awful stroke from outside of five feet.

 

Brendon Knox: 6′10″, 238-lb. Senior C
(2.5ppg – 1.7rpg – 66.0% FG – 10 stl)

Knox is a specialist who sees most games, but not a huge number of minutes. He’s good for a dunk every now and then and has a good eye for knocking the ball out of a dribble-drive.

 

 

While Auburn lost a ton from a season ago, imagine how much more difficult 2010-11 will be, when just a single player will be an upperclassman.

 

Schedule Breakdown

Cupcakes: Missouri St. (A), IUPUI (N), High Point (H), Alabama A&M (A), Troy (H), Alabama St. (H), Charleston Southern (H), Georgia Southern (H), West Georgia (H)

Real Games: Niagara (H), UCF (N), N.C. State (N), Sam Houston St. (H)

Marquee Matchups: Virginia (H), Florida St. (A)

Opposite Division: South Carolina (H), Tennessee (A), Kentucky (H), Vanderbilt (A), Georgia (H), Florida (A)

Predicted Result: 13-18, 3-13; No Postseason

Analysis: The Tigers have a fairly weak schedule, but it works for them due to this team’s complete lack of depth or experience.

 

What’s Returning

Points: 61.60 percent (10th—SEC Avg: 73.81 percent)

Rebounds: 49.33 percent (11th—SEC Avg: 75.80 percent)

 

The Tigers have massive voids that will be nothing short of impossible to fill, and this should be a rough year for Lebo’s squad. Lebo will join John Pelphrey on the hot seat, although Lebo is much more likely to be searching for a job next March.

2009-10 SEC Basketball Previews: Arkansas

In December of 2008, John Pelphrey looked like a reincarnation of Nolan Richardson. He had driven the Razorbacks of Arkansas to a 12-1 record, a Jim Thorpe Classic title, and wins over #4 Oklahoma and #7 Texas.

Arkansas seemed ready to pounce on the SEC like it hadn’t in over a decade.

And then, rather inexplicably, the squad took a nose-dive of the likes the league hasn’t seen in a very, very long time. Arkansas lost 12 of its next 13 games, and finished with a 14-16 record – including a 2-14 mark in the SEC.

Off-the-court issues also seem to be a recurring theme under Pelphrey. Various legal and school-related instances resulted in the transfer of three Razorbacks this offseason, one player losing his eligibility, another leaving the team completely and yet another with an undetermined suspension.

After an impressive 23-13, 9-7 start in his first year and last year’s 12-1 beginning, Pelphrey seemed to have a glorious halo around him. Less than a year later, his job seems to be at risk.

Arkansas is in complete disarray at the moment, although the roster is heavily talented but top-heavy.

The three transfers accounted for 872 minutes last season and all were solid roleplayers. The biggest name was potential-laden Jason Henry who drew two starts a year ago. Andre Clark and Brandon Moore also transferred out while impressive but underused forward Marcus Monk was deemed inelligible. Serviceable backup Montrell McDonald opted to leave the team as well. Stefan Welsh – star guard who started 24 games and has a big-game potential – is suspended until further notice.

Replacing the many Arkansas defections this year is a set of five newcomers highlighted by four-star Marshawn Powell.

• Marshawn Powell - #62 Overall - #15 PF - 4 stars – 6′8″ - 225lbs
  Powell is an excellent on-the-block big-man, and is solid on both offense and defense. Although he can’t step away from the rim very much and has some learning to do, he will be a future star for the ‘Backs.
• Glenn Bryant - #47 PF – 3 stars – 6′6″ – 190lbs
  Bryant is versatile, as his shooting can be impressive for his size. Should be a solid roleplayer this season.
• Jemal Farmer - SF – 3 stars
  Farmer is a big-time shooter with size, and could make an impact as a backup for Arkansas this season.
• Anthony Borden - C – 3 stars – 6′10″ – 205lbs
  Borden can be dominant defensively at times, but struggles offensively both in practice and in attitude. Borden has some work to do before he will contribute for the ‘Backs.
• Julysess Nobles - PG – 2 stars – 6′ – 165lbs
  Nobles will likely never be more than a roleplayer for Arkansas, though his work-ethic is solid.

What Arkansas does bring back, however, is thoroughly talented. The group includes as many as four All-SEC caliber players.

• Michael Washington - 6′9″, 239lb Senior F/C
  (15.5ppg – 9.8rpg – 55.1% FG – 39 blk)

  Washington is one of the best offensive big-men in the conference, and perhaps the best all-around. He ranks third among returning SEC players in field-goal percentage and even attempted 30 threes a year ago. Washington was named to the All-SEC Second-Team last year and should make the First-Team cut this year.

• Courtney Fortson - 5′11″, 180lb Sophomore G
  (14.8ppg – 5.5rpg – 1.34 A/TO – 33 stl)

  Fortson has been a dynamic player from the start, showing tons of energy and leadership potential even as a freshman. Although his shooting severely needs improvement, his defense and rebounding were both enough to place him on last year’s All-SEC Freshman team.

• Rotnei Clarke - 6′, 184lb Sophomore SG
  (12.2ppg – 1.9rpg – 39.3% 3PT – 93.5% FT)

  Clarke is one of very few players that I will, without hesitation, claim has a very real chance at taking SEC Player of the Year honors in his career. And this for a freshman. Clarke is super-dynamic and is one of the best long-range shooters in the league. If he had attempted enough, he would have led the league in free-throw shooting, handles the ball exceptionally well and is almost certainly the best all-around shooter in the league, if not the country.

  Clarke stands as the league’s top returning three-point shooter at 39.3% last year on 211 attempts. That’s some incredible shooting. Look out for this kid; he’s a serious scorer.

• Stefan Welsh - 6′3″, 185lb Senior SG
  (11.5ppg, 2.9rpg, 31 stl, 36.1% FG)

  Welsh has talent and explosiveness, but isn’t efficient or consistent. He tends to make poor decisions and can be selfish. Welsh needs to work on his touch from both the charity stripe and the floor, along with decision-making, before he is a real threat for opposing teams.

• Michael Sanchez - 6′8″, 236lb Sophomore PF
  (5.9ppg, 4.9rpg, 72.2% FT, 44.8% FG)

  Sanchez was a particularly interesting freshman last year, as there were times that he showed flashes of an ability to dominate offensively as well as on the boards. He is very talented, but not adept defensively. If he can refine his moves around the basket and be more aggressive on defense, Sanchez could make some waves in a couple of years.

• Marcus Britt - 6′3″, 198lb Junior G
  (3.7ppg, 1.8rpg, 2.57 A/TO, 85.0% FT)

  Britt is the definition of a diamond in the rough. Although severely under-utilized, Britt brings an all-around improvement to his team. He started just eight games but sports a 2.57 assist-to-turnover ratio: good enough for first in the conference if he had more playing time. He also shoots 50 percent from three out of 30 shots. Britt has potential oozing out of his ears and should see a massive increase in playing time this season.

Due to the heavy offseason losses, Arkansas joins Binghamton as the only Division 1 school that I’m aware of that is holding open tryouts. That’s right, open tryouts at an SEC institution.

 

Schedule Breakdown

• Cupcakes: Alcorn St. (H), Appalachian St. (H), South Alabama (H), Mississippi Valley St. (H), Delaware St. (H), Alabama St. (H),
  Missouri St. (H)
• Real Games: Morgan St. (H), East Tennessee St. (H),
  Stephen F. Austin (H), UAB (H)
• Marquee Matchups: Lousiville (N), Oklahoma (A), Baylor (N), Texas (H)
• Opposite Division: Florida (H), Kentucky (A), Georgia (A),
  South Carolina (H), Vanderbilt (H), Tennessee (A)
• Predicted Result: (15-16, 6-10), No postseason
• Analysis: Considering the situation in Fayetteville, this should prove to be a difficult schedule.

 

What’s Returning

• Points: 84.63% (4th – SEC Avg: 73.81%)
• Rebounds: 77.66% (6th – SEC Avg: 75.80%)

 

The Razorbacks are one of the most top-heavy teams in America for 2009-10. The squad’s top three players are insanely talented, but the drop-off after man number four or five is massive. Despite the super trio, I see little way Arkansas can pull out a postseason in 2009-10.

Unfortunate for both Washington, who hasn’t seen much success in his career despite his incredible skill, and for Pelphrey, whose job will be threatened because of it.

2009-10 SEC Basketball Previews: Alabama

Time to start rolling out the previews for all 12 SEC teams, starting with Alabama. It’s good to be on top of the alphabet, I guess. (Personal note: I wouldn’t know; last name starts with a “W”. Always annoyed me in school)

Also wanted to note that all of my articles are linked to my Bleacher Report profile, which I will link to my “About Me” section shortly.

The Crimson Tide faithful have shed the shadows of Mark Gottfried’s mediocrity and are hoping for a resurgence to being once again regarded as a powerhouse in the SEC Western Division, and the conference as a whole. Most respect new head coach Anthony Grant and his job at VCU, and most expect him to turn the Tide’s recent history around.

But just how fast will that U-Turn be?

If Alabama hopes to compete for the postseason, it will need a quick one.

The Tide slid a long way from their 2003-04 Elite Eight appearance. Since then, the team has won 20 games just twice, flirted with the .500 mark in 2007-08 (17-16) and went 18-14 last year. Despite some talent on the roster, turbulence and a lack of consistency played a major role in the team’s struggles.

Gottfried resigned mid-season, shortly after star point guard Ronald Steele announced he was leaving the team and implied being mistreated by his former coach.

This year’s team is without a four-year mainstay in do-it-all Alonzo Gee. As a guard, Gee could shoot it, was a great dunker but was most adept at driving to the basket. Many comparisons were drawn between Alonzo and recent Mississippi State standout Jamont Gordon, and they were largely appropriate. Gee’s strength and aggressive attitude provided the squad with some much needed leadership that will be difficult to replace in 2009-10.

Heavily inefficient shooter Brandon Hollinger and under-talented big-man Yamene Coleman join the list of ‘Bama players who don’t return.

Filling their spots will be a set of three three-star players (per Scout): two freshmen and a Junior College transfer.

• Tony Mitchell (#38 overall, #7 SF, 4 stars)
  Mitchell is the highlight of the class. He’s 6′6″ and 185lbs, quick and athletic. He can shoot and drive the basket and should see a great deal of playing time this year.
• Ben Elben (#28 PG) - This 6′, 185-pound point guard is the kind of leader Grant needs to take the reigns of this year’s Alabama squad. Elben fits the hole that Steele left very well, as he is known for his intelligence, patience and leadership. Though he isn’t exactly quick in either his running or shooting, his presence alone should help ‘Bama organize its offense better. Expect Elben to push for a starting position from day one.
• Charvez Davis (SG) - Junior College transfer known for his three-point accuracy. Should see some playing time if he lives up to his shooting potential.
• Chris Hines – Hines is 6′7″ and 225 pounds, a thick “small forward” who can shoot. A Junior-College All-American, Hines is three years removed from high-school and should help ‘Bama with their lack of depth in the paint.

Returning, though, is a crew that is moderately talented and – with good coaching – could turn 2009-10 into a respectable year.

• Senario Hillman (6′2″ – 192lbs – Junior – SG – 12.9ppg – 2.5rpg – 42.6% FG – 28.7% 3PT) – Hillman came out of high-school with a reputation for lights-out shooting, but hasn’t provided on the college court. Hillman is a combined 24.6% shooter from three in his career, despite attempting over 101 long-range shots for the Tide last year, easily the most on the team. He’s a great on-ball defender, ranking third-best amongst league returnees in steals-per-game, but must refine his shot and give Alabama some semblence of a deep threat. Should start.
• JaMychal Green (6′9″ – 220lbs – Sophomore – F/C – 10.3ppg – 7.6rpg – 51 blks – 71.0% FT) – Green is easily the Alabama player with the biggest upside. He is ultra-reliable, is the 6th-best returning rebounder in the conference and is a formidable shot-blocker. If he can manage to take care of the ball – he was the most apt to turn it over on the team a year ago – he will prove to be one of the SEC’s most reliable and efficient big-men. Should start.
• Mikhail Torrance (6′5″ – 210lbs – Senior - PG – 10.0ppg – 2.3rpg – 31.9% 3PT – 88.4% FT) – Torrance is a very versatile guard who is particularly adept at handling the ball – 1.6 assist-to-turnover ratio. His shooting is average at best, but he’s a threat in the late-game with outstanding numbers from the charity stripe as he leads all returning SEC players in that category. Should start.
• Justin Knox (6′9″ – 240lbs – Junior – PF – 5.7ppg – 5.1rpg – 48.3% FG – 22 blks) – Knox has the physical gifts to become a superstar in the Southeastern Conference. He’s a big, physical body down low who is one of the league’s most efficient rebounders. With a little more aggression, Knox could be a surprise force down low for the Tide. Should start.
• Anthony Brock (5′9″ – 165lbs – Senior – PG/SG – 5.6ppg – 1.3rpg – 44.9% 3PT – 32 stl) – Brock is a ticking time-bomb, in the best possible way. He has a rare finesse that was under-utilized by Gottfried that should blossom under Grant. He’s the team’s best long-range shooter – by a long shot – and is the league’s most efficient returning on-ball defender. Brock could be the “X” factor for Alabama this season. Could start.
• Andrew Steele (6′3″ – 215lbs – Sophomore – PG – 3.3ppg – 1.9rpg – 1.53 A/TO – 73.0% FT) – The brother of departed superstar Ronald Steele, Andrew has a lot less potential. Andrew was an average shooter in his freshman campaign and only excels in ball-handling, where is he exemplary. A solid backup point guard.
• Demetrius Jemison (6′8″ – 240lbs – Senior – PF – 3.1ppg – 3.1rpg – 52.8% FG – 62.5% FT) – Jemison is a big body underneath and is a serviceable player, but certainly not one that seems to be challenging for a starting point anytime soon. Jemison is a back-to-the-basket guy and a very efficient rebounder. There are some questions as to his health this season, but I have yet to find anything to verify that.

Grant has a history of success at VCU, where he went a combined 76-25, including a Colonial Athletic Association league title each of the three years at the helm of VCU. Now returning to the league he once served as an assistant in, hopes are high in Tuscaloosa he can bring that level of success to UA.

He’s got the pieces to surprise this year.

Schedule Breakdown

• Cupcakes: Jackson St. (H), North Florida (H), LA-Monroe (H), Samford (H), Mercer (H), Tennessee St. (N), Toledo (A)
• Real Games: Cornell (H), Providence (H)
• Marquee Matchups: Baylor (N), Purdue (H), Kansas St. (N)
• Opposite Division: Vanderbilt (H), Tennessee (H), Florida (H), Kentucky (A), Georgia (A), South Carolina (A)
• Predicted Result: (18-12, 7-9), No postseason
• Analysis: Just one true road game in the non-conference portion of the slate might hurt the Tide in the SEC.

What’s Returning

• Points: 69.67% (6th – SEC Avg: 73.81%)
• Rebounds: 66.02% (10th – SEC Avg: 75.80%)

While Mississippi State is the prohibitive favorite to take the SEC Western Division crown this year, the Tide seems to be underrated in discussion for that #2 spot. While Ole Miss tends to be offered that title, Grant’s Alabama team very well could knock the Rebels off of that stoop and challenge for an NIT berth.

Upcoming Posts…and Blue Ribbon College Basketball Yearbook!

Wanted to let everyone know my life has gotten beyond insane, but posts will be coming soon!

With that said, I wanted to direct all of you college hoops junkies to a book that if, in some retarded stroke of bad luck on your part, you aren’t aware of is simply the single-most necessary item you could ever own.

It’s called the Blue Ribbon College Yearbook, and it’s appropriately called the “Bible of College Basketball”. It is a massive book and includes…

• Feature stories, complete with quotes, of every single Division A school. Every one. Mount Saint Mary’s? Done. Stony Brook? Done. It’s all there.
• In-depth analysis of every single Division A player for every team, predictions of starting lineups, and injury reports.
• Massively extensive break-downs of its Top 25 teams, 3,000-4,000 words apeice.
• Analyses of each conference, its weaknesses and strengths, and predictions of placement.

There’s tons more I don’t even have the space to include, but this is the single most-read book of my entire life. I inhale every single word of this book every year.

On top of all of this, the price has drastically dropped (thanks, recession!) and is down to just $22.95! For this amount of information, research and dedication I seriously am unable to understand how these guys offer this book for that price and stay afloat.

If I’ve sparked your interest, you can purchase it online here or by phone at 1-877-807-4857.

2008-09 SEC Floor General Award

After the big move, I continue this series, which is nearing its completion. This category obviously focuses on talented point guards in the league, based on assists-per-minute. However, as I research more I’ve noticed this statistic is hugely dependant on the shooting prowess of the players around the point guard.

Now, for the standard explanation of this whole process – you can skip this if you’ve read it before…

These awards are meant to effectively and accurately pick the best (and worst) performers in each category. Thus, a line was drawn roughly around the area of 15 games played and/or 40 minutes – 1 full game – played as a minimum. This was done to limit the effect of outliers bringing to our attention surprising walk-ons that could be, according to the stats, future superstars.

Obviously, these awards are not all-encompassing. Players that transferred or any other players that didn’t play for any reason last season are not included.

Be sure to understand that each of these categories, alone, are misleading. For example, if a player won Least Minutes/Assist but also finished last in Least Minutes/Turnover, it is not as impressive. Combining these rankings and statistics will give a more clear and well-rounded picture, but these rankings are fun nonetheless.  

 

The winner is…

 

NICK CALATHES – Florida, Overseas – 5.19 – Last Year: 5.31
Calathes was one of the greatest true point guards this league has seen in a long while. Calathes was a spectacular leader on and off the court, could handle the ball with extreme care, was a dead-eye shooter and possessed an outstanding knowledge of the game. Florida’s chances at making noise this season dropped drastically when Calathes decided to go pro in Greece.

The others…

2. Courtney Fortson – Arkansas, Sophomore – 5.53 – Last Year: N.A.
The Razorbacks would have been absolutely lost without Fortson a year ago. Fortson has energy to spare and is a solid shot, but may be the league’s only player who can compare his awareness to that of Nick Calathes as a freshman/sophomore. Fortson could stand to be a bit less selfish, as he took too many shots at too small a percentage, but he looks to be one of the league’s future stars.

3. Kevin Galloway – Kentucky, Senior – 5.77 – Last Year: N.A.
Galloway saw a decent amount of minutes last season, and started five times, but isn’t a talented enough all-around player to be a true roleplayer for the Kentucky Blue. His ability to see the open man is impressive, however, and he should serve as a legitimate option off the bench at point-guard for Kentucky next season.

4. DeAndre Liggins – Kentucky, Sophomore – 6.00 – Last Year: N.A.
Liggins had one goal as a freshman: Get the ball to Meeks. With Meeks gone to the NBA and a couple of much-hyped ball-handlers recruited into the program, Liggins will likely be playing backup in 2009-10. Complementing that fact was Liggins’ poor shooting and aptitude to turn the ball over, as this stat was fluffed big-time by Meeks’ 40% three-point percentage.

5. Chris Bass – LSU, Sophomore – 6.42 – Last Year: N.A.
Bass’ assist-to-turnover ratio in his limited minutes were nothing short of jaw-dropping, but he did nothing else well. He was a liability as a shooter, and shyed away from physical contact. Bass has a lot of improving to do before he can contribute heavily for the Tigers.

6. Zac Swansey – Georgia, Transfer – 6.92 – Last Year: 10.24
Plagued with off-the-court issues, Swansey and Felton agreed that a transfer would be best for his future playing opportunities. Georgia lost a very competent ball-handler, but a ball-hog who didn’t bring down nearly as many shots as he should have.

7. Twany Beckham – Mississippi State, Sophomore – 7.10 – Last Year: N.A.
Recently discovering two bone spurs, one in each hip, Beckham learned he won’t be able to play this season. This will give the red-shirted sophomore an opportunity to work on his aggression and ball-handling, both of which need to improve. Beckham played point for State’s “second team” as it was known, and that spot should fall to either Stewart or Turner this season.

8. Devan Downey – South Carolina, Senior – 7.28 – Last Year: 6.96
Most hoops fans across the nation know about Downey at this point, as he is small, quick and agile along with serving as a massively potent leader for the Gamecocks. Downey shoots well and makes excellent decisions, and this stat sagged almost entirely due to his surrounding cast and not himself.

9. Dee Bost – Mississippi State, Sophomore – 7.29 – Last Year: N.A.
Perhaps one of the most all-around impressive freshman in 2008-09, Bost seems destined to be a star in the SEC. Bost showed senior-like leadership, was one of the league’s best ball-handlers and shot competently. Regardless of who you are, an assist-to-turnover ratio of more than 1.5 is impressive for a freshman.

10. Dustin Ware – Georgia, Sophomore – 7.44 – Last Year: N.A.
Ware would certainly be nominated for a most underrated SEC freshman award, as his performance was very, very solid in every aspect of the game. Ware is a very good shooter and impressive decision-maker, and handles the ball very well – especially for a sophomore-to-be. Ware should be a talented anchor for Fox’s upcoming Georgia squad.

 

The opposite end of the spectrum…

 

1. Festus Ezeli – Vanderbilt, Sophomore – 360.00 – Last Year: N.A.

2. Malcolm White – Ole Miss, Transfer – 255.67 – Last Year: N.A.

3. Sam Muldrow – South Carolina, Junior – 182.00 – Last Year: 53.88

4. Kenny Kadji – Florida, Sophomore – 106.50 – Last Year: N.A.

5. Yamene Coleman – Alabama, Left Team – 91.50 – Last Year: 51.00

6. Austin Steed – South Carolina, Junior – 89.80 – Last Year: 29.00

7. Mike Holmes – South Carolina, Junior – 71.08 – Last Year: 51.25

8. Albert Jackson – Georgia, Senior – 55.36 – Last Year: 37.07

9. Elgin Bailey – Mississippi State, Junior – 48.33 – Last Year: 212.00

10. Lance Gouldbourne – Vanderbilt, Sophomore – 46.43 – Last Year: N.A.

Calipari is a dirty man…

Calipari Caught

Or at least the NCAA thinks so.

Calipari will become the first college basketball coach ever to have Final Fours vacated at two different schools. After previously having his Final Four appearance vacated by the NCAA at UMass, improper benefits – including free trips on the chartered team jet – and a questionably fraudulent SAT resulted in the NCEE deeming Derrick Rose inelligible and thus all 38 Memphis wins in 2007-08, including the Final Four, are being vacated.

Calipari is known as a great recruiter, but this seems to lend evidence and credibility toward it being not just his bubbly personality. And here’s a thought to the UK fans…if Cal takes UK to a Final Four, will Calipari make it an unprecedented three FF’s vacated and three different schools?

2008-09 SEC Boardmaster Award

Quickly moving on to rebounding, one of the most important categories on the list.

This stat will point out the most efficient glass-cleaners in the league, those who aggressively and accurately are able to grab their share of rebounds on a consistent basis.

This ranking is almost exclusively big-men, and height and good hands tends to help.

Now, for the standard explanation of this whole process – you can skip this if you’ve read it before…

These awards are meant to effectively and accurately pick the best (and worst) performers in each category. Thus, a line was drawn roughly around the area of 15 games played and/or 40 minutes – 1 full game – played as a minimum. This was done to limit the effect of outliers bringing to our attention surprising walk-ons that could be, according to the stats, future superstars.

Obviously, these awards are not all-encompassing. Players that transferred or any other players that didn’t play for any reason last season are not included.

Be sure to understand that each of these categories, alone, are misleading. For example, if a player won Least Minutes/Assist but also finished last in Least Minutes/Turnover, it is not as impressive. Combining these rankings and statistics will give a more clear and well-rounded picture, but these rankings are fun nonetheless.  

The winner is…

 

BRIAN WILLIAMS – Tennessee, Junior – 2.96 – Last Year: 3.22
Williams is one of the more underrated players in the league, and certainly the most underrated rebounder. Get this number…assuming Williams’ numbers would increase proportionally, if he were to play 40 minutes he’d average 13.7 rebounds per game. Oh, and he shoots over 50 percent from the floor and is a solid post defender as well. Williams will never be a star, but is probably the single-best role-player in the league.

The others…

2. Michael Washington – Arkansas, Senior – 3.06 – Last Year: 3.39
Washington was one of the biggest surprises of the SEC last year, and likely would have challenged for SEC Player of the Year had Arkansas not tanked. He nearly has no weakness other than ball-handling, and is an absolutely dominating presence in the paint offensively.

3. Korvotney Barber – Auburn, Graduated – 3.09 - Last Year: 3.85
Barber was one of many players in the league last year who had to nearly carry their teams on their respective backs, and he did so in impressive fashion. He had, at times in his collegiate career, led the nation in shooting percentage but suffered from the same drawbacks as most big-men: poor free-throw shooting and ball-handling.

4. Jarvis Varnado – Mississippi State, Senior – 3.19 – Last Year: 3.67
Varnado is often billed as a one-trick pony, but he is anything but. Varnado, with his extreme length and huge hands, is a phenomenal rebounder, efficient scorer and will break the all-time NCAA record for blocks, assuming he avoids injury. This guy changes the game in many, many ways and on the glass is but one of them.

5. Wayne Chism – Tennessee, Senior – 3.20 – Last Year: 3.97
Chism is my vote for more underrated player in the SEC, as his efficiency numbers are absolutely through the roof for a big-man. He handles the ball very well, has a very effective jump-shot and is solid from the charity stripe, and is even a great defender. There’s not much this guy can’t do with great skill.

6. Delwan Graham – LSU, Left Team – 3.22 – Last Year: N.A.
Graham was probably the single-most potential-filled freshman from a year ago, and noone knew it because of Thornton. Graham, as a big-man, had a 1.00 assist-to-turnover ratio. That’s an admirable number for any player, much less a big-guy. Needless to say he shot over 50 percent from the floor and rebounded like crazy. Shows what a waste off-the-court issues can be for a young, talented players.

7. Jamychal Green – Alabama, Sophomore – 3.29 – Last Year: N.A.
Green played up to his expectations, as he entered the league as one of the most heralded incoming freshmen. To say Green had little surrounding support is a drastic understatement, but he still managed to pose a huge threat offensively and was a great rebounder. If he can manage to hold on to the ball a bit better and work on his decision-making, he has a shot at the next level.

8. Murphy Holloway – Ole Miss, Sophomore – 3.33 – Last Year: N.A.
Holloway is a rare breed. He’s one of few big-men that can honestly claim he is among the best on both offense and defense. His hoops instincts are obvious, and his scoring/rebounding prowess is formidable. He should, however, work on his face-up game.

9. Chris Johnson – LSU, Graduated – 3.49 – Last Year: 4.52
Johnson was much like Mississippi State’s Varnado in that he was underweight but extremely long with big hands, seeming to be able to leap up and just wiggle his arms until a rebound fell into his grasp. Johnson was more of a rebounding/blocking specialist, as he wasn’t very adept offensively.

10. Trey Thompkins – Georgia, Sophomore – 3.54 – Last Year: N.A.
Thompkins is extremely versatile, shooting nearly 40 percent from long distance. His decision-making is awful, however. He has the tools to be an absolute star for Fox’s Bulldogs, but he’s got some refining to do. It would be difficult to find someone as purely talented on both ends of the floor as he, though.

 

The opposite end of the spectrum…

 

1. Robert Wilder – South Carolina, Senior – 28.60 – Last Year: 7.00

2. Chris Warren – Ole Miss, Junior – 22.24 – Last Year: 15.73

3. Walter Hodge – Florida, Graduated – 19.00 – Last Year: 14.50

4. Brandon Hollinger – Alabama, Graduated – 17.75 – Last Year: 15.69

5. Will Bogan – Ole Miss, Sophomore – 17.27 – Last Year: N.A.

6. Rotnei Clarke – Arkansas, Sophomore – 16.86 – Last Year: N.A.

7. Erving Walker – Florida, Sophomore – 16.40 – Last Year: N.A.

8. Dustin Ware – Georgia, Sophomore – 14.87 – Last Year: N.A.

9. Michael Porter – Kentucky, Left Team – 13.89 – Last Year: 13.28

10. Anthony Brock – Alabama, Senior – 12.96 – Last Year: N.A.

2008-09 SEC Pinball Award

So my titles are creative, what of it?

This award will cap off the shooting awards, as it focuses on the players who are most aggressive with the ball and least afraid to draw a foul. This, obviously, is calculated by minutes per free throws attempted.

This category is unique in that it has absolutely nothing to do with shooting, and everything to do with less tangible aspects of the game. A player who gets to the line a lot tends to…(A) Handle the ball a great deal, (B) Be very physical and fearless, and (C) Be a post player. This category can help single out potential leaders for teams as well as identify young players who understand the game well.

Now, for the standard explanation of this whole process – you can skip this if you’ve read it before…

These awards are meant to effectively and accurately pick the best (and worst) performers in each category. Thus, a line was drawn roughly around the area of 15 games played and/or 40 minutes – 1 full game – played as a minimum. This was done to limit the effect of outliers bringing to our attention surprising walk-ons that could be, according to the stats, future superstars.

Obviously, these awards are not all-encompassing. Players that transferred or any other players that didn’t play for any reason last season are not included.

Be sure to understand that each of these categories, alone, are misleading. For example, if a player won Least Minutes/Assist but also finished last in Least Minutes/Turnover, it is not as impressive. Combining these rankings and statistics will give a more clear and well-rounded picture, but these rankings are fun nonetheless. 

 

The winner is…

 

A.J. OGILVY – Vanderbilt, Junior – 4.08 – Last Year: 3.91
Ogilvy places as the first player in the league to claim two titles, and he does so from the charity stripe. Ogilvy is often regarded as “soft”, but this statistic alone proves otherwise. Despite his quiet demeanor on the court, Ogilvy is fierce offensively and is super-aggressive under the basket.

The others…

2. Tyler Smith – Tennessee, Senior – 4.99 – Last Year: 6.36
Smith has a well-known mean-streak, and handles the ball excessively due to his extreme versatility. Smith is a decent three-point shooter, has a solid jumper and can drive the basket along with handling the ball unlike most any other big-man in the league.

3. Brian Johnson – Mississippi State, Graduated – 5.14 – Last Year: 14.36
Johnson was never more than a solid role-player for the Bulldogs, and tended to be haphazardly aggressive in his limited minutes. He had a very poor 0.30 assist-to-turnover ratio, and served often times as more of a liability than an extra body.

4. Michael Washington – Arkansas, Senior – 5.27 – Last Year: 7.67
Washington had to all but carry his entire team, much less the paint, a season ago. He did so by becoming one of the league’s most outstanding big-men, absolutely dominating his area offensively. Washington also has a fiery temper, and is clearly the emotional leader for the Razorbacks.

5. Jodie Meeks – Kentucky, NBA Draft – 5.29 – Last Year: 7.50
Meeks was probably the best all-around player in the league last season, as he once again makes a Top Ten list. Especially impressive here, as he was also the league’s best three-point shooter. Meeks served as about 40 percent of his team’s offense, and in the process handled the ball a great deal. That coupled with his speed to the basket earned him this spot.

6. Chris Warren – Ole Miss, Junior – 5.48 – Last Year: 10.54
Warren would’ve been in the discussion for SEC Player of the Year if he hadn’t gone down in his 11th game last season. Warren is tremendously talented and is extremely potent on every end of the floor. Serving as the Rebels’ point guard, he serves as the team’s ball-handler and also owns impressive speed.

7. Marcus Thornton – LSU, Graduated – 5.58 – Last Year: 9.07
Yet another guard who shows up on this list. Thornton, to be fair, is the least guard-like of them as his frame says more forward. His shot doesn’t, though. Thornton was much like Meeks in that he carried his team offensively, and was aggressive with the ball in his hands.

8. Storm Warren – LSU, Sophomore – 5.74 – Last Year: N.A.
For a freshman to show up on this list is nothing short of impressive. Warren is a bit of a work-in-progress and effectively served as a big-man for Johnson’s squad. His shooting isn’t exactly impressive, and neither is his ball-handling, but with this passion Warren could step up into the shoes of the departing Thornton as the team’s leader on the court.

9. David Huertas – Ole Miss, Overseas – 5.76 – Last Year: 16.27
Huertas, much like Meeks and Thornton, carried his team offensively a year ago. Unlike those two, however, Huertas was forced into that position by a string of injuries that sidelines three Rebel starters. Huertas had speed and athleticism to spare, and certainly filled the roles of “leader” exceptionally well.

10. Jeffery Taylor – Vanderbilt, Sophomore – 5.79 – Last Year: N.A.
As impressive as Warren’s appearance on this list was, Taylor’s is probably moreso. Taylor exhibited a much higher willingness to take a jumper and proved to be a solid all-around defender and ball-handler. Taylor has the makings of a future SEC star.

 

The opposite end of the spectrum…

 

1. Michael Porter – Kentucky, Left Team – 38.50 – Last Year: 48.13

2. Riley Benock – Mississippi State, Junior – 34.08 – Last Year: 28.50

3. Joe Duffy – Vanderbilt, Junior – 31.50 – Last Year: 9.50

4. Marcus Britt – Arkansas, Junior – 28.30 – Last Year: 20.22

5. Brandon Hollinger – Alabama, Graduated – 25.82 – Last Year: 24.00

6. Ravern Johnson – Mississippi State, Junior – 23.91 – Last Year: 18.70

7. Dan Werner – Florida, Senior – 23.79 – Last Year: 14.85

8. Evaldas Banilius – South Carolina, Senior – 22.68 – Last Year: 76.29

9. Branden Conrad – South Carolina, Graduated – 22.58 – Last Year: 7.67

10. Darshawn McClellan – Vanderbilt, Junior – 21.79 – Last Year: 10.89

2008-09 SEC Mr. Clutch Award

Having triumphantly returned to the South after driving over 5,500 miles to California and back, I return this series back to its former glory.

The Mr. Clutch Award is awarded to the player with the least amounts of minutes per free-throws made. This award is clearly representative of a player who can not only challenge his defender (mostly in the paint) but has a clean and efficient stroke from the line as well.

These guys generally have good numbers from any range and are crucial to have on the floor late in games.

Now, for the standard explanation of this whole process – you can skip this if you’ve read it before…

These awards are meant to effectively and accurately pick the best (and worst) performers in each category. Thus, a line was drawn roughly around the area of 15 games played and/or 40 minutes – 1 full game – played as a minimum. This was done to limit the effect of outliers bringing to our attention surprising walk-ons that could be, according to the stats, future superstars.

Obviously, these awards are not all-encompassing. Players that transferred or any other players that didn’t play for any reason last season are not included.

Be sure to understand that each of these categories, alone, are misleading. For example, if a player won Least Minutes/Assist but also finished last in Least Minutes/Turnover, it is not as impressive. Combining these rankings and statistics will give a more clear and well-rounded picture, but these rankings are fun nonetheless.

 

The winner is…

 

A.J. OGILVY – Vanderbilt, Junior – 5.83 – Last Year: 5.09
Ogilvy was the all-around subjective winner a year ago, but his efficiency numbers fell drastically from a year ago due to his increased burden after Foster’s departure. Ogilvy is one of the most purely talented players in the league and remains one of the most efficient. Despite a rap for being “weak”, Ogilvy’s ability to get to the line proves otherwise.

The others…

2. Jodie Meeks – Kentucky, NBA Draft – 5.86 – Last Year: 9.44
This number is especially impressive considering Meeks’ specialty as an outside shooter. Meeks attempted more free throws than anyone else in the league (234) and had the best percentage from that range as well (90.2%). Meeks was likely the best performer at the charity stripe that the league has seen in quite some time, if ever.

3. Chris Warren – Ole Miss, Junior – 6.41 – Last Year: 13.14
Warren is very Meeks-like in his speed and athleticism, but not the shooter and a better ball-handler. Warren speed and aggressiveness to the basket gets him a healthy amount of attempts from the stripe, and he is liekly the league’s best returning free-throw shooter.

4. Tyler Smith – Tennessee, Senior – 6.51 – Last Year: 9.00
Smith is one of the most well-known and well-respected big men in the conference, and certainly for his extreme versatility. Smith is easily the most versatile player in the conference, with one of the most aggressive attitudes – as this stat certainly proves.

5. David Huertas – Ole Miss, Overseas – 7.15 – Last Year: 20.70
Huertas had to step up in a big way after Ole Miss’ devastating injuries, and he did so with style. Huertas was an excellent slasher and great shooter, combining to make him a force on the free throw stripe.

6. Marcus Thornton – LSU, Graduated – 7.49 – Last Year: 11.10
Thornton was a do-everything, immortal SEC Player of the Year and this number comes straight from his load of carrying his team offensively. Thornton worked on increasing his driving efficiency and requiring less treys, and it paid off.

7. Kodi Augustus – Mississippi State, Junior – 7.81 – Last Year: 13.00
Augustus was one of the more unheralded players in the league last year, as most SEC fans knew he was a sleeping giant forced on the bench due to off-the-court issues. He proved himself in the SEC Tournament, and showed himself to be one of the most fierce competitors in the league.

8. Mikhail Torrance – Alabama, Senior – 7.92 – Last Year: 17.43
Torrance is an example of an exception, where his jumper isn’t the best around but his effort from the charity stripe is outstanding. Torrance is a solid role-player, but won’t be a force for the Tide next year, as this number comes mostly from his percentage: 88.4 percent.

9. Jeffery Taylor – Vanderbilt, Sophomore – 8.39 – Last Year: N.A.
Taylor was a tremendous player for the Commodores last year, starting every game. His overall percentages were outstanding, but his outside shot – and even free-throw shot – needs to increase. With his ability to make plays offensively, Taylor could be a force with a refined stroke.

10. Emmanuel Negedu – Tennessee, Sophomore – 8.43 – Last Year: N.A.
Negedu is a major work-in-progress for the Vols, but an efficient and potential-filled one. Negedu has a nice stroke but needs to work on his rebounding to be a consistent source of minutes.

 

The opposite end of the spectrum…

 

1. Drazen Zlovaric – Georgia, Sophomore – 85.00 – Last Year: N.A.

2. Chris Bass – LSU, Sophomore – 55.20 – Last Year: N.A.

3. Riley Benock – Mississippi State, Junior – 51.13 – Last Year: 45.60

4. Michael Porter – Kentucky, Left Team – 49.82 – Last Year: 55.00

5. Robert Wilder – South Carolina, Senior – 47.67 – Last Year: N.A.

6. Darshawn McClellan – Vanderbilt, Junior – 43.58 – Last Year: 21.77

7. Josh Tabb – Tennessee, Senior – 43.54 – Last Year: N.A.

8. Kevil Cantinol – Ole Miss, Sophomore – 43.50 – Last Year: N.A.

9. Joe Duffy – Vanderbilt, Junior – 42.00 – Last Year: 9.50

10. DeAundre Cranston – Ole Miss, Senior – 40.31 – Last Year: N.A.

California-bound!

Alright guys, so tomorrow I’m embarking on my third cross-country road trip in as many years and second in the past three years from Alabama to California and back.

I’ll be gone until around the 10th of August, and I’ll pick up where I left off then. Hold tight, and start checking again in mid-August!!

2008-09 SEC Bomber Award

The next addition to the series is the SEC’s player most willing to fire the bomb from long-range. Considering this is formulated as minutes per three attempted, this category relies heavily upon a player’s three-point percentage and the amount of minutes played, along with other intangibles such as what role the player filled on the team. So, needless to say, this isn’t necessarily a positive category nor a negative one.

Wanted to note that I’ve gotten a couple of tips that these rankings seem to be a bit dry. Unfortunately, that’s the nature of the beast with these rankings, and there’s not much I can do to improve that. These posts are serving as something interesting and unique to quell the true college hoops fan’s hunger for the sport until the season comes around. Once the categories have been exhausted, I’ll be breaking down incoming recruits, and eventually moving onto preseason awards and rankings. Until then, skim over (or absorb) these posts!

Now, for the standard explanation of this whole process – you can skip this if you’ve read it before…

These awards are meant to effectively and accurately pick the best (and worst) performers in each category. Thus, a line was drawn roughly around the area of 15 games played and/or 40 minutes – 1 full game – played as a minimum. This was done to limit the effect of outliers bringing to our attention surprising walk-ons that could be, according to the stats, future superstars.

Obviously, these awards are not all-encompassing. Players that transferred or any other players that didn’t play for any reason last season are not included.

Be sure to understand that each of these categories, alone, are misleading. For example, if a player won Least Minutes/Assist but also finished last in Least Minutes/Turnover, it is not as impressive. Combining these rankings and statistics will give a more clear and well-rounded picture, but these rankings are fun nonetheless.

 

The winner is…

 

TROY BREWER – Georgia, Transfer – 3.75 – Last Year: 3.29
Brewer was a work in progress from the moment he stepped foot on Georgia’s campus. Brewer had talent but was an absolutely awful shooter, considering his 22.5 percent effort from behind the arc despite attempting an average of over 10 per every 40 minutes. Brewer never saw the amount of minutes he wanted and opted to transfer after two years under Dennis Felton.

The others…

2. Tay Waller – Auburn, Senior – 3.82 – Last Year: N.A.
Waller, already awared the 2008-09 Nothin’ But Net Award, was arguably a more potent three-point threat than the famed Jodie Meeks of the Wildcat Blue last season. Waller served as Auburn’s main (if not only) offensive weapon from long-range, and he was an extremely effective one. He’d challenge for SEC Player of the Year is the Tigers had a chance to be a good team in 2009-10.

3. Renaldo Woolridge – Tennessee, Sophomore – 4.10 – Last Year: N.A.
Woolridge excelled in no area other than ball-handling and selflessness in his freshman season with the Vols. The guard/forward barely hit 30 percent from the floor and was under 28 percebt from three yet hoisted 69 of his 90 shot attempts on the year from there. Woolridge has an enormous amount of improvement to endure before truly becoming competitive in the SEC.

4. Rickey McPhee – Georgia, Senior - 4.26 – Last Year: N.A.
Proving the ineptitude of Georgia’s offense under Felton, McPhee ranks as the second UGA player in the SEC’s top-four most prolific three-point shooters. Unlike Brewer, however, McPhee has a workable game with a nice jump-shot. If McPhee could become more versatile inside the three-point line, he could play an important role in Georgia’s backcourt next season.

5. Jodie Meeks – Kentucky, NBA Draft – 4.30 – Last Year: 5.10
Meeks, one of the league’s biggest superstars in 2008-09, clocks in with his fourth-consecutive positive mention and the only player to have made all four lists thus far. Meeks has always been a dangerous shooter, and he was called upon to step up last season by Gillispie. He did so in an enormous way, serving as the only SEC player to qualify for the league’s minimum attempts and shoot over 40 percent from three. Meeks’ departure was a massive blow for Kentucky.

6. David Huertas – Ole Miss, Overseas – 4.38 – Last Year: 4.38
Although it’s irrelevant, this was the first player I’ve noticed to match his efficiency number from the previous year. Pretty neat. Anyway, Huertas’ loss should limit or destroy the Rebels’ chances at overtaking MSU in the West next season, as he poured in over 18 points per game from all over the floor.

7. Rotnei Clarke – Arkansas, Sophomore – 4.47 – Last Year: N.A.
Clarke is one of, if not the single-most talented rising sophomores in the league. Clarke did everything for the Razorbacks last season, and did so with efficiency numbers generally saved for upperclassmen. Clarke will be an SEC superstar if Arkansas can ever find its feet, although this seems unlikely for 2009-10 due to the team’s heavy off-season losses.

8. Chris Warren – Ole Miss, Junior – 4.67 – Last Year: 4.22
Warren suffered a season-ending injury toward the early part of the season, and his team suffered heavily because of it. Warren is nothing short of a genius at the point-guard position, and is a tremendous all-around asset for the Rebels. Warren shot effectively from three during his freshman season but barely hit 30 percent of them last season.

9. Cameron Tatum – Tennessee, Sophomore – 4.67 – Last Year: N.A.
Tatum is a talented guard/forward who suffered from the Vols’ lack of guards a season ago. He put up 134 threes in 217 attempts and brought down just 32.1% of those. Tatum is competitive at every aspect of the game, but needs to improve to challenge for a starting position. His free-throw percentage, defense and rebounding all need tweeking.

10. Brandon Hollinger – Alabama, Graduated – 4.98 – Last Year: 7.49
Hollinger was a backup shooter whose effectiveness absolutely plummeted when senior Ronald Steele left the team. Steele was one of the league’s best point guards, and was able to build a chemistry with Hollinger that led him to hit over 43 percent of his threes during his junior year. During his last year for the Crimson Tide, he shot just 17.5 percent from that range.

 

The opposite end of the spectrum…
Minimum of 10 total threes attempted set

 

1. Perry Stevenson – Kentucky, Senior – 101.00 – Last Year: N.A.

2. Tasmin Mitchell – LSU, Senior – 59.84 – Last Year: 13.20

3. Brian Williams – Tennessee, Junior – 55.90 – Last Year: 185.00

4. Terrance Henry – Ole Miss, Junior – 34.65 – Last Year: N.A.

5. J.P. Prince – Tennessee, Senior – 34.08 – Last Year: 39.08

6. Michael Washington – Arkansas, Senior – 30.03 – Last Year: 17.33

7. A.J. Ogilvy – Vanderbilt, Junior – 29.59 – Last Year: 448.00

8. Ramon Harris – Kentucky, Senior – 27.36 – Last Year: 24.36

9. Ray Shipman – Florida, Sophomore – 23.70 – Last Year: N.A.

10. Darshawn McClellan – Vanderbilt, Junior – 22.74 – Last Year: 47.90

2008-09 SEC Nothin’ But Net Award

Continuing the series, this award goes to the most efficient three-point shooter in the conference. This category, as a whole, is mostly positive and doesn’t rely too heavily on any others, although three-point percentage and number of attempts would be relevant. While it’s possible for a poor shooter to make this list, it’s not likely.

Now, for the standard explanation of this whole process – you can skip this if you’ve read it before…

These awards are meant to effectively and accurately pick the best (and worst) performers in each category. Thus, a line was drawn roughly around the area of 15 games played and/or 40 minutes – 1 full game – played as a minimum. This was done to limit the effect of outliers bringing to our attention surprising walk-ons that could be, according to the stats, future superstars.

Obviously, these awards are not all-encompassing. Players that transferred or any other players that didn’t play for any reason last season are not included.

Be sure to understand that each of these categories, alone, are misleading. For example, if a player won Least Minutes/Assist but also finished last in Least Minutes/Turnover, it is not as impressive. Combining these rankings and statistics will give a more clear and well-rounded picture, but these rankings are fun nonetheless.

 

The winner is…

 

TAY WALLER – Auburn, Senior – 10.40 – Last Year: N.A.
This is a pretty shocking upset, as Waller was practically unknown amongst the media types who regularly drooled over Kentucky’s Jodie Meeks. Waller provided a vast majority of Auburn’s points from behind the arc – 272 attempts worth – and brought down a solid percentage of those shots. Waller is a reliable ball-handler, a somewhat streaky shooter overall and a great shot from the charity stripe.

The others…

2. Jodie Meeks – Kentucky, NBA Draft – 10.57 – Last Year: 15.94
Meeks was the super-star shooter of the SEC last season, and for good reason. Meeks easily led the conference by hitting 40.6% of his 288 attempts from long-range, which also led the league. Meeks carried the Wildcats a season ago, with his speed and pure shooting ability nearly unstoppable for five opponents to guard, much less one.

3. Rotnei Clarke – Arkansas, Sophomore – 11.37 – Last Year: N.A.
One of only two Razorbacks to start every game last season, Clarke likely would have challenged, if not won, SEC Freshman of the Year had he played for a team that didn’t crash and burn worse than the Hindenburg. Clarke – as a freshman, mind you – shot nearly 40% from behind the arc, 93.5% from the charity stripe, and managed a 1.28 assist-to-turnover ratio. This kid will be a superstar if and when Arkansas ever gets some feet beneath its program.

4. Rickey McPhee – Georgia, Senior – 11.71 – Last Year: N.A.
McPhee was little-used last season for the Bulldogs, as he saw just 25 games, but proved to be a solid contributor. Just 14 of his 80 shots were not from three-point distance, as he didn’t necessarily favor being guarded. McPhee isn’t a big-time player, but a solid shooter on a team in desperate need of role-players.

5. Evaldas Banilius – South Carolina, Senior – 11.81 – Last Year: 12.71
Banilius is likely the best shooter in the league, if not one of the best in the nation, that noone has heard about. He didn’t come close to attempting enough shots to be counted, but if he had he’d be the best three-point shooter in the league barring outliers at 48.0% with 100 attempts. Banilius needs to work on his ball-handling and defense, but is a dangerous shooter that thrives with Downey at the point.

6. David Huertas – Ole Miss, Overseas - 12.35 – Last Year: 12.15
Huertas became the prime offensive weapon for the Rebels after the team suffered a loss of three starters as the season began. Huertas led the team with 18.1 points per game, but took an inordinate amount of shots from long-range and wasn’t spectacularly efficient. Huertas was the best option for the Rebels last season, but if the returning players can get healthy, some more efficient scorers need to pick up the slack left by his departure.

7. Erving Walker – Florida, Sophomore – 12.41 – Last Year: N.A.
Walker joins Clarke and a select few other SEC sophomores that could have garnered SEC Freshman of the Year in better circumstances and have the potential to be SEC Player of the Year eventually. Walker is an outstanding shot from three – and everywhere else on the court – is admirably selfless with the ball, and is solid on defense.

8. Ravern Johnson – Mississippi State, Junior – 13.25 – Last Year: 26.71
Johnson, who led the nation in three-point percentage after the halfway-point last season, is one of the most dangerous pure-shooters in the league. His slashing skills began to surface last season, but his height of his body and his jump-shot are nearly impossible for most guards to defend. Johnson is a Meeks-like shooter with SEC Player of the Year potential if he could work on his turnovers.

9. Brad Tinsley – Vanderbilt, Sophomore – 13.91 – Last Year: N.A.
Tinsley falls into the previously mentioned list of super-star freshmen who are set to hit the league big-time. Tinsley put up huge efficiency numbers as a freshman in the wake of Shan Foster’s departure, and is an outstanding shooter. Tinsley can score from anywhere on the floor and defends very well. Tinsley and Ogilvy should make an exciting pair in 2009-10.

10. Marcus Thornton – LSU, Graduated – 14.31 – Last Year: 11.59
Thornton’s production-per-minute dropped severely from a season ago, and it’s surprising to see such a talented shooter so low on the list. Thornton worked on shot selection and his percentages increased while his timed efficiency took a hit. Thornton – the league’s Player of the Year in 2008-09 – was still overwhelmingly potent on the offensive end and clearly the best overall player in the league.

 

The opposite end of the spectrum…
Minimum of 10 total threes made set

 

1. Tasmin Mitchell – LSU, Senior – 113.70 – Last Year: N.A.

2. Quantez Robertson – Auburn, Graduated – 58.82 – Last Year: 36.00

3. George Drake – Vanderbilt, Senior – 52.20 – Last Year: 66.00

4. Zac Swansey – Georgia, Transfer – 51.33 – Last Year: 55.30

5. DeAndre Liggins – Kentucky, Sophomore – 45.50 – Last Year: N.A.

6. Dominique Archie – South Carolina, Senior – 43.43 – Last Year: 42.04

7. Darius Miller – Kentucky, Sophomore – 42.44 – Last Year: N.A.

8. Josh Tabb – Tennessee, Senior – 40.43 – Last Year: 65.25

9. Tyler Smith – Tennessee, Senior – 39.54 – Last Year: 72.64

10. Alonzo Gee – Alabama, Graduated – 38.04 – Last Year: 27.61

Updates on the Arkansas situation…

This Arkansas situation is getting deeper.

First – be sure and understand all of this is purely speculation and may or may not have any accuracy. I struggle tirelessly to bring the most accurate and truthful information, and to this date I haven’t been wrong, but I continue to emphasize the importance of understanding that all of this could be completely incorrect.

With that said, the word is that Welsh both failed a drug test as well as dropping a course he needed to pass to remain elligible for the fall. Welsh very well could not see any playing time next season, but almost certainly won’t be kicked off of the team for several reasons. First, Pelphrey’s contract supposedly states that if Arkansas’ APR falls to the point of losing a scholarship, he may be fired at any point without severance pay. Arkansas’ APR is supposedly at 888 at the moment, 37 points shy of the NCAA’s 925 minimum.

In addition, Welsh has close ties to recently departed Arkansas guard/forward Jason Henry and the Razorbacks’ biggest incoming recruit, Marshawn Powell. Powell is supposedly so close with Welsh that if Welsh and his playing time were to be endangered, Powell would reconsider attending Arkansas.

This much is clear; Pelphrey has dug himself a very deep hole.

Welsh suspended indefintely…

 

Welsh Suspended

 As the remainder of the SEC crouches, poised to attack the national scene in a big way in 2009-10, the tiny wheels that the Razorback train was running on have begun to fall off over the off-season, and in a massive way.

After suffering four defections this summer, Pelphrey today suspended stand-out senior Stefan Welsh. While there is very little solid information regarding the situation out there, the commonly-accepted rumor is that the suspension is drug-related and that the suspension won’t include just off-season time.

More substantiated rumor claims that Welsh dropped out of a summer class he needed to qualify for the Fall, so he will not be returning to the team until at least January, where any game-suspensions would then go into play. Rumor is he will not be released from the team for this, mainly due to Arkansas’ absolutely abysmal APR rating. Arkansas will be lucky not to lose a scholarship following this season due to the huge losses over this summer.

Welsh is a huge piece of the Arkansas puzzle, as he contributed 11.5 points per game last year and looked to be one of just two scholarship seniors on the team in 2009-10. Whatever amount of time the ‘Backs play without Welsh will be embarassing – the squad will be down to five scholarship players plus five freshmen, only one of which has four stars or more.

Things are not looking good in Fayetteville at the moment, and I’d be shocked if Pelphrey has a job come next April.

2008-09 Hot Hands Award…

Time to pick up the pace around here, people. This award is given to the player who puts up the most shots in the amount of time he is on the floor. The calculation is simple; field goals attempted per minute played. This category isn’t necessarily positive or negative – that would rely heavily on these players’ percentages and turnover rates. What it does show, however, is a surplus of confidence and eagerness to be in the limelight.

Now, for the standard explanation of this whole process – you can skip this if you’ve read it before…

These awards are meant to effectively and accurately pick the best (and worst) performers in each category. Thus, a line was drawn roughly around the area of 15 games played and/or 40 minutes – 1 full game – played as a minimum. This was done to limit the effect of outliers bringing to our attention surprising walk-ons that could be, according to the stats, future superstars.

Obviously, these awards are not all-encompassing. Players that transferred or any other players that didn’t play for any reason last season are not included.

Be sure to understand that each of these categories, alone, are misleading. For example, if a player won Least Minutes/Assist but also finished last in Least Minutes/Turnover, it is not as impressive. Combining these rankings and statistics will give a more clear and well-rounded picture, but these rankings are fun nonetheless.

 

The winner is…

 

DEVAN DOWNEY – Senior, South Carolina – 1.93 – Last Year: 2.32
Downey and Thornton finished 1 and 2 for the second-straight year, while Downey jumped a spot this year to claim first place. Downey is a dynamic pint-sized (5′9″) point guard who has blazing speed and the moves to drive to the basket while the lumbering bodies of those around him stumble  over themselves trying to stop the layup. Downey will be a favorite for SEC Player of the Year in 2009-10.

The others…

2. Marcus Thornton – Graduated, LSU – 2.06 – Last Year: 2.15
Thornton increased his already extreme output from a year ago, but was just surpassed by Downey. Thornton is quick and dynamic, but more of a pure shooter than Downey as he was one of the most dangerous outside threats in the conference. Thornton was everything for LSU a year ago, and he carried the load again this year despite a bit more help around him on and off the sidelines.

3. Jodie Meeks – NBA Draft, Kentucky – 2.18 – Last Year: 2.90
Meeks was the SEC’s superstar last year, taking his name from outsie any All-SEC lists to the NBA draft. He’s always liked to shoot, but he bursted onto the scene this season in a big way, leading the conference in scoring at 23.7 points per game. Meeks was Kentucky’s only true shooting threat, and thus the offense ran through him and big-man Patrick Patterson.

4. Chris Warren – Junior, Ole Miss – 2.21 – Last Year: 2.42
Warren is a potential superstar who had a phenomenal freshman year before suffering an injury 11 games into the 2008-09 season. If he can return to form, he’ll be one of the league’s scorers and one of the nation’s best ball-handlers. Warren is an excellent all-around player, as his percentages and efficiency numbers are through the roof. Warren will vie for SEC Player of the Year honors by his senior season if he can return to 100%.

5. Travis Leslie – Sophomore, Georgia – 2.33 – Last Year: N.A.
Leslie, while admirably brave for a freshman, was a bit of a ball-hog last season. His numbers can’t be overlooked, as he was pretty efficient at bringing home the points as well, but his 0.59 assist-to-turnover ratio and 57.5% mark from the charity stripe will have to improve for him to truly have a significant impact for the Bulldogs.

6. Trey Thompkins – Sophomore, Georgia – 2.36 – Last Year: N.A.
Thompkins was easily the most underrated freshman in the league last year, as he shot nearly 40% from three – and this is a 6′9″, 247 pound big-man. Thompkins is one of the most versatile players in the conference, and he will once again be relied upon heavily by a talent-starved Georgia team.

7. David Huertas – Overseas, Ole Miss – 2.39 – Last Year: 2.72
While Ole Miss fans will likely brush this loss off, losing Huertas to professional play overseas was a massive blow to the Rebels’ chances at a breakout season in 2009-10. Huertas led the team in scoring and was one of the team’s most prolific rebounders and ball-handlers. Huertas needed tp step up after three starters fell to season-ending injuries, and he did so with flair.

8. Zam Fredrick – Graduated, South Carolina – 2.39 – Last Year: 2.58
Fredrick was an under-the-radar type who was a reliable shooting presence to take some defensive heat off of Downey. Fredrick was Downey’s favorite target outside the arc, and he brought treys down at nearly a 38% clip.

9. Senario Hillman – Junior, Alabama – 2.40 – Last Year: 3.40
Hillman is a pure slasher, and not much else. He attempted over 100 threes a season ago and barely made over 27% of them, while he had a tendency to turn the ball over as well. Hillman was one of the Tide’s few options last year, but more of the offense should have been flowing through Gee and Green.

10. Wayne Chism – Senior, Tennessee – 2.47 – Last Year: 2.79
If a man named Tyler Smith didn’t play for the Vols, Chism would be a superstar. Chism is without a doubt better at his position than Smith, although not as versatile. Chism is one of the league’s best inside-men both offensively and defensively, and his efficiency numbers are outstanding. While he won’t get the publicity, Chism is the scariest player on Tennessee’s roster.

The opposite end of the spectrum…

1. Robert Wilder – Senior, South Carolina – 35.75 – Last Year: 4.67

2. Chris Bass – Sophomore, LSU – 10.62 – Last Year: N.A.

3. Kevin Cantinol – Sophomore, Ole Miss – 8.70 – Last Year: N.A.

4. Demetrius Jemison – Senior, Alabama – 7.42 – Last Year: 4.57

5. Quintin Thornton – Graduated, LSU – 7.37 – Last Year: 16.77

6. Steven Pearl – Junior, Tennessee – 7.30 – Last Year: 4.73

7. Branden Conrad – Graduated, South Carolina – 7.13 – Last Year: 15.33

8. Josh Tabb – Senior, Tennessee – 6.66 – Last Year: 7.91

 9. Marcus Britt – Junior, Arkansas – 6.66 – Last Year: 6.74

10. Darshawn McClellan – Junior, Vandebrilt – 6.62 – Last Year: 6.22

 

Please leave comments!!

Jason Henry leaves Arkansas…

Henry Leaves Arkansas

Yet another defection out of Fayetteville, this time in the form of Jason Henry. This makes the fourth member of Pelphrey’s 2008  six-man recruiting class to leave the team, and leaves questions flying amongst the Razorback faithful regarding Pelphrey’s future barring a miracle 2009-10 season.

Henry was a guard/forward who saw 23 games of action last year, and started twice. He was a talented shooter, hitting 42.4% of hsi shots last season, and solid rebounder at 4.4 rebounds per game along with 8.0 points per game.

While Arkansas was one of my favorites for dark-horse surprise-team in the SEC, this certainly hurts their chances. If the ‘Backs don’t at least make the NIT next season, Pelphrey could be following Lebo off of the coaching carousel in 09-10.

2008-09 Bearing The Burden Award…

This award will begin a series of awards based on efficiency numbers (category vs. minutes played) over the next few weeks. These are pure numbers – no bias involved. However, they can be misleading. Thus, here are some heads-ups…

• These awards are meant to effectively and accurately pick the best (and worst) performers in each category. Thus, a line was drawn roughly around the area of 15 games played and/or 40 minutes – 1 full game – played as a minimum. This was done to limit the effect of outliers bringing to our attention surprising walk-ons that could be, according to the stats, future superstars.
• Obviously, these awards are not all-encompassing. Players that transferred or any other players that didn’t play for any reason last season are not included.
• Be sure to understand that each of these categories, alone, are misleading. For example, if a player won Least Minutes/Assist but also finished last in Least Minutes/Turnover, it is not as impressive. Combining these rankings and statistics will give a more clear and well-rounded picture, but these rankings are fun nonetheless.

With further ado, we will begin. Today’s award is the Bearing The Burden Award, given out to the conference’s most efficient field-goal-drainer. This is calculated by Minutes/Field Goals Made. This category clearly relies not only on Field Goals Attempted but also on Field Goal Percentage to prove truly accurate, although this list is not far from right-on.

The winner is…

MARCUS THORNTON – Graduated, LSU  – 4.36 – Last Year: 4.92
Thornton undercut last year’s winner,  A.J. Ogilvy, but .14 and wasn’t the only one to beat last year’s mark. Thornton, serving as LSU’s main offensive threat and facing defenses’ best, still had no problem draining three after three. Thornton was one of the more unheralded players in the game last season, and was absolutely unstoppable and extremely reliable.

The others…

2. Devan Downey – Senior, South Carolina – 4.41 – Last Year: 5.49
Downey joins Thornton in undercutting A.J. Ogilvy’s mark from a year ago, interesting that this year’s top three are all guards while last year’s top three were all forwards. Downey was also his team’s main offensive threat in 2008-09, with his size assisting in his speed and his ability to charge the basket. Downey will likely be one of the favorites for SEC Player of the Year next season.

3. Jodie Meeks – NBA Draft, Kentucky – 4.70 – Last Year: 9.44
One of this year’s most breakout stars, Meeks has won accolades from all across the nation. As a result of having no experienced ball-handlers, Kentucky’s offense was a sinking ship waiting to happen. Most nights, Meeks was the liferaft. Meeks led the conference in scoring and had the ball in his hand every posession.

4. Patrick Patterson – Junior, Kentucky – 4.78 – Last Year: 5.51
Patterson, after receiving SEC Co-Freshman of the Year, has proven himself in every aspet of the game. Kentucky dodged a bullet when Patterson dodged the draft, as he will be a first-round pick when he jumps. With a more well-rounded offense and help down low, Patterson’s production may decrease next year.

5. Alex Tyus – Junior, Florida – 4.84 – Last Year: 6.74
Speaking of dodging a bullet, Florida missed one of two this year. The heart and soul of their team in their star point guard Nick Calathes went pro – in Europe – and Tyus announced he was transferring, leaving many to wonder what was going on in Gainesville. Tyus changed his mind, and his production should increase with the loss of hot-handed Calathes.

6. Michael Washington – Senior, Arkansas – 5.06 – Last Year: 9.00
Washington rivaled Meeks in Most Improved in 2008-09, as he effectively had no choice when nearly his entire team graduated or left the team. The big-man stepped up big-time and relied upon heavily. Unlike others in this list, he had a tendency to be susceptible to double-teams and solid defense, but was an outstanding and otherwise reliable presence for the Razorbacks.

7. Tasmin Mitchell – Senior, LSU – 5.08 – Last Year: 9.43
With Thornton hogging all the lime-light, most forgot about Mitchell. And that was to his advantage, as his size and skill dominated nearly every defender he saw. Mitchell came on strong at the end of the season, enough to seriously consider jumping to the NBA draft. He’s back, and LSU has a chance to not be god-awful next year because of it.

8. Travis Leslie – Sophomore, Georgia – 5.23 – Last Year: N.A.
Leslie is the lone returning freshman on this list and likely the most underrated freshman from 2008-09. Leslie is absolutely awful from the charity stripe and isn’t fond of taking long-range shots, but is a reliable scorer that could turn into a star for the Bulldogs.

9. A.J. Ogilvy – Junior, Vanderbilt – 5.26 – Last Year: 4.46
The only player on this list whose production actually decreased from a year ago, ogilvy suffered from the loss of Foster. Foster was one of the greatest shooters the conference has ever seen, and distracted defenses enough to allow Ogilvy open shots underneath. Ogilvy is still outstanding at most every aspect of the game and should be a first-round draft-when he opts for the NBA.

10. Wayne Chism – Senior, Tennessee – 5.29 - Last Year: 5.94
Chism seems to be constantly battling teammate Tyler Smith for notice. And don’t look now, he may very well be better at the colelgiate level. Chism is an outstanding rebounder, is a force in the paint and likely doesn’t see enough touches considering his ability to get the ball in the basket. He and Smith will challenge Kentucky and Mississippi State for the conference’s most feared front-court.

The opposite end of the spectrum…

1. Marcus Monk – Inellgible, Arkansas – 9.92 – Last Year: N.A.

2. Rickey McPhee – Senior, Georgia – 9.69 – Last Year: N.A.

3. Brandis Raley-Ross – Senior, South Carolina – 9.67 – Last Year: 8.86

4. Chris Barnes – Junior, Georgia – 9.55 – Last Year: 8.86

5. Justin Knox – Junior, Alabama – 9.48 – Last Year: 13.80

6. Terry Martin – Graduated, LSU – 9.46 – Last Year: 7.75

7. Drazen Zlovaric – Sophomore, Georgia – 9.44 – Last Year: N.A.

8. Perry Stevenson – Senior, Kentucky – 9.44 – Last Year: 10.96

9. Zach Graham – Junior, Ole Miss – 9.35 – Last Year: 6.86

10. Sam Muldrow – Junior, South Carolina – 9.33 – Last year: 10.51

 

Please leave comments if you enjoyed this breakdown or have questions, and I will be releasing the next set soon!

SEC loses Meeks…

Meeks to the NBA

 

After dodging several bullets this offseason, the SEC took just its second big hit today when Jodie Meeks, Kentucky’s star shooting guard and the league’s top scorer at 23.7 ppg, announced he will remain in the NBA draft.

Meeks was a breakout star a year ago, as Kentucky’s offense nearly ran through his hands on every play. His field-goal percentage was third-best in the conference among guards at 46.3% and he led the SEC from behind the arc at 40.6%.

Strangely, this loss doesn’t hurt UK as much as it probably should. Calipari’s recruiting class in his first year with the Blue was nothing short of epic, and the team returns a massive amount of talent and experience as it is. As good as Meeks was, he was also a ball-hog. With him gone, incoming freshman point-guard and top-ranked recruit John Wall will be dishing out the ball to a more well-rounded group of teammates like Patrick Patterson, Perry Stevenson and freshman stars DeMarcus Cousins, Eric Bledsoe and Daniel Orton.

What this does, however, is force Kentucky’s entire lineup into a front-heavy crew. Kentucky’s only true usable talent in the backcourt will all be underclassmen, and all but one will be freshmen. DeAndre Liggins is the sole returning guard with any real potential, and he managed to shoot just 23.5% from three in his freshman season. Both Wall and Bledsoe have perimeter shots listed as a “weakness” by Scout and freshmen Jon Hood and Darnell Dodson both are listed as small forwards whose perimeter games won’t likely be a difference-maker in the SEC.

Unless Liggins can turn into the next Meeks – and that’s about as likely as Kentucky fans admitting a national championship shouldn’t be a garuantee – UK is going to be heavily unbalanced next season. For as much hype as this team will get, UK is following the recipe for a quick NCAA exit line-by-line.

Tyler Smith to return…

Smith returns to Tennessee

 

It’s looking more and more like the SEC, after a year to forget, is set to return to the national stage in a big way. A procession of future NBA players and SEC stars have announced they will be returning for 2009-10, including Michael Washington, Jarvis Varnado, Patrick Patterson and Tasmin Mitchell. Thus far, the leaugue is only missing out on Nick Calathes among underclassmen after a scare from Florida forward Alex Tyus.

Tyler Smith is the latest to rejoin the talent and experience-rich conference. Smith is probably the most NBA-ready player in the league physically and mentally, as he scored 17.4 ppg, grabbed 5.8 rpg, and was the conference’s best ball-handling big-man at 3.35 apg. Smith is a surprise to return to school, and should be absolute dynamite as a senior. In fact, I’d personally be shocked if he wasn’t selected as preseason SEC Player of the Year.

And for the record, I’m going to hold serve until the NBA draft in the middle of this month before beginning to release the results of my much-anticipated (at least by me) efficiency calculations.

Calathes going pro…

Calathes to Greece

Except not to the NBA. The Greece pro leagues have offered Calathes first-round NBA Draft money to come play in Greece and he has reportedly accepted the offer.

This is an absolutely massive blow for Donovan and the Gators, as Calathes was the heart and soul of his team a year ago. Calathes led the Gators in scoring a year ago and ranked 7th in the SEC with 17.2 points per game, added 5.3 rebounds, was the best-shooting guard in the league at 48.2% overall, and was one of the best ball-handlers the league has ever seen at 6.4 assists to just 3.3 turnovers per game.

This will likely drop Florida out of the preseason Top 25, although this isn’t to say Donovan can’t rebound with as much talent as he has on the roster.

Kentucky solidifies #1 recruiting class in nation…

 

Wall to UK

Calipari has gone insane at Kentucky, pulling in what is easily the nation’s top recruiting class this year and one of the best ever for any team as the nation’s top recruit and projected top pick in next year’s NBA draft John Wall has chosen to play for the Wildcats.

The Blue faithful now have signitures or committments from the #1 player, #10, #18 and #30. Very, very nice performance thus far from Calipari on the recruiting scene.

On another note, I am currently working on last season’s efficiency ratings, scores and rankings for each and every player in the league. I’ll have numbers for every statistical category and those compared to the amount of minutes each player played. This is the single most exciting part of the offseason for myself personally, as it describes in very accurate detail exactly how much talent and potential each player has, and suggests some dark horses for breakthrough years next year. I’ll have it up as soon as I complete it!

Another talented post man rejoins the SEC…

Washington returns to Arkansas

This time in the form of Michael Washington, Arkanasas’ main inside presence. The SEC seems to be avoiding several potential trip-ups in the post-season, as now the only real threats to leave early would be Kentucky’s Jodie Meeks, Florida’s Nick Calathes, and Tennessee’s Tyler Smith.

Patterson and Varnado return to the SEC…

Patterson returns to UK

 

In case you’ve been living deep in a hole with your fingers in your ears, the SEC’s two biggest all-star big men have both announced in the past couple of weeks that they will be returning to the respective schools.

Patterson, an offensive-minded powerhouse will be returning to a Wildcat team that, with a signature from the country’s top freshman in John Wall, will likely be ranked in the top five nationally preseason.

Varnado returns to MSU as a defensive presence unlike the nation has ever seen before, and likely to break the all-time NCAA career blocks record and finish third all-time at MSU in rebounds.

Just as the league appeared down and out a few months ago, it certainly is taking shape to rock the national scene in 2009-10.

 

Varnado returns to MSU

Holcombe frees up one MSU scholarship…

Red-shirted guard Jacquiese Holcombe has decided to transfer from Mississippi State, freeing up one of two extra scholarships the Bulldogs have signed.

If Varnado does not return or if either Riek or Sidney is not cleared to play this fall, this would free up the other scholarship.

Source confirms Riek committment…

A personal source intimate with the program has confirmed Riek has committed to State, and will sign this week. I realize this is practically old news at this point, but I wanted to confirm to all of the readers that this is a done deal.

More MSU news about Riek and Varnado…

Sorry to the other fanbases of the SEC, but Mississippi State seems to be stealing all of the limelight recently…

Local newspaper, NortheastMississippi picked up on the Riek report, and has a report from Varnado’s father concerning his likeliness of returning to State.

Apparently, Riek’s decision has no bearing on Varnado’s decision and he fully expects to return to MSU unless his draft status drastically increases.

Mississippi State will be outstandingly experienced and talented if Riek/Sidney both get on campus and eligible and Varnado returns.

Update on Riek to Mississippi State…

It seems increasingly likely Riek will sign with Mississippi State, and will do so soon.

Cincinnati people are claiming that Riek signed a Letter of Intent, but Cincinnati did not file it with the NCAA due to eligibility concerns. When word was received that Riek was looking at an uphill battle to get eligible, on top of his health concerns, the program decided to release Riek and his situation to another program.

This could mean any number of things. Riek could have simply expressed that he did not want to play for Cincinnati, and UC let him go to avoid drama and bad PR, and created a story to cover themslves. Perhaps UC refused to admit Riek, and thus the program was forced to let him go. Perhaps the article is telling the truth.

What we do know is that if and when Riek is healthy and eligible to play at Mississippi State, he will be joining a very, very potent squad.

Word has it that Riek has filed paperwork with MSU, and that the school will officially announce his signing sometime this week when all of the paperwork is cleared up.

Some additional John Riek rumor de-bunking…

First of all, many Cincinnati fans appear to be in a frenzy, and some seem to be creating rumors at a wild pitch. Some have claimed, on Cincinnati’s Rivals page – Bearcat Lair – that Mississippi State’s thread on their own rival page regarding Riek is locked, claiming it is only an unfounded rumor. THIS – in fact – is an unfounded rumor. I am a member of the site – there have only been a few posts regarding Riek, and Mississippi State’s representative, Logan Lowery, has not been heard from on the topic yet. The thread is not locked, and noone is claiming it is an untrue rumor on the board.

Additionally, many Cincinnati fans appear to be confused regarding press conferences and releases. Coaches are, in fact, allowed to release comments regarding SIGNED recruits. I have worked in media relations for a very long time now, and every single school I’ve ever been in contact with has always – ALWAYS – issued a press release immediately following a recruit’s signing. Some Cincinnati fans seem to believe programs are only allowed one press release per recruiting period, and this is simply not the case. If Riek had in fact signed with Cincinnati, the Bearcats could have, at any point, issued a press release.

This is not suggesting Riek will or will not be attending Mississippi State, as it seems everyone involved is playing a massive waiting game. Just keep in mind the Fox report stated Riek had COMMITTED to MSU, not SIGNED. Thus, the Bulldogs would not have a release on their site until Riek actually signed with the school. Let’s not get ahead of ourselves, and let’s all try and calm down.

John Riek controversy…

Apparently, there is a great deal of confusion surrounding John Riek’s supposed commitment to MSU. Rivals reports that Riek signed a Letter of Intention, which is binding, on April 15 of this year. However, Scout reports that Riek has not signed with anyone, and the school never published any release regarding Riek.

The most likely scenario here is that a source close to Riek believed he had the intention of signing with Cincinnati, and thus leaked it to Rivals, who went with the story. I suspect there was simply no signature or papers, or Rick Stansbury wouldn’t have been recruiting Riek knowing the potential punishments and bad PR. In addition, every school publishes a release after a commitment signs – and no doubt when one as highly regarded as Riek does – and thus all signs seem to point to a fair and clean MSU commitment.

No official word has come from either department outside of Fox Sports, although many sources confirm Riek was on campus at MSU this weekend.

I’ll keep everyone updated as this situation unfolds.

Clarification…

To clear some things up for my Cincinnati fan viewers…Riek signed with Cincinnati before attending prep school, which releases him from the letter of intent. He is still on the market, and is committed to Mississippi State.

Mississippi State adds John Riek…

Another elite prospect to MSU

Just when you thought the Bulldogs had ended their recruiting after signing an extra scholarship in highly-touted big-man Renardo Sidney, today brings word that John Riek – an elite 7′2″ former top-five prospect and #1 ranked postgraduate prospect - has committed to State. This puts MSU with two extra scholarships, possibly suggesting that outstanding junior Jarvis Varnado may have decided to stay in the NBA draft. Either way, MSU will need to shed at least one player, possibly sending three-star big-man Wendell Lewis to prep school for a year.

If Varnado returns, the Bulldogs should be a lock for the preseason Top 15 next season, if not better.

There seems to be a lot of confusion from Cincinnati fans – this is to clarify…Riek signed a Letter of Intent in 2008, but then attended prep school, which releases him from the contract. He is cleanly on the market, and seems to have committed to Mississippi State. He has been confirmed as having been on campus at MSU this past weekend.

Mississippi State pulls in SEC’s top recruit…

Sidney to MSU

The nation’s fifth-best prospect according to Scout, and the best incoming to the SEC thus far, signed with Mississippi State today. Renardo Sidney, a 6′10″ power forward with immense talent will be a Bulldog in 2009-10. Sidney is known for his face-to-the-basket prowess, including his fadeaway mid-range game and long-distance skills. He is also one of the best-passing big men in the class.

If Varnado returns to Mississippi State, the Bulldogs are already being tabbed as a preseason Top-15 squad and Final Four contender.

If Kentucky manages to bring in Wall, the nation’s conensus top player, the SEC could see a replay of 2006 when the Wildcats and Bulldogs fought tooth and nail throughout the season and both made the Final Four.

Sidney apparently waiting on dad…

According to NEMS360, five-star recruit Renardo Sidney “wants to come to Mississippi State“. His dad, however, isn’t sold yet. He is wanting Sidney to take visits to LSU and Oklahoma, although Sidney’s mother is on board with MSU. Sidney is also, apparently, good friends with current Bulldog Romero Osby.

With this parental hold-up, it appears that Sidney won’t be signing with Mississippi State today.

More news to follow…

Sidney rumor update…

An inside source, although I can’t vouch for its reliability, has claimed that Sidney’s family has decided on Mississippi State and that the letter of  intent will be faxed to MSU tomorrow. Let’s see how this plays out…

Big-time recruit changing committment to SEC?

Sidney to MSU?

Top-Ten recruit and insanely talented big-man Renardo Sidney is apparently strongly considering a switch of his committment from USC to Mississippi State.

Sources have all but confirmed that Sidney visited Starkville this past weekend. He is currently ranked the #2 power forward in the country by Scout and fifth overall.

Sidney has been reported to have an attitude problem, and problems with his motivation, but several sources are quoted as saying Sidney is the most purely talented player in the entire class.

Sidney originally lived in Jackson, Miss. before moving to Los Angeles to play prep ball.

In other MSU news, talented junior Jarvis Varnado has put his name into the NBA draft, although he will not hire an agent. If Varnado returns and Sidney is added to the roster, Mississippi State could be a Final Four contender.

Another big announcement by an SEC player, and this time in favor of the league: Alex Tyus has pulled a Billy Donovan and changed his mind – he will, in fact, return to the Gators’ basketball team next season.

Intersting analysis forthcoming…

To all of my faithful readers…

Times have slown down for everyone in the world of college basketball, but my academic life is insane as I approach finals week as well as graduation next semester.

Once things have calmed down for me personally, I will begin my stats/minute breakdown of players – one of my favorite things to do all season.

In addition, I’ll be looking at what percentage of points/rebounds each team returns heading toward next year, as well as recapping the SEC teams’ recruiting classes.

Lots of reasons to keep checking!

Another big SEC loss…

Tyus to transfer

More suprising news in the SEC, this time from the Gators. Sophomore Alex Tyus, who ranked second on the team this past season in scoring (12.5ppg) and first in rebounding (6.2rpg), is transferring out of the program for unknown reasons.

This is, quite obviously, a massive loss for the Gators, coupled with the chance of star point-guard Nick Calathes’ jump to the NBA.

With just this loss alone, Florida likely ruins their chances at being ranked pre-season next year, and will need to quickly find some depth under the basket.

In other rumors, apparently Malcolm White – one of the two starters to transfer out of Ole Miss – is wanting to play for LSU next season. However, word is that Kennedy would not release him to do so.

2008-09 Over/Under Achievers

No doubt that, as a whole, the SEC underachieved heavily in 2008-09. Due mostly to a severe lack of experience, many teams in the conference fell well short of their expectations this season.

Here’s a breakdown of each team’s performance this season, and how it compared to… (A) How the team was expected to perform, and (B) How I personally believe the team should  have performed. Keep in mind that these two factors can be wildly different, as my outlooks are very different than those of the media at times.

I’m also including, as an added bonus, my pre-season predictions posted on the blog in October.

UNDERACHIEVERS

Alabama   (18-14, 7-9, #108)
My prediction:   (18-11, 8-8, ~2 seed NIT)

vs. expectations: Alabama has been heralded ever since Ronald Steele stepped foot on campus, and the media fully expected the Tide to at least make some type of postseason with him returning and the addition of his brother.

vs. my prediction: I was very close with the Tide, although I again overestimated what .500 in the SEC would mean this season.

Arkansas   (14-16, 2-14, #147)
My prediction:   (14-15, 5-11, no postseason)

vs. expectations: After losing a great deal to graduation in 2007-08, the Razorbacks weren’t expected to compete well in the SEC this year. Two wins, however, was even less than most expected.

vs. my prediction: I nailed the Razorbacks’ overall record within a half-game, but I had no idea Pelphrey was capable of just two wins in the SEC – especially with the amount of talent on the roster that he had. Any team with Michael Washington, Courtney Fortson and Rotnei Clark should win more than two games in the SEC – especially considering the state of the SEC this past season.

Florida   (25-11, 9-7, #54)
My prediction:   (25-5, 12-4, ~3 seed NCAA)

vs. expectations: Considering Donovan took a bunch of sophomores to a national championship just a few years ago, the media seemed to buy into the idea that Florida could compete for the East this season with Tennessee. They fell just one game short of the East, but noone knew what little that would mean.

vs. my prediction: This was possibly my worst pick of the season, as I bought far too much into the old storyline of Donovan’s super sophomores from a few years back. I also underestimated the impact that Florida’s ridiculously soft non-conference schedule would have on the team’s postseason.

Kentucky   (22-14, 8-8, #79)
My prediction:   (22-8, 11-5, ~6 seed NCAA)

vs. expectations: Kentucky did nothing but struggle under now-deposed head coach Billy Gillispie, and 2008-09 was no different. Expectations are always high for the Blue, and this year was no different considering the enormous amount of talent on the squad – including SEC Player of the Year candidate Patrick Patterson.

vs. my prediction: I foresaw Kentucky struggling according to their own standards, but never would I have dreamt that the Wildcats would be competing in the NIT. Last year was truly a new low for Kentucky basketball fans.

Tennessee   (21-13, 10-6, #25)
My prediction:   (25-5, 13-3, ~3 seed NCAA)

vs. expectations: Tennessee was pre-season Top 25 and was expected to easily take the SEC title. Despite a solid showing in the conference, the team fell three games short of first-place LSU and received a much lower NCAA bid than would have been thought.

vs. my prediction: With the addition of Top 10 player Scotty Hopson and having two of the better inside players in the league in Smith and Chism, I fully expected Pearl’s team to do exactly what the media thought. The Vols simply weren’t able to play enough defense to win enough games to truly compete for the SEC, and this lack of defense seems to be a theme under Pearl.

Vanderbilt   (19-12, 8-8, #95)
My prediction:   (24-6, 9-7, ~5 seed NCAA)

vs. expectations: Vandy finished around where they were expected to, possibly slightly lower, at 4th in the East and .500 in SEC play.

vs. my prediction: The ‘Dores fell well short, overall, of how I felt they could have done with all-star A.J. Ogilvy on the roster. While my SEC prediction was close, I underestimated the growing pains of a team losing an offensive powerhouse like Shan Foster.

ON PAR

Georgia   (12-20, 3-13, #192)
My prediction:   (15-13, 5-11, no postseason)

vs. expectations: After a shocking SEC Tournament run, the media began to see improvement in the Bulldogs heading into 2008-09. But expectations remained low, considering the signficant uphill mountain that faced the team.

vs. my prediction: I gave the Bulldogs some leeway, as Top 20 freshman Howard Thompkins was added to the roster. Often times a single player can make several games’ difference, but that was not the case here in Dennis Felton’s final year at Georgia.

Ole Miss   (16-15, 7-9, #82)
My prediction:   (17-13, 7-9, ~4 seed NIT)

vs. expectations: This was a tricky one to rank, as the Rebels pretty much matched their expectations before the season despite losing three starters to injury. In that sense, the Rebels overachieved heavily.

vs. my prediction: Again, I was very close with the result here – nailing the SEC record. I did not, however, account for the massive losses to injury and thus this was an impressive performance by the Rebels.

South Carolina   (21-10, 10-6, #57)
My prediction:   (19-10, 8-8, ~2 seed NIT)

vs. expectations: South Carolina returned nearly every player on their roster in 2008-09 and rightfully was expected to challenge for the East and make an NCAA appearance. While USC tied for the East title, its laughably weak non-conference schedule cost it an NCAA bid.

vs. my prediction: I was pretty much dead-on with USC apart from a two-game difference in the conference, as I knew from the beginning that a non-conference schedule like that would cost the team a chance at the Big Dance.

OVERACHIEVERS

Auburn   (24-12, 10-6, #64)
My prediction:   (14-17, 3-13, no postseason)

vs. expectations: Auburn was one of two big surprises in the West this season, as Lebo actually managed a decent season in leiu of a very weak SEC. Auburn had for several years finished in the bottom of the West, and was once again thought to take that place.

vs. my prediction: The Tigers added Korvotney Barber back to the mix, and I severely underestimated his potential to change Auburn’s offense. With the addition of him and talented JUCO transfer Tay Waller, this offense got hot and took a top seed in the NIT along with 2nd place in the West.

LSU   (27-8, 13-3, #37)
My prediction:   (21-10, 8-8, ~9 seed NCAA)

vs. expectations: LSU was easily the SEC’s biggest surprise this year under first-year coach Trent Johnson, as the team’s suffocating defense dominated the SEC from the outset. LSU had very little expectations heading into 2008-09 due to a sub-.500 year in 2007-08.

vs. my prediction: While I knew the Tigers had the potential to improve vastly from the year before, I didn’t prepare for just how large a jump the team would make after bringing back nearly everyone on the roster.

Mississippi State   (23-13, 9-7, #63)
My prediction:   (21-10, 8-8, ~10 seed NCAA)

vs. expectations: Mississippi State lost two of the most high-octane performers at their positions heading into 2008-09 and thus the media’s outlook on the team was not much more than an afterthought. State responded with 23 wins, an SEC Tournament title and an NCAA bid.

vs. my prediction: While I overestimated what 8-8 in the SEC would do for the RPI because of the conference’s sluggish performance as a whole, the Bulldogs still performed very well by finishing 3rd in the West under a stellar freshman point guard.

Huertas leaving Ole Miss…

Huertas goes pro...in Puerto Rico

In a pretty surprising announcement, Ole Miss’ junior David Huertas – one of the league’s best scorers – is leaving the Rebels to pursue a pro career in his home country of Puerto Rico.

Huertas averaged 18.1 points and 4.5 rebounds per game, and shot an outstanding 80.6% from the charity stripe along with starting 28 of 30 games he participated in for 2008-09. He was clearly the Rebels’ leader heading into the 2009-10 season.

What makes this particularly shocking, however, is the outlook for Ole Miss. Barring Kennedy being fired over a pending court case, this team brings back nearly everyone from a team that overachieved despite massive amounts of injuries. Ole Miss would have been favored to challenge MSU for the divisional title.

This loss coupled with the transfer of sophomore Malcolm White, who averaged 7.2 points and 5.7 rebounds per game along with starting 27 of the 31 games he played this season, leaves a squad expected to return nearly everyone hurting in the depth department.

Tough offseason thus far for the Rebels.

Official 2008-09 SECHGBD Men’s Basketball Awards

Meeks: SEC Player of the Year

Here are the rather delayed decisions…

SEC Player of the Year:   Jodie Meeks (Junior, Kentucky)

This was a tough decision between three players in particular, but in the end, Meeks’ ability to drain crucial shots from the perimeter and inordinate knack for getting to the charity stripe garnered him the honor of this year’s Player of the Year.

Meeks led the SEC this year in scoring with 23.7 points per game, as just he and Marcus Thornton from LSU were able to average more than 20. Meeks’ 117 three-pointers made easily eclipsed any other player in the SEC while his 40.7% average from long-range also easily led the conference. Added to this impressive resume’ was Meeks’ 263 field goals made this season, 7 more than anyone else in the league. Meeks’ overall 46.3% effort from the floor was 10th best in the SEC, and third amongst the league’s guards.

It’s not all about the pure scoring numbers, and Meeks was not exactly one-dimensional. He also shot 90.2% from the charity stripe to lead the league in that category as well, needless to mention the fact that he attempted 234 shots from there – 12 more than anyone else in the SEC.

The junior, who has announced he will be testing out the NBA draft this offseason, also averaged 1.33 steals per contest (good for 13th in the league) and 34.36 minutes per game (1st).

If Meeks returns to UK for his senior season, Kentucky will have a heck of an offensive weapon.

SEC Freshman of the Year:   Dee Bost (Freshman, Mississippi State)

This contest was clearly between two individuals, as Terrico White of Ole Miss was a better pure scorer than Bost. Bost, however, brings a much more well-rounded and complete game to the floor and is arguably better at on-ball defense. There is no doubt, however, that Bost is a far better leader on his team.

Bost filled the rather enormous shoes of outgoing junior Jamont Gordon very well and took an MSU team picked 4th in the SEC West to a tie for 2nd in the division, an SEC Tournament title, and an NCAA Tournament bid. Bost did so by averaging 4.33 assists per game, 4th in the conference and 2nd among freshmen. While the assist-to-turnover ratio is a category in which nearly every freshman struggles, Bost did not – registering a 1.53 mark, 7th in the league and best among freshmen.

Bost did what every great point guard should do – hand the ball out, take care of the ball, and defend. The latter was demonstrated by his average of 1.44 steals per game which also ranked best among the league’s freshmen and 12th overall in the conference.

Bost was no slouch at scoring either, finishing with a 10.9 points per game average. He also shot 71.8% from the charity stripe, good for 12th in the SEC and again first among freshmen.

While both Bost and White will be outstanding players in their SEC careers, it seems that Bost will prove to be a much more potent all-around player for opposing SEC squads.

SEC Coach of the Year:   Trent Johnson (1st year, LSU)

Unlike many of the other awards this offseason, this one was very clear-cut. Johnson took a very talented but horribly-coached program under John Brady and destroyed the SEC with it the following year.

LSU, just two years removed from a Final Four, was in disarray in 2007-08. The Tigers won just 13 games while losing 18 and went 6-10 in the conference.

Johnson came in and instilled an intense in-your-face defense that finished 2008-09 ranked 17th in the nation, easily claimed the overall SEC season title after going 13-3 in-conference and finished 27-8 overall.

Johnson was an outstanding choice by LSU’s athletic department, and it seems the Tigers will be a force to be reckoned with for many years to come.

SEC Defensive Player of the Year:   Jarvis Varnado (Junior, MSU)

Words can hardly describe the defensive power, presence and ability of Jarvis Varnado. After absolutely shattering the single-season and career blocks records at MSU, he has gone on to surpass Shaquille O’Neal’s single-season SEC block record. He is now on pace to shatter not only the SEC career block record, but the NCAA one as well. In fact, Varnado himself had more blocks in 2008-09 than 9 of the teams in the SEC and over 300 teams in NCAA Division 1 basketball.

Varnado reigns as the two-time reigning National Defensive Player of the Year, and one could hardly keep him from the title of SEC Defensive Player of the Year. If he returns, he could very well be a favorite for the 2009-10 SEC Player of the Year.

SEC First-Team

Jodie Meeks   (Kentucky – Junior – 23.7ppg – 3.4rpg – 46.3% FG – 40.6% 3PT)

Meeks was possibly the most dangerous and hot-handed scorer in the conference this year, and has an excellent driving ability that sends him to the charity stripe more than any other player in the league. Meeks was more valuable to Kentucky this season than any player was to any other team in the SEC.

Marcus Thornton   (LSU – Senior – 21.1ppg – 5.5rpg – 47.2% FG – 38.8% 3PT)

Thornton was in a close battle with Meeks for Player of the Year honors throughout the season, and is a very similar player to him. Thornton has more muscle and is a better rebounder, but not quite as strong of a shooter. Thornton was one of the most dynamic players in the league, and LSU will have a huge hole to fill on his graduation heading toward the 2009-10 season.

Jarvis Varnado   (Miss. State – Junior – 12.9ppg – 8.8rpg – 4.72bpg – 54.9% FG)

Varnado is destroying block records left and right around the league and soon to be the nation, assuming he returns. What most don’t know, however, is his well-rounded game, as Varnado is a potent scorer under the basket and one of the best rebounders in the league. Varnado could challenge for 2009-10 SEC Player of the Year.

Devan Downey   (South Carolina – Junior – 19.8ppg – 2.8rpg – 4.52apg – 2.87apg)

Downey was without much doubt the best defending guard in the SEC for the 2008-09 season, as he finished almost a whole steal more than any other player in the league. Downey’s small size and tremendous speed led to nearly impossible matchups for most guards in the league he matched up against, and Downey knows how to attack the basket. Ranked third in the conference, he also knows how to score. If he returns, South Carolina could be very, very good next year.

Nick Calathes   (Florida – Sophomore – 17.2ppg – 5.3ppg – 6.4apg – 1.94 a/to)

This was a difficult decision between Calathes, Tennessee’s Tyler Smith and Kentucky’s Patrick Patterson for the final First-Team position, but I have a weakness for good ball-handling and smart-playing point guards. Calathes, last year’s SEC Freshman of the Year, has everything that makes an outstanding point guard – and he can score. Averaging 17.2ppg and still handing out 6.4 assists per outing is no small feat.

SEC Second-Team

Tyler Smith   (Tennessee – Junior – 17.4ppg – 5.8rpg – 3.4apg – 76.6% FT)

Tyler Smith is one of the most dynamic big-men in the conference, as he is money from under the basket and is still quite dangerous from behind the arc. He can also drive the basket and, get this, he can dish the ball…3.4 assists per game is outstanding for a forward. Smith is a great scorer with an NBA body – I’d be surprised if he returns in 2009-10.

Patrick Patterson   (Kentucky – Sophomore – 17.9ppg – 9.3rpg – 2.1bpg – 60.3% FG)

Keeping Patterson from the First-Team was a very difficult thing to do considering his page-filling stat sheet, and as a sophomore this young man has an enormous amount of potential. Patterson is an absolute force for the Wildcats, as there is likely not a better interior scorer than him in the entire league. He is also one of the league’s best rebounders and is better defensively than anyone in the league not named Jarvis Varnado.

Korvotney Barber   (Auburn – Senior – 12.8ppg – 9.6ppg – 1.2bpg – 54.5% FG)

Barber is absolutely money from within five feet of the basket, as his impressive field-goal percentage indicates. Don’t move him outside of that range, however – he’s just 47.3% from free throw. That aside, Barber nearly averaged a double-double for the surprising Tigers and was likely the SEC’s best rebounder last year.

Michael Washington   (Arkansas – Junior – 15.5ppg – 9.8rpg – 1.3bpg – 55.1% FG)

Washington is yet another surpemely talented big-man on the SEC Second Team. For a while, Washington looked like the best in the league, and he would clearly win a “Most Improved” award for the SEC. Washington had the misfortune of playing for one of the SEC’s worst teams, but could lead a susprising Razorback team next year.

Alonzo Gee   (Alabama – Senior – 15.0ppg – 7.2rpg – 44.2% FG – 36.5% 3PT)

Alonzo Gee was one of the league’s most dynamic overall players last season, as he was unstoppable while driving to the basket. His athletic body and sheer mass proved a difficult matchup for his defenders, and he was also one of the league’s most talented rebounding guards – although that term could be used lightly for high-flying Gee. The Crimson Tide will sorely miss his presence in 2009-10.

Georgia with a new coach…

Fox to Georgia

Georgia has officially hired Nevada’s Mark Fox – a surprising move considering his name hadn’t even been mentioned amongst the rumor mill. Fox has been a solid coach at Nevada, with a 123-43 record, and reached the NCAA Tournament each of his first three years as a head coach.

On the flip side, he never got past the second round and has not even made the NIT the past two consecutive years.

Fox is known for his ability to recruit, though he has absolutely no ties to the South. This is a questionable hire by Georgia – but the barrell was running dry.

In other Georgia news, Bulldog guards Zac Swansey and Troy Brewer are both transferring out of the program. Swansey started 17 games and averaged 4.3ppg and 1.9rpg. Brewer played in 21 games and averaged 2.1ppg.

This leaves Georgia with 7 playable squad members after graduation. Fox has a HUGE uphill battle in turning that program around.

Coaching carousel spins…

Memphis interested in Pearl?

Decided to recap the SEC coaching situation as of today…

• Calipari is the nation’s first $4 mil/year basketball coach. Wow.
• Crazy rumor sparked about Bruce Pearl, and Memphis supposedly interested in him for the coaching vacancy. This site confirms that a private jet left Memphis today and is destined for Knoxville. I highly suspect this is just Memphis fans drooling, but an interesting situation nonetheless.
• Jeff Capel, of the Oklahoma Sooner rebuilding, is being reported as accepting the vacancy at Arizona, which knocks him out of the discussion for the Georgia job. After losing both Anderson and Capel, Georgia is reportedly now looking to Miami’s Frank Haith. Can we say, “do better”?

Interesting how many coaching vacancies in major positions are becoming vacant this off-season. Georgia, Kentucky, Alabama, Arizona, Oklahoma, Memphis and VCU along with possibilities of openings at Missouri, USC and possibly Xavier.

Georgia offers Anderson…

 

UGA offers Anderson

Mike Anderson, the miracle-worker from Missouri, has been offered more than $2 million per year by the University of Georgia.

Anderson, in my opinion, is a FAR better coach than Calipari. This would be a fantastic hire for Georgia…but stealing him away from the grasps of Memphis will be a tough task. This could become a bidding war, but the Bulldogs would have a massive upper hand in that arena.

The Kentucky Wildcats have a new coach…

Calipari to UK?

Or supposedly, although the media rumor bonfire has caught on heavily. Many various sources, including the Commercial Appeal, Star Tribune and even CBS Sports are reporting that the deal is practically done and John Calipari, the exalted coach of national powerhouse Memphis, will be coaching Kentucky next season.

Early reports have the deal rumored to be worth $32 million for 8 years, making Calipari the first $4 million/year collegiate basketball coach. These same rumors say that no announcement will come until the contract is actually signed (no Gillispie repeat), which would be in 24-48 hours.

A few of these rumors are truth. The Memphis Athletic Director has been quoted as saying Calipari wouldn’t be Memphis’ coach by the end of the day, so most of this seems to hold water.

Most of you know how I feel about Calipari. I’m simply not sold on his coaching ability outside of recruiting, and even that has not been solidified as the Memphis program practically recruits itself. However, some very high-profile recruits could be following Calipari to Kentucky, which would be a significant boost for the UK program.

Interesting stuff.

Grant officially accepts Alabama job…

Grant Accepts Job Offer

Anthony Grant, former coach of VCU, has accepted the job offer and will be coaching the Crimson Tide in 2009-10. This seems to be a decent hire, although I’m just not sold on Grant, who served as an assistant under Biilly Donovan at Florida before accepting the head job at VCU.

Grant has improved the situation at VCU, no doubt, but there’s just not enough evidence on the guy for me to be comfortable believing he is an SEC-caliber coach. The future shall ease my concerns, one way or another.

His numbers are certainly impressive, that’s for sure…he is 76-25 as a head coach and 45-9 in the Colonial Athletic Association. None of his teams have made it out of the second round of the NCAA Tournament.

Nick Calathes testing NBA waters…

Nick Calathes, Florida’s star point-guard, has decided to test out his prospects in this year’s draft but not hire an agent just in case.

Definitely a good decision by Calathes, as he is immensely talented and it’s a good idea to get his name out there before next season. However, I strongly believe he will return next season because (A) his stock isn’t high enough, and (B) Florida is set for a big season next year which will increase his exposure and thus raise his draft status.

The Kentucky situation…

So, just two seasons after fans were clamoring over Gillispie, who had been hired after impressive turn-arounds at Texas El-Paso and then Texas A&M, the three-time Big 12 coach-of-the-year and reigning SEC co-coach-of-the-year has been let go.

The Wildcats this year missed the NCAA Tournament for the first time in 18 years, after finishing the regular season 19-12 and 8-8 against a weak Southeastern Conference. After jumping out to a 5-0 start to league play, the Wildcats collapsed and lost three-straight.

Inconsistency has been the trademark of Gillispie’s teams at Kentucky, despite sporting two of the nation’s best players at their respective positions in big-man Patrick Patterson and the SEC’s leading scorer Jodie Meeks. In addition, the Big Blue started one of the nation’s most gifted freshmen in Darius Miller.

So what went wrong, was it fair, and what happens now?

All too often coaches become successful at smaller and lesser-known institutions because of their ability to recruit. Average, or even poor, floor-coaches step into a program and vault it into respectability on their recruiting prowess alone. It seems as if this was the case for GIllispie.

Gillispie looked nothing but out of place and lost every moment he stepped onto the court for Kentucky. The Wildcats were beyond painful to watch this season for the lack of offense, which would stagnate for over five minutes a game nearly every outing. The program was clearly nosediving, and it was clearly Gillispie’s fault.

Taking the latter into consideration, the move to let Billy G. go seems to me a logical one. This is NOT to say that most UK coaches are treated fairly – they’re not. And I am not ignoring the fact that Kentucky fans place a suffocating amount of pressure on their head coaches – they do. Such was the case with Tubby Smith, the previous UK coach who has suddenly taken Big 10 cellar-dweller Minnesota into the limelight at the Big Blue have been tanking. HE, my friends, was treated unfairly. Gillispie however, was not.

I admire Kentucky fans. The pressure, the intensity, the passion – it’s all rather intoxicating. The very soul which is Kentucky basketball simply can’t be matched anywhere else in the nation, in any sport. Kentucky fans will rarely be happy with their head coach, and if they happen to be it won’t be for long. Whether it’s unfair, immoral or damaging is simply irrelevant. This is Kentucky basketball, and this is the experience of Kentucky basketball coaches. You either succeed and deal with it, or you don’t. Gillispie wasn’t able to do either.

As for the future, it is a rather uncertain time for Wildcat fans. Meeks, Liggins and Patterson have all suggested that their decision on their respective futures will hinge on today’s decision. There is also now a coaching vacancy to fill at one of the nation’s most premier men’s basketball institutions.

Early speculation leans in favor of John Calipari of Memphis. I, however, would quickly compare Calipari to Gillispie. It’s impossible to lose at Memphis – a ridiculous recruiting base, a very weak conference, guaranteed NCAA Tournament bids with seeds no less than three and the recruits are guaranteed exposure to both the national media and NBA scouts. The situation has won at Memphis, not Calipari. When his team’s talent and athleticism fails to win the Tigers ballgames, they lose. Calipari’s coaching doesn’t win the team games, and thus Mitch Barnhart – athletic director of Kentucky – would be sorely mistaken to hire him.

A better fit would be Travis Ford of Oklahoma State. This man has built Eastern Kentucky and Massachusetts from nearly the ground up, and has already vastly improved the situation at Oklahoma State in his first season there, taking the team to its first NCAA appearance since 2004-05. Collegiate basketball fans can only sit back and see if UK will make the right choice.

Though lots of things are in doubt in Lexington, this much can be for sure: the decision to release Gillispie was the right one.

Mitch Barnhart with nasty words for Gillispie…

As most expected, Kentucky today announced that it will not retain Billy Gillispie next season. What WAS surprising, though, was Kentucky athletic director Mitch Barnhart’s words regarding the situation: “Kentucky fans deserve a coach who understands that Kentucky isn’t just another coaching job.” Harsh, man…harsh. Certainly seems to be some bad blood here.

So, of course this leaves a huge number of questions up in the air. Who is a possibility? Who isn’t? Billy Donovan of Florida has repeatdedly been quoted as listing Kentucky as his “dream job”, but released a statement today that he was not a candidate for the position.

VCU’s Anthony Grant has been a hot commodity on the coaching market, but reportedly has been confirmed as the new coach at Alabama.

The main name that I’ve heard is John Calipari of Memphis, whom is a decent/good recruiter but not much of a floor coach…much in the mold of Gillispie, in my opinion. One other name that has been mentioned is Oklahoma State’s Travis Ford.

Interesting stuff!

Malcolm White transfers and Gillespie…fired?

First, that which is NOT rumor…

Malcolm White has decided to transfer out of Ole Miss. Early reports state that White decided to leave for “personal reasons” and “wanted to be closer to his family”. White is from Louisiana, so the natural rumor is that LSU is interested…although I highly doubt that (A) This is true, considering his transfer just became public knowledge, and (B) Andy Kennedy would release him to an inter-divisionary school.

White, a 217lb. 6′9″  junior-to-be, averaged 7.2ppg, 1.4bpg, 5.7rpg and shot 50.0% from the floor. This is an absolutely tremendous loss for the Rebels, who’s front-court is already very thin. Strange timing from White as well, considering that Ole Miss brings back almost everyone and is/was poised for a very nice season in 2009-10.

As for Kentucky…

WHAS out of Louisville, Kentucky broke into Grey’s Anatomy just a while ago to report the official firing of Billy Gillespie. The UK sports department then released a statement that it was false. All signs are pointing to the ousting of Mr. Gillespie.

And this part is entirely and 100% rumor. I have heard through the grapevine that Billy Donovan of Florida will be announced as the new Kentucky basketball coach on Monday. Sources are “confirming” that Donovan is in fact checked into a hotel in downtown Lexington tonight. Hmm…

Interesting times…

More news…

Mostly UK stuff, and some regarding Mississippi State…

So apparently well-known Wildcat booster/fan Marc Haggard has gone public that Billy Gillespie has been fired and the official statement will be released tomorrow. In fact, the UK administration has organized a press conference tomorrow, so conventional wisdom would seem to agree with Mr. Haggard.

Haggard’s reputation is generally one of trustworthiness, but he has been wrong in the past. Regardless, tomorrow’s press conference should put the rumors to rest one way or another.

In the meantime, various UK players are giving their input. Patterson, the star inside guy, is apparently leaning towards returning, although Liggins and Meeks are both on the fence and are waiting for a decision to be made on the coaching situation. A.J. Stewart is expected to transfer regardless, Darius Miller is expected to return, and Michael Porter mentioned personal issues to consider in his decision.

As for Mississippi State, rumors have swirled since mid-season than immensely-talented but little-used forward Kodi Augustus was looking into transferring. After receiving a great deal of playing time in the final 1/3 of the season and becoming an instrumental part of the team’s end-of-the-year success, Augustus has decided to return to State for his junior season.

I’ll update the Kentucky situation after tomorrow’s press conference.

Kentucky carrying the SEC banner…

With last night’s losses by Auburn and Florida, Kentucky stands as the only SEC team in post-season play. The Wildcats play at Notre Dame tonight at 6 p.m. CT for their chance to represent the Southeastern Conference in the NIT Final Four.

Here are the recaps for the Florida and Auburn games…

#1-seed Florida [62] vs. #2-seed Penn State [71]

• Penn State shot 48.1% and held the Gators to 41.7% shooting
• Florida was outrebounded 35-25
• The two teams combined for just 21 free throw attempts
• Calathes dished out 7 assists with just 1 turnover
• Sophomore big-man Alex Tyus scored 15 points and grabbed a team-high 8 rebounds

Rebounding seemed like the major decisive statistic here, as Florida isn’t often outrebounded that heavily. The Gators didn’t compete well against the physical Penn State team, and trailed by a comfortable margin the majority of the game. This was a surprisingly disappointing season from the Gators, as Donovan was fully expected – at least by me – to challenge Tennessee for the East and at very least make the NCAA Tournament. The team is, however, poised for a big season in 2009-10.

#1-seed Auburn [72] vs. #3-seed Baylor [74]

• Auburn shot 39.1% and ley Baylor shoot 50.0%
• Baylor outrebounded the Tigers 38-31
• Auburn attempted 10 more shots than Baylor (64-54)
• Barber shot very poorly, especially for him (4-of-12), but finished with 11 points and 13 rebounds
• Waller shot just 2-of-8, 2-of-7 from three

Seems as if Baylor did a great job defending Barber/Waller and correctly predicted that the Tigers wouldn’t be able to create enough offense otherwise to keep up. The Tigers had a good season by their recent standards, although I strongly suspect that it was by default, as the SEC was down and Auburn was experienced. Lebo has saved his job for another year, but he should be gone next season.

Anthony Grant lands in Tuscaloosa…

VCU’s coach Anthony Grant landed in Tuscaloosa, Alabama [home of the Crimson Tide] this morning around 10 a.m. CT and is being formally interview for the job there.

Grant, of course, is a former Billy Donovan [Florida] assistant. He’s a good coach, but I’m not sold on his readiness for an SEC, or a BCS for that matter, position. He has done well at VCU, but BCS leagues are a completely different animal all together. His ties to the SEC and its recruiting bases will help, so we shall see if he can make the grade in Tuscaloosa – assuming he is hired.

What to look for…

Just giving you guys a heads-up on what to look for in the coming week(s)…

• I’ll be analyzing the cumulative SEC statistics for each team compared to the conference and the nation, and comparing those results with the success of the team this season and coming to a rough conclusion as to which statistics tend to be more important for success as a whole – obviously these readings will become more and more accurate and reliable as the years go on.
• I’ll be evaluating the performance of each school and coach as compared to what was expected of them and what each was capable of at the beginning of this season.
• I’ll be releasing, after post-season play – as the popular media should do, my picks for SEC Player of the Year, Coach of the Year, etc.
• Recaps of 2009 recruiting classes

And lots more to look forward to, so stay tuned!

Grant interviewed by another SEC team…

This time it’s Alabama. Actually, he hasn’t been interviewed YET but ‘Bama has received permission to contact VCU’s head coach, according to the Tuscaloosa News.

In other news, the Wildcats of Kentucky – where a coaching change is somewhat expected as soon as the Blue’s season ends – defeated 1-seed Creighton on their own home floor tonight 65-63, as a last-second Creighton trey missed long. Here’s the stats break-down…

• UK shot 46.8% from the floor, Creighton shot 37.3%
• Creighton attempted 19 threes, the Wildcats attempted only 8 (and Meeks  only two)
• Kentucky shot 78.9% from the charity stripe, Creighton shot 57.9%, both teams attempted 19
• UK’s Perry Stevenson had a great game, saw a game-high 38 minutes and responded with the game’s only double-double…13 points on 6-of-12 shooting, 10 rebounds and 2 blocks.
• Meeks led Kentucky (surprise) with 16 points but attempted only 9 shots…was a perfect 7-of-7 free throws (another surprise)

In close games, free throws are everything and that was clearly the case here. Nice to see someone other than Patterson or Meeks step up, as the Wildcats desperately need some more role-players. Kentucky will hit the road again and play at Notre Dame for a chance to travel to New York for the NIT Final Four.

As a recap of SEC teams in postseason play, 1-seed Florida will host 2-seed Penn State tomorrow at 8 p.m. CT for the bid to NYC, and the winner of that game will face the Kentucky/Notre Dame winner. 1-seed Auburn hosts 3-seed Baylor for the same privilege and the winner of that game will match up against the winner of San Diego State vs. either Davidson or St. Mary’s. If St. Mary’s defeats Davidson, Kentucky (a four-seed) will be the lowest-seeded team in New York City.

More coaching rumors…

This Kentucky/Gillespie rumor has created a media wildfire that has burned out of control. As A Sea of Blue reports, it seems as if the media has reached a consensus that Gillespie will be shown the door after just two seasons after his NIT run.

If this happens, what impact does it have for UK? After forcing out a very good coach who took UK to a Final Four in Tubby Smith, the Blue would have again forced out a coach after two seasons (granted, I can’t disagree with the Gillespie decision). How much job security does a future UK coach feel as if he has, and how much EXTRA pressure does this add to an immensely pressure-filled job? Not very, and a lot.

Gillespie has made comments that he “loves Kentucky” but obviously he has no bearing on the decision. No official comments at all have been issued by the athletic department, which means without doubt that there IS, in fact, a decision to be made.

I’m on the fence….at first I didn’t believe UK would have the guts to let Gillespie go, even after an embarassing year in Kentucky terms. But with the size and popularity of this rumor, I’m thinking he might be leaving.

In addition, rumor – and ESPN – has it that VCU’s Grant has once again been offered by Georgia. Some speculate that he may be holding out to see if he is offered the Kentucky job.

Nothing new regarding Alabama at the moment.

Kentucky plays Creighton tonight at 6 p.m. CT for their chance to join Florida and Auburn in the NIT’s Elite Eight.

Goof effort from LSU…

Fortunately LSU gave a good, tough fight throughout the game against the Tarheels and led late, but UNC eventually out-talented and out-performed the Tigers late in the game to take an 84-70 victory.

Here’s the stats recap from the game…

• LSU shot 45.3%, UNC shot 53.3%
• UNC was 46.2% from three, LSU was 39.1%
• UNC attempted 18 free throws, LSU attempted 6
• Thornton/Mitchell for LSU and Lawson/Ellington for UNC combined for 89 of the game’s 154 points

Not too much to look at here, although I’d be interested to see how this game would have played out if the foul calling wasn’t so warped in favor of the Tarheels. Both teams have distinguished and clear-cut stars, and UNC’s backups were simply more talented and more focused down the stretch.

LSU overachieved to an outstanding degree this season, and I think the rest of the SEC better look out for Trent Johnson, because he’s proven his worth in this conference. LSU was set up for a successful season, but so was USC and the Gamecocks failed to even make the NCAA Tournament. LSU loses a ton next season, but Johnson is set to compete long-term in this ever-competitive conference.

LSU battling #1-seed UNC…

The Tigers are trailing 38-29 against the Tarheels, after UNC closed the half on a decent little run. The Tigers are clearly not overmatched, but will need a stellar second half to take the SEC to the Sweet Sixteen.

No other SEC games today.

Another SEC squad falls…

Boy, the SEC isn’t doing anything to help its case that this hasn’t been a down year. Tennessee fell today in one of the most exciting games of the first round, although Florida dominated Miami in the NIT to move on to the quarterfinals. Florida won 74-60 and will now face Penn State in a chance to make the trip to New York City. Auburn is also up big in their NIT matchup aganist Tulsa 51-33 with about 11 minutes left in the game. Here’s the stats breakdown of both the Tennessee and Florida games.

Tennessee vs. Oklahoma State

• The Aggies shot 56.6%, compared to Tennessee’s 42.9%
• OSU outrebounded UT 30-25
• Neither team had more than 12 turnovers
• Tennessee attempted 33 threes (made 11)

Not much interesting here, as it’s clear the Vols’ lack of defense cost them the game. Pearl has never been much of a defensive coach, but he needs to find the offense to cover that up next season. Overall it was a pretty disappointing season for Tennessee fans, as most expected them to win the East and challenge for a Final Four, but instead saw them struggle to a first-round loss.

Florida vs. Miami

• The Gators shot 52.0%, compared to Miami’s 41.1%
• Florida owned a 35-21 rebounding advantage
• Florida had 20 assists, to Miami’s 11
• Florida attempted 27 threes (made 10)

The Gators clearly simply outplayed the Hurricanes, up 48-32 at halftime. This was a surprising performance for Donovan’s squad, as I fully expected Miami to be a tough out. Penn State is a decent squad, but I’m picking the Gators.

54-38 Auburn now, with 8:16 left. With an Auburn win, they would face the Baylor/Virginia Tech winner.

One less SEC postseason team…

The only SEC team playing yesterday was Mississippi State, who got absolutely handled by Washington. Many picked State as an “upset special”, but Washington was ferocious on defense and Brockman had his way inside to life the Huskies to a 71-58 victory over the Bulldogs.

Some stats that stand out…

• Washington shot 43.5%, MSU shot 34.5%
• Washington outrebounded State 45-35 and attempted 4 more shots
• Brockman had 10 points and 15 rebounds, Varnado had 7 points and 3 rebounds, 4 blocks.
• Phil Turner had 5 more rebounds than Varnado
• Ravern Johnson and Dee Bost were a collective 4-of-23 from the floor

This was a pretty bad performance from MSU overall, and it shows the weakness of the four-guard lineup against physical teams. State heavily overachieved this year and should be favored to win the SEC next year with nearly everyone returning.

Tennessee begins play against Oklahoma State today in about half an hour and Florida faces Miami in the NIT at 6 p.m. CT.

LSU wins first-round game…

LSU survives a late-game push from Butler and wins 75-71. The Tigers will play the winner of North Carolina and Radford – which is to say, North Carolina. I personally think the Tigers have a great shot at taking down the Tarheels, especially without star point-guard Ty Lawson.

Rumor mill on full alert…

I want to provide a disclaimer in that everything in this post is simply speculation and rumor, nothing more. With that said…

The rumor with possibly the most legs is that Kentucky is secretly in talks with John Calipari of Memphis and has already decided to let Billy Gilelspie go. While I can certainly understand the logic here as Gillespie has been a miserable failure in terms of Kentucky basketball, it’s a bit surprising considering Gillespie is just one year removed from SEC Coach of the Year honors (although he didn’t deserve it) and jsut two removed from being hired. Seth Davis from Sports Illustrated says that a high-placed donor was quoted that, “it’s a done deal.”

I’ve also heard that Tom Izzo of Michigan State was offered and has accepted the job at Alabama. The Tide Times – granted just a blog, but could be legitmate – claims Izzo was offered 16 million for 8 years. Seems like a long contract for such a high-profile coach, but we shall see.

Not too much going on with the Georgia search that I’ve heard, but I’ll keep everyone updated…

NCAA Tournament – Round One

LSU has begun play against Butler in the NCAA Tournament’s first round to kick off the SEC schedule in the Big Dance. Despite only three teams making the cut, all three seem to be in a good position to pull off first-round wins.

LSU leads Butler at halftime, 35-29. The Tigers are surprisingly trailing on the boards, but are very hot from the field: 13-of-26 for 50.0%. Surprise! Marcus Thornton is leading the team, with 13 points but Tasmin Mitchell has continued his elevated play with 5-of-7 shooting from the field for 10 points. Mitchell seems to be the “X” factor for this team energy-wise and performance-wise. The Tigers desperately need someone other than Thornton to step up offensively, and it looks like they’ve found their guy. LSU is easily outplaying Butler in this game.

13-seed (I know, it’s terrible) Mississippi State faces 4-seed Washington later on this afternoon in a game that has become a popular upset-pick, as most everyone BUT the selection committee can apparently see how grossly under-seeded the Bulldogs are at a 13-seed. In comparison, last year’s 4-league-win, sub-.500 Georgia squad that won the league tournament also received a 13-seed.

In the NIT, the SEC received two of the four #1 seeds in Auburn and Florida. The Gators didn’t disappoint with an 84-62 raping of Jacksonville but Auburn struggled with Tennessee-Martin 87-82, although UT-Martin are a deceptively solid squad. Florida moves on to face Miami in what will be a tremendous challenge, as I was very impressed with their game against Providence. Auburn will play Tulsa, which very well could be an easier game than 6-seed UT-Martin.

3-seed South Carolina’s season is over after losing to 6-seed Davidson, who sports possibly the nation’s best shooter in Stephan Curry. I must say I am a bit disappointed with the coaching job of Darrin Horn – this was an extremely experienced USC squad who was more than adequately talented and yet the team still managed only a first-round appearance in the NIT. Organizing what was probably the SEC’s lightest non-conference schedule didn’t help.

4-seed Kentucky was up by 20 on UNLV at one point in the second half before the Runnin’ Rebels came storming back. The Wildcats have seemed unfocused ever since Billy Gillespie stepped foot on that campus, but the ‘Cats will move on to the NIT’s second round after a 70-60 win over UNLV. Another poor coaching job, as Kentucky is supremely talented this year. No excuse for missing the NCAA Tournament.

A bit surprising was Vanderbilt’s exclusion from the NIT – although it’s a bit understandable as the team’s quality wins are questionable.

More to come throughout the day.

SEC Tournament Championship Game: Live-Blogging

12:05 p.m. CT:   Well, this is it folks. The talking heads say the SEC only gets two teams in if Tennessee wins – although I’d argue otherwise. Some think MSU must win to make the NCAA’s. Interesting matchup today…here we go.

12:11 p.m. CT:   Nice start from MSU…silly rebound lost out of bounds from State.

12:12 p.m. CT:   Refs aren’t making ANY calls…score evens up 9-9. Varnado looking lazy to begin.

12:16 p.m. CT:   The Vols respond to a 9-0 MSU run with a 9-0 run of their own.

12:18 p.m. CT:   Tennessee looks more crisp…outrebounding State 10-4.

12:29 p.m. CT:   MSU looks very lazy…lucky to be down only by one at this point.

12:35 p.m. CT:   Interesting to me that MSU looks a bit flat and is being HEAVILY outrebounded (15-10) and is still up by three. Absolutely HORRIBLE foul call against MSU.

12:43 p.m. CT:   Varnado’s second foul…he looks very tired – lagging behind the entire field every possession.

12:50 p.m. CT:   Tennessee turnovers the only thing keeping MSU in this game.  This is a very messy, ugly game.

12:55 p.m. CT:   Neither team shooting free throws well.

1:00 p.m. CT:   Several questionable calls on both ends of the court. Smith nails a three to tie it up at halftime…36-36. State shooting better but has taken 10 fewer shots, being outrebounded by 6. Both teams turning the ball over profusely.

1:18 p.m. CT:   Bad offensive call against Tennessee. MSU seems to have a bit more energy this half, the Vols are outplaying Stateright now. It’s impressive MSU is still in this. 28-19 Tennessee advantage on the boards.

1:22 p.m. CT:   I can’t count how many times MSU has batted a rebound out of bounds and lost the ball. Four fouls on J.P. Prince with 16:24 left.

1:32 p.m. CT:   Yet ANOTHER MSU rebound lost out of bounds. Bad call…the ball was touched and Tennessee is given a free two points.

1:42 p.m. CT:   The game has seen a bit more energy…neither team can buy a free throw.

1:47 p.m. CT:   Sure looks like the refs are going to cost the SEC a spot in the NCAA Tournament. Every single call going Tennessee’s way.

1:55 p.m. CT:   MSU suddenly playing with purpose, up three with two Varnado foul shots coming up.

2:03 p.m. CT:   MSU up 61-57, two possessions with just over a minute remaining.

2:26 p.m. CT:   Mississippi State has won the SEC Tournament, and another bubble team’s bubble has burst. MSU has won their way with six-straight wins into the NCAA Tournament. Now, the question is – what seed do they receive? I would guess something like a 9 or 10.

SEC Tournament, Day Three: Live-Blogging

12:39 p.m. CT:   MSU/LSU underway – a good game…the Tigers leading by two. State playing above their heads, LSU playing typical LSU. It might take the Tigers slipping up or falling asleep for State to win, fouls racking up on LSU big-men. Chris Johnson and Quintin Thornton each with two.

12:46 p.m. CT:   State out to a three-point lead…refs getting petty on off-the-ball defense on both ends.

12:51 p.m. CT:   Petty calls from the refs…two fouls on three LSU players. MSU playing with a lot of heart.

12:52 p.m. CT:   MSU leads at the half 31-29. Here’s some halftime numbers…

FG%:   MSU (37%)   LSU (36%)
3PT%:   MSU (29%)   LSU (25%)
FT%:   MSU (69%)   LSU (75%)
Rebounds:   MSU (21)   LSU (21)
Fouls:   MSU (6)   LSU (10)
Steals:   MSU (0)   LSU (1)
Blocks:   MSU (3)   LSU (2)
Assists:   MSU (7)   LSU (6)
Turnovers:   MSU (3)   LSU (3)
Bench Pts:   MSU (5)   LSU (4)
Second-Chance Pts:   MSU (9)   LSU (2)

Little sticks out other than that these two teams are very evenly matched. State was owned on the boards in the previous two outings against the Tigers this season, and the teams are tied at the half. Should be an entertaining second half.

1:12 p.m. CT:   Chris Johnson with his third foul early in the second half, he’s benched. State’s threes aren’t falling, but they’re attacking the rim very well.

1:15 p.m. CT:   These hustle plays are all going MSU’s way – lots of effort from State.

1:19 p.m. CT:   What a NASTY dunk from Varnado. One of the biggest dunks I’ve ever seen. LSU just doesn’t seem able to keep up with State’s dynamic offense…both Ravern Johnson and Phil Turner have hit 25ish-foot threes. Marcus Thornton with his third foul, and that is becoming an issue for the Tigers as well.

1:26 p.m. CT:   Quintin Thornton to the bench with four fouls. Two others with three for LSU.

1:28 p.m. CT:   47-39 advantage MSU…State simply outplaying LSU at this point. LSU calls a timeout to regroup.

1:35 p.m. CT:   Four LSU players with 3 or more fouls with about 9 minutes left. Chris Johnson has four now, with 8:24 remaining.

1:38 p.m. CT:   MSU only 12-of-20 from free throw, not taking advantage of the many fouls from LSU. Varnado 3-of-10. LSU trying to come back, down only four with the ball.

1:44 p.m. CT:   This game could come down to free throws. LSU is hitting theirs, State is not. Three Tigers with four fouls now, as Marcus Thornton picks up his fourth.

1:49 p.m. CT:   Airball from Chris Johnson. Jumpers aren’t his thing. Temple with his fourth, four guys with four…4:02 remaining. LSU is running out of backups to put on the floor.

1:54 p.m. CT:   Jarvis Varnado, with today’s seven blocks, is officially the SEC’s single-season block record-holder. Surpassed LSU’s former all-star Shaquille O’Neal. MSU up 59-47 with 2:48…State’s looking good to advance to the tournament finals.

1:56 p.m. CT:   Marcus Thornton is done with five fouls at 2:36, and a technical from Graham. Absolutely needless, MSU looks to be putting this game away.

2:00 p.m. CT:   Varnado with 19 points, 7 rebounds, 7 blocks…impressive outing. Interesting that MSU has only made three 3-pointers and yet are up 15 on the SEC’s best team. De-bunks the myth of MSU as strictly a three-point shooting team.

2:04 p.m. CT:   MSU shockingly advances 67-57 over the league’s regular-season champions, LSU. State – the only lower seed to advance out of the second round – will meet today’s Auburn/Tennessee winner tomorrow at noon to decide who receives the league’s automatic bid.

This leaves a major question up in the air – with 22 wins and an SEC Tournament Championship Game appearance, do the Bulldogs receive an at-large bid if they were to lose tomorrow? My guess is yes.

SEC Tournament: Day Two Live-Blogging

12:03 p.m. CT:   LSU and Kentucky are about to start – my predictions are LSU by fivish, MSU by threeish, Tennessee by 7ish, and Florida by threeish. Strange how evenly matched LSU/Kentucky and USC/MSU seem to be personnel-wise.

12:24 p.m. CT:   LSU tried to pull away, Kentucky’s defense tightens and pulls within three. LSU’s offense looks messy – this team just has a LOT of talent. 7-0 run from Kentucky, holding LSU pointless for more than 3 minutes…how many times will the LSU guards drive the lane and lose control of the ball??

12:31 p.m. CT:   LSU’s offense is offensive. If the threes aren’t falling, how is this team going to score??

12:40 p.m. CT:   These guards from each team are insisting on driving the lane with shot-blockers lurking…

12:54 p.m. CT:   LSU leads at the half, 28-23…both offenses are struggling with the opponent’s defense. LSU just has more dynamic talent and better  shooting.

Okay, going to grab some food before the MSU/USC game…will be back in 15-30 minutes.

2:21 p.m. CT:   I return just as the LSU/Kentucky game has ended, and it did so about how I expected. The Tigers’ defense was able to contain Kentucky’s offense (Meeks) as he scored just eight points. LSU now will face the winner of the upcoming MSU/USC game.

Kentucky’s NCAA chances are questionable at this point. The Wildcats should be hoping for USC, Tennessee and Auburn to win today.

Interesting to note that the higher seed has won every game thus far in the SEC Tournament…we’ll see if it continues.

2:38 p.m. CT:   MSU seems to be intent on getting the ball to Varnado for a jumper and he’s missing them, USC shooting well, out to a 6-0 run. MSU turning the ball over profusely, Varnado with several blocks already.

2:44 p.m. CT:   MSU looks very bad, turning the ball over and making poor decisions. USC capitalizing, up 10-2.

2:48 p.m. CT:   Referees are not doing MSU any favors – USC playing very physically. 6 turnovers early for MSU.

3:05 p.m. CT:   MSU trimmed it within four, USC then pulled away by 10 again. This isn’t a pretty game.

3:12 p.m. CT:   I’ve never seen a man as big as Kodi Augustus hit threes like he does. USC is hitting EVERYthing, contested shots and all.

3:17 p.m. CT:   Four blocks for Varnado in the half – refs missing several calls on both ends. Fredrick and Archie both with more then ten points. At the half, USC leads 36-32.

3:40 p.m. CT:   MSU within one, 16:20. The threes are falling for State, but USC seems as if they can’t miss.

3:42 p.m. CT:   MSU takes its first lead of the game with a Turner dunk. USC has gotten cold and State seems to be handling the ball better.

3:53 p.m. CT:   Refs have called a NUMBER of questionable offensive foul calls on MSU…game tied at 48 with 11:02.

3:56 p.m. CT:   Seems like every break falls USC’s way – this is a very entertaining game.

4:06 p.m. CT:   MSU pulls out to a 7-point lead, its biggest on 53% shooting from behind the arc.

4:15 p.m. CT:   The two teams have switched positions, as it seems as if MSU is the one that can’t miss now. Great passing from State, good defense as the Gamecocks have struggled to score in this half.

4:23 p.m. CT:   South Carolina rebounding well in the final couple of minutes, pulled it within 73-68 with 51.2 seconds remaining. This game is going to come down to MSU’s free throws and South Carolina’s rebounding.

4:26 p.m. CT:   MSU responded with four straight free-throws, pulls ahead 77-68 with 42.3 seconds – State might be the first lower seed to advance.

4:29 p.m. CT:   What a dirty move from Downey…an intentional foul within 30 seconds while State leads by 11. Completely unneccesary. Followed by a punk move from Conrad…I’m quickly beginning to disrespect this team.

4:32 p.m. CT:   MSU takes the win, 82-68. The Bulldogs are on fire and now suddenly have 21 wins and are in the thick of the NCAA Tournament discussion. South Carolina will be sweating it out on Sunday, and we’ll see an LSU/MSU re-re-match tomorrow. If the double-overtime game in Starkville is any cue, it should be a very entertaining game.

Headed out, will return later in the evening.

7:22 p.m. CT:   Back after a short delay…Alabama struggling to close a 10-point gap against Tennessee. The Vols look to be completely outclassing the Tide at the moment.

7:26 p.m. CT:   Tennessee leads by 11 at the half. ‘Bama will need  a big comeback energy-wise in the second half if they want to compete in this game.

7:45 p.m. CT:   50-32 for Tennessee with 17:04 left…Alabama simply can’t match Tennessee’s talent, shooting or speed. The Tide just look absolutely lazy at this point. They’ve given up.

7:55 p.m. CT:   Almost six minutes into this half and Alabama has yet to score. Tennessee is looking down-right scary at this point…58-32 with 13:56 remaining. Ouch.

8:07 p.m. CT:   Okay this is boring…worst game of the tournament thus far. Tennessee up 65-46 with 8:43 remaining. Tennessee will be playing the winner of tonight’s Florida/Auburn game.

8:09 p.m. CT:   Jamychal Green fouls out with over eight minutes remaining – the big-man will need to learn how not to foul as he matures as a player. Although this is likely his last game as a freshman, he could be the second-best big-man in the conference next season.

Apparently the television lied to me…he has four and hit the bench.

8:14 p.m. CT:   Tabb marches through the lane and dunks on ‘Bama. I can’t count how many times that the Tide have allowed the Vols to drive to the basket unopposed – the team’s interior defense is non-existent.

8:16 p.m. CT:   HUGE alley-oop from Tatum to Smith…75-52, 5:10. Yikes…I imagine Donovan and Lebo both are worried after watching this game.

8:30 p.m. CT:   Tennessee advances 86-62 over Alabama…will play the upcoming Auburn/Florida winner. I’ll take Tennessee against either.

9:49 p.m. CT:   Close game at halftime, as Florida leads by one. Very even game stats-wise…either of these teams will be dominated by Tennessee, I believe.

9:54 p.m. CT:   The difference in a good team and a great team…great teams don’t make stupid mistakes. Stupid mistakes lose games, and both of these teams are making stupid mistakes, although the Tigers are making more of them – thanks to the embarassing coaching of Jeff Lebo. Neither of these teams are NCAA-worthy teams frankly, although Florida is moreso simply due to their level of coaching and chance of advancing.

10:03 p.m. CT:   Auburn has no outside presence in this game…all of their threes have looked awful.

10:41 p.m. CT:   Florida just handed Auburn the game…Florida fails to foul within 30 seconds, Auburn gets a wide-open dunk. HUGE mistake for the Gators – Florida just handed away their NCAA Tournament chances.

Liveblogging: SEC Tournament, Day One

11:22 a.m. CT:   Alright guys, so we’re coming down to it. Before everything starts, I’ll reveal my predictions. I’ve got Kentucky over Ole Miss by 7-10ish, MSU over UGA by 10ish, Bama over Vandy by 3-5ish, and Florida over Arkansas by a whole lot. Anyone else got any picks?

Side note: I have class from noon CT-12:50 p.m. CT or so and won’t be able to post.

1:59 p.m. CT:   I’m back from class, etc. As the Kentucky/Ole Miss game winds down – it went about as I expected, with a slightly larger UK victory. Looks like Kentucky will take the victory 71-58, and the Rebels are out of postseason consideration. Kentucky advances to meet LSU. Quick look at the stats…

Team FG%:   Kentucky (47%)   Ole Miss (44%)
Team 3PT%:   Kentucky (10%)   Ole Miss (29%)
Team FT%:   Kentucky (78%)   Ole Miss (79%)
Rebounds:   Kentucky (35)   Ole Miss (28)
Team Fouls:   Kentucky (15)   Ole Miss (18)
Team Assists:   Kentucky (13)   Ole Miss (7)
Team Turnovers:   Kentucky (10)   Ole Miss (18)
Team Steals:   Kentucky (9)   Ole Miss (3)
Team Blocks:   Kentucky (3)   Ole Miss (3)
Bench Points:   Kentucky (14)   Ole Miss (19)
Second Chance Points:   Kentucky (14)   Ole Miss (9)
Points Off Turnovers:   Kentucky (23)   Ole Miss (7)
Points In The Paint:   Kentucky (48)   Ole Miss (22)
Fastbreak Points:   Kentucky (8)   Ole Miss (2)

A few interesting tidbits here…the game was clearly decided by Ole Miss’ poor ball-handling, as the a:to ratio was 7-18 as compared to Kentucky’s 13-10. Points off turnovers certainly helped the Wildcats as well, 23-7. The pace was awfully slow stats-wise, as neither team made more than 4 baskets off of the fastbreak.

The LSU and Kentucky matchup will be interesting, as the teams are very similar. Both rebound VERY well and are big, phyiscal teams with one outstanding shooter. LSU won the previous matchup @ Kentucky, 73-70.

Next up…MSU/Georgia.

2:54 p.m. CT:   After a close few minutes, State is whoopin’ up on the East Bulldogs at the moment. 30-17 with 5:46. Georgia hasn’t scored in the past four minutes. MSU is hot, and when they’re hot that team is tough to beat.

3:07 p.m. CT:   Georgia just looks absolutely outclasses in this game, trailing 40-26 at halftime. Varnado nearly has a double-double at halftime – this MSU team is dangerous if they can stay this hot.

3:20 p.m. CT:   MSU leading 52-%-41% from the field at halftime, outrebounding the other Dawgs 18-14. Varnado has 10 points and 9 rebounds, Ravern Johnson has 12 points and surging sophomore Kodi Augustus has 10. Thompkins the only UGA player with double digits, with 10.

3:29 p.m. CT:   Georgia getting hot and draining some shots against MSU, and MSU is turning the ball over. Georgia within eight…pretty hook from Jackson.

 I will also be out of pocket after the MSU/Georgia game. Not sure when I’ll be back…

3:39 p.m. CT:   …and MSU pulls away. 57-42, 12:29…Georgia is going to need some serious runs to topple State at this point. MSU is playing with fire under their bellies.

3:51 p.m. CT:   Augustus with a career-high 19 points off the bench. Very impressive…this one getting ugly for UGA…68-48 MSU, 7:53.

4:08 p.m. CT:   MSU wins 79-60. Georgia just couldn’t keep up with State’s balance, as MSU had 10 players score and three over 10 points. State will pair up with South Carolina, who the Bulldogs beat by five at home earlier in the season. Should be a good matchup. I’m gone for a while, I’ll be back later on this evening.

Regular season done…postseason begins

Now that regular-season play has concluded, a TON (way more than usual) of SEC teams are fighting for their postseason lives heading toward the conference tournament. I’m going to break down each team, including their pros and cons, strength of schedule, RPI, etc to conclude their chances for each tournament, and what will be needed.

First, here’s a list of the SEC teams, their records, and their seeds for the SEC Tournament based on tiebreakers.

EAST

1. Tennessee (19-11, 10-6)
2. South Carolina (21-8, 10-6)
3. Florida (22-9, 9-7)
4. Kentucky (19-12, 8-8)
5. Vanderbilt (19-11, 8-8)
6. Georgia (12-19, 3-13)

WEST

1. #12 LSU (25-6, 13-3)
2. Auburn (21-10, 10-6)
3. Miss. State (19-12, 9-7)
4. Alabama (17-13, 7-9)
5. Ole Miss (16-14, 7-9)
6. Arkansas (14-15, 2-14)

Now I’ll break down each team’s performance thus far and their outlook for the postseason. A word about the RPI – it tends to lag a day or two, but this at least is a general idea. The quality of wins are determined by RPI, not record. Chances of etc..  means at LEAST the NIT or NCAA.

Alabama

Record:   17-13
SEC Record:   7-9
Last Ten:   5-5
RPI:   #126
Best Overall Win:   @ [23] Tennessee (70-67)
Best Non-Conference Win:   @ [102] St. Joesph’s (58-48)
Worst Overall Loss:   vs. [181] Mercer (69-72)
Worst League Loss:   @ [85] Vanderbilt (74-79)

The Crimson Tide finished the regular season with a massive win on the road at Tennessee, but it’s looking like at least two victories in the conference tournament will be necessary to be considered for the NIT. While ‘Bama faces Vanderbilt in the first round, who provided the team with its worst loss of the conference season, the second-round matchup with Tennessee seems to be favorable considered the previous win on the road. The opening round will be difficult, however.

Chances of NIT:   20%
Chances of NCAA:   3%

Arkansas

Record:   14-15
SEC Record:   2-14
Last Ten:   1-9
RPI:   #139
Best Overall Win:   vs. [4] Oklahoma (96-88)
Best League Win:   vs. [126] Alabama (89-80)
Worst Overall Loss:   @ [212] Missouri State (57-62)
Worst League Loss:   @ [111] Alabama (67-88)

The Razorbacks are one of the biggest head-scratchers in the conference. After jumping out to a 12-1 start with wins over #4 Oklahaoma and #7 Texas, the fell back to the level that most expected of them approaching the season, as nearly the entire team is underclassmen. The postseason is effectually impossible for the ‘Backs at this point without winning the conference tournament.

Chance of NIT:   <1%
Chance of NCAA:   <1%

Auburn

Record:   21-10
SEC Record:   10-6
Last Ten:    8-2
RPI:   #64
Best Overall Win:   vs. [23] Tennessee (78-77)
Best Non-Conference Win:   @ [106] Virginia (58-56)
Worst Overall Loss:   vs. [181] Mercer (74-78)
Worst League Loss:   vs. [85] Vanderbilt (75-82)

The Tigers are on a serious tear, winning 8 of their last 9 games including a huge 16-point home win over #12 LSU. This certainly thrusts them from off-the-radar into the massive discussion of which SEC teams make the cut. Certainly Auburn looks like a more viable candidate than does either of the floundering East teams in Kentucky or Florida at this point. Auburn could certainly make a stronger argument for their inclusion with a Round Two win over either Florida or Arkansas. Auburn swept Arkansas but fell at home to the Gators earlier in the season 65-68.

Chances of NIT:   >99%
Chances of NCAA: 47%

Florida

Record:   22-9
SEC Record:   9-7
Last Ten:   4-6
RPI:   #48
Best Overall Win:   vs. [13] Washington (86-84)
Best League Win:   vs. [50] South Carolina (97-93)
Worst Overall Loss:   @ [188] Georgia (86-88)
Worst Non-Conference Loss:   @ [17] Syracuse (83-89)

The Gators seem to be on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament based solely on having lost 3 of their last 4 contests. The team’s RPI is still very respectable and the record is solid, thus the team should be in a good position approaching the post-season.

Chances of NIT:   >99%
Chances of NCAA:   65%

Georgia

Record:   12-19
SEC Record:   3-13
Last Ten:   3-7
RPI:   #188
Best Overall Win:   vs. [48] Florida (88-86)
Best Non-Conference Win:   vs. [62] Virginia Tech (67-66)
Worst Overall Loss:   vs. [216] Loyola Chicago (53-74)
Worst League Loss:   @ [111] Alabama (70-75)

The Bulldogs are completely out of the postseason picture without winning the SEC Tournament as the 6-seed for the second year in a row. Although the ‘Dawgs have taken down two of the East’s better teams and have proven their ability to compete with talented competition, Georgia doesn’t seem to have much of a chance at the postseason.

Chance of NIT:   <1%
Chance of NCAA:   <1%

Kentucky

Record:   19-12
SEC Record:   8-8
Last Ten:   3-7
RPI:   #80
Best Overall Win:   vs. [23] Tennessee (77-58)
Best Non-Conference Win:   @ [26] West Virginia (54-43)
Worst Overall Loss:   vs. [188] Georgia (85-90)
Worst Non-Conference Loss:   vs. [126] VMI (103-111)

The Wildcats seem to have played their way onto the wrong side of the bubble, having lost their last four consecutive games including one at home to the SEC’s worst team in Georgia. At least two wins would be required for the team to have a decent argument at this point, and road is tough as it runs through Ole Miss and then league-leading LSU.

Chance of NIT:   95%
Chance of NCAA:   40%

LSU

Record:   25-6
SEC Record:   13-3
Last Ten:   8-2
RPI:   #37
Best Overall Win:   @ [23] Tennessee (79-73)
Best Non-Conference Win:   vs. [89] Washington State (64-52)
Worst Overall Loss:   @ [111] Alabama (59-65)
Worst Non-Conference Loss:   @ [28] Texas A&M (61-72)

The Tigers have long-since locked up a bid to the Big Dance, but have taken a pretty massive hit to their seeding after losing two-straight to Vanderbilt (at home) and at Auburn. If LSU can make the league tournament finals, they could receive as high as a 4 or 5 seed.

Chance of NIT:   >99%
Chance of NCAA:   >99%

Mississippi State

Record:   19-12
SEC Record:   9-7
Last Ten:   5-5
RPI:   #83
Best Overall Win:   vs. [48] Florida (80-71)
Best Non-Conference Win:   vs. [54] Western Kentcky (95-67)
Worst Overall Loss:   vs. [207] Charlotte (64-70)
Worst League Loss:   @ [111] Alabama (85-87)

The Bulldogs have been possibly the streakiest team in the league, as they won 6 of their first 8 league games and then dropped 5 of 6, followed by two consecutive improbable wins to close out the regular season. It seems that the NCAA picture is a long-shot for State, but a couple of winnable games wait to open the SEC Tournament. If the squad can take wins from Georgia and then South Carolina, who fell to MSU 75-70 in Starkville earlier in the season, State would have 21 wins, a top 80 RPI and some semblence of an argument for the NCAA.

Chance of NIT: >99%
Chance of NCAA: 35%

Ole Miss

Record:   16-14
SEC Record:   7-9
Last Ten:   5-5
RPI:   #81
Best Overall Win:   vs. [23] Tennessee (81-65)
Best Non-Conference Win:   vs. [137] Morgan State (78-70)
Worst Overall Loss:   @ [162] Southern Miss (59-78)
Worst League Loss:   vs. [111] Alabama (69-90)

The Rebels seem to be out of the NCAA Tournament without a league tournament title, but the NIT is still very much within grasp. Having lost 3 of their last 4 does not help, but wins against Kentucky and LSU and possibly one more to make the final game could be enough to enter the NIT discussion.

Chance of NIT:   7%
Chance of NCAA:   <1%

South Carolina

Record:   21-8
SEC Record:   10-6
Last Ten:   6-4
RPI:   #50
Best Overall Win:   vs. [48] Florida (70-69)
Best Non-Conference Win:   @ [75] Baylor (85-84)
Worst Overall Loss:   @ [101] Charleston (80-82)
Worst League Loss:   @ [85] Vanderbilt (83-96)

The Gamecocks appear to be the only SEC team outside of LSU absolutely guaranteed an NCAA spot, although Tennessee is looking good as well. South Carolina has very few quality wins but very few quality losses as well and could edge up ot a 7 or 8 seed with a good showing in the league tournament.

Chance of NIT:   >99%
Chance of NCAA:   80%

Tennessee

Record:   19-11
SEC Record:   10-6
Last Ten:   6-4
RPI:   #23
Best Overall Win:   @ [24] Siena (78-64)
Best League Win:   @ [48] Florida (79-75)
Worst Overall Loss:   vs. [111] Alabama (67-70)
Worst Non-Conference Loss:   @ [40] Temple (72-88)

The Volunteers seem to be set for an NCAA bid, although the low amount of wins makes things a bit more scary than they would likely to wish for. An impressive RPI and several big wins should keep the Orange safe on Selection Sunday. A run in the league tournament could even boost the Vols into a respectable 7 or 8 seed.

Chance of NIT:   >99%
Chance of NCAA:   91%

Vanderbilt

Record:   19-11
SEC Record:   8-8
Last Ten:   7-3
RPI:   #85
Best Overall Win:   @ [37] LSU (75-67)
Best Non-Conference Win:   vs. [56] VCU (71-66)
Worst Overall Loss:   @ [188] Georgia (57-61)
Worst Non-Conference Loss:   vs. [168] Illinois-Chicago (55-74)

The Commodores seem to be the 200th SEC team right on the bubble near .500 in the conference, with around 19 wins overall and an RPI in the 80’s. While the RPI is weak for Vandy, the team’s performance lately has been impressive – three in a row, two of them over two of the top three teams in the conference. If the ‘Dores could win a couple in the league tournament – which would require wins over Alabama (who they defeated once already) and Tennessee (who they were swept by) – the team might have a shot at the NCAA Tournament.

Chance of NIT:   90%
Chance of NCAA:   20%

 

 

In closing, I’ll make an interesting observation. Through doing this, it’s become apparent that the NCAA bubble contains an inordinate amount of SEC teams. With that said, it’s almost a given that at least one or two of those teams will make an “improbable” run by winning two or three and make the cut.

The teams that need to prove themselves are, in order of most likely to make it to least…

-Tennessee – likely
-South Carolina – likely
——————————-
-Florida – probable
-Kentucky – unsure
-Auburn – unsure
-Miss. State – unsure
-Vanderbilt – unlikely

 

I will be live-blogging periodically throughout the day beginning Thursday and through Sunday, obviously in discussion about the SEC Tournament. Please feel free to join and comment as I blog – I will be sure to recognize and respond to each comment, and answer each question. Tell your friends!!

18 hours…and postseason outlooks

To all of my faithful readers, I know we’ve hit hard times. I quickly learned that 18 hours of classes plus a serious ongoing blog endeavor wasn’t particularly possible. However, here’s an update on the SEC teams and their chances at the postseason.

The Chance of NCAA is including the team’s perceived ability to win the SEC Tournament. Chance of NIT is in reference to that team’s chance of at LEAST making the NIT.

Alabama (16-13, 6-9) (RPI: #122)

Remaining games:
@ Tennessee (Sun, 3/8)

The Crimson Tide would need a win against Tennessee and at least one or two in the SEC Tournament to sniff the NIT.

Chance of NCAA: 2%
Chance of NIT: 15%

Arkansas (14-13, 2-12) (RPI: #124)

Remaining games:
vs. Ole Miss (Wed, 3/4)
@ Vanderbilt (Sun, 3/8)

The Razorbacks would need to win their final two games and at least two, maybe three in the SEC Tournament to even make an argument for the NIT.

Chance of NCAA: <1%
Chance of NIT: 2%

Auburn (20-10, 9-6) (RPI: #72)

Remaining games:
vs. #12 LSU (Sat, 3/7)

The Tigers have won 7 of their last 8 and are the hottest team in the conference at the moment not named LSU. Auburn has a very good argument for the NCAA, but that spot will be a battle with Tennessee, Florida and Kentucky. If the Tigers can pick up a win against big-time LSU or take one or two in the SEC Tournament, the squad should see the NCAA for the first time in a while.

Chance of NCAA: 40%
Chance of NIT: >99%

Florida (21-8, 8-6) (RPI: #50)

Remaining games:
@ Mississippi State (Wed, 3/4)
vs. Kentucky (Sat, 3/7)

The Gators are squarely on the massive SEC NCAA bubble, and their final two games could define their postseason tournament. Florida has lost 4 of their last 6, and the team can not afford a loss to MSU and the Kentucky game could be for the SEC’s final NCAA spot.

Chance of NCAA: 60%
Chance of NIT: >99%

Georgia (11-18, 2-12) (RPI: #205)

Remaining games:
@ Kentucky (Wed, 3/4)
vs. South Carolina (Sat, 3/7)

The Bulldogs will need another miracle to reach the postseason for the second-straight year.

Chance of NCAA: <1%
Chance of NIT: <1%

Kentucky (19-10, 8-6) (RPI: #67)

Remaining games:
vs. Georgia (Wed, 3/4)
@ Florida (Sat, 3/7)

The Wildcats are in a situation very similar to that of Florida’s, except that Kentucky has a worse RPI. With losses in 3 of their last 4 contests, Kentucky can’t afford to slip up against Georgia and still might need a win in Gainesville to secure an NCAA bid. A decent performance in the SEC Tournament wouldn’t hurt either.

Chance of NCAA: 55%
Chance of NIT: >99%

LSU (25-4, 13-1) (RPI: #24)

Remaining games:
vs. Vanderbilt (Wed, 3/4)
@ Auburn (Sat, 3/7)

LSU has nothing but NCAA seeding to worry about at this point. If the Tigers can pull off a sweep and win out, including the SEC Tournament, the team could be looking at a 1 or 2 seed.

Chance of NCAA: >99%
Chance of NIT: >99%

Mississippi State (17-12, 7-7) (RPI: #96)

Remaining games:
vs. Florida (Wed, 3/4)
@ Ole Miss (Sat, 3/7)

Mississippi State is possibly the coldest team in the SEC outside of Georgia, having lost 5 of their last 6. Once seeming NIT lock, MSU now seems to find themselves on the NIT bubble. MSU would need at least 3 or 4 more wins to eve be considered for a long-shot chance at the NCAA, and one or two more to be a safe NIT pick.

Chance of NCAA: 5%
Chance of NIT: 60%

Ole Miss  (15-13, 6-8) (RPI: #78)

Remaining games:
@ Arkansas (Wed, 3/4)
vs. Mississippi State (Sat, 3/7)

Ole Miss would nearly need to win the SEC Tournament, or least make the finals to even think of the NCAA’s. The NIT also seems like a longshot, although winning out in the regular season and a win or two in the SEC Tournament could put the Rebels in the discussion.

Chance of NCAA: 1%
Chance of NIT: 20%

South Carolina (20-7, 9-5) (RPI: #42)

Remaining games:
vs. Tennessee (Thur, 3/5)
@ Georgia (Sat, 3/7)

The Gamecocks appear to be the only SEC team outside of LSU to be a lock for the NCAA. If the squad won out, the team could pull out a 4 or 5 seed.

Chance of NCAA: 98%
Chance of NIT: >99%

Tennessee (18-10, 9-5) (RPI: #21)

Remaining games:
@ South Carolina (Thur, 3/5)
vs. Alabama (Sun, 3/8)

Tennessee seems to be safely the SEC’s third NCAA spot, although the team wouldn’t be well-advised to lose out. The Vols have an impressive RPI, however, so they should be shooed into the Big Dance.

Chance of NCAA: 75%
Chance of NIT: >99%

Vanderbilt (17-11, 6-8) (RPI: #104)

Remaining games:
@ #12 LSU
vs. Arkansas

The Commodores are a dark horse contender for both postseason tournaments, but a poor RPI will hold them back. If the ‘Dores can pull out a win in Baton Rouge and win a couple of games in the SEC Tournament, they could have a solid argument for the NCAA. To make the NIT, two more wins could put them in contention.

Chance of NCAA: 20%
Chance of NIT: 45%

MSU/Texas Tech coverage…

Random donation of an article sent from a regular visitor I thought I would share with the public. On that note, if any readers want to send me any material published BY THEMSELVES, and preferrably nowhere else, I’ll be happy to publish it here as well.

By Ray Floriani

 

 

NEWARK – Mississippi State dropped a tough 77-73 decision in the Legends Classic consolation here at the Prudential Center  on Saturday.  A few observations from press row…

 

            The first half saw State struggle to find the Texas Tech shooters. The Big 12 representatives are running under coach Pat Knight. They also have the green light to fire from the perimeter. Several times State lost the shooters, mostly in transition, or were susceptible to quick ball reversals on the perimeter.  Offensively the Tech zone clogged the middle and big men like Jarvis Varnado saw their touches limited (5 pts on 2 of 3 shooting.

 

Half : 42-34 T.Tech

 

                                    Efficiency

T.Tech                         102

Miss. St.                      85

(41 possessions, a near track meet)

 

            The second half the Bulldogs came right out and tightened defensively. When Texas Tech saw the perimeter wasn’t as easy to exploit they went inside and the Bulldog ‘block party’ began. Offensively State made a concerted effort to look inside more. The result saw State back in it and the game, a two point lead by Tech with 12 to go, basically remained a one possession affair. State never could get the lead. There were some unfortunate bounces of the ball and several bad decisions on their part. Regardless, they came up empty.

 

Final : 77-73 T.Tech

 

                                    Efficiency

T. Tech                        103

Miss. St.                      87

(75 possessions)

 

The differences…Texas Tech had a 48% effective Fg Pct to that of 43% for State. Miss. State enjoyed an edge in offensive rebounding Pct 36% to 24%. But the big difference was 17 of 31 from the foul line for the Bulldogs. “You don’t win a game like this against a quality opponent shooting free throws like that,” said State coach Rick Stansbury.

            Despite finishing 0-2 (State lost to Washington State in the semis) at the ‘Rock”, Stansbury felt the experience was beneficial. “We played two very good teams, Stansbury said. “We grew up in some areas but found what we need to do in others.”

 

Stat that jumped off the page…State blocked 9 shots. Texas Tech attempted 42 two pointers so the State block rate was an incredible 21%.

RTC SEC Update

I recently released a post on Rush The Court on the SEC thus far, thought you guys would find it interesting. Leave comments!

Wirth Value: Week One

So, I’ve made a decision – the Wirth Value will not take into account the quality of teams faced until conference play, when I re-introduce the RPI into the equation. I will make note of the teams each squad has faced and comment on whether the stats are inflated or not, but there’s just no way to weight the teams correctly without an accurate RPI, and the RPI won’t be anywhere near accurate until at least the end of OOC play. With that said, here are Week One’s results.

With that disclaimer comes another – because no weight is being given to the level of competition, these values will increase in relevance as the season progresses. Thus, Week One’s Wirth Value is nothing more than an interesting set of numbers to look at.

Also, I’ve changed the posting format a bit. The lines between teams show any significant gaps between teams’ scores, essentially placing them in “tiers”.

OFFENSE

1. Tennessee (86.75)
2. Miss. State (85.50)
3. LSU (81.25)
——————–
4. Kentucky (67.25)
5. South Carolina (67.00)
6. Alabama (62.75)
——————–
7. Auburn (53.50)
8. Florida (52.00)
9. Ole Miss (49.50)
——————–
10. Vanderbilt (29.75)
11. Arkansas (21.75)
——————–
12. Georgia (6.25)

DEFENSE

1. LSU (85.75)
2. Miss. State (84.00)
——————–
3. Alabama (71.00)
——————–
4. Georgia (60.75)
4. Tennessee (60.75)
6. Florida (58.50)
7. South Carolina (56.00)
8. Vanderbilt (49.00)
9. Arkansas (40.00)
10. Kentucky (38.50)
——————–
11. Auburn (27.00)
12. Ole Miss (21.75)

OVERALL

1. LSU (215.75)
1. Miss. State (215.75)
3. Tennessee (199.75)
——————–
4. South Carolina (179.00)
5. Alabama (169.75)
6. Florida (159.75)
——————–
7. Auburn (126.00)
8. Kentucky (119.50)
9. Ole Miss (100.75)
10. Vanderbilt (110.50)
——————–
11. Arkansas (80.75)
12. Georgia (79.50)

NUMBER OF CATEGORIES LED

Mississippi State:   7
Tennessee:   4
Florida:   3
South Carolina:   3
Alabama:   1
Auburn:   1
Ole Miss:   1

—While LSU and Mississippi State both seem to be dominating the stat categories, they should both be pretty inflated by a very soft early-season schedule. While LSU’s cupcakes should continue, we’ll learn a lot about the Bulldogs this coming week against Washington State and then either Pittsburgh or Texas Tech.

—Tennessee has faced two very solid mid-majors in MTSU and UT-Martin with MTSU on the road. They seem to be the best team in the SEC at the moment.

—South Carolina at a distant fourth considering their abysmal competition (which will continue throughout their OOC) is not promising for them when the SEC East comes around. As I’ve said all along, the talking heads are going to jump on the ESC bandwagon when they go a while undefeated, only for the Gamecocks to get knocked down to real life in the SEC.

—Alabama and Florida, both with a weak OOC thus far, seem to be heavily disappointing as near-favorites in their respective divisions. Florida is undefeated against cupcakes and still has not put up big numbers.

—Auburn has a loss to a surprising Mercer squad, and still ranks near the middle of the back in the conference – which is an exciting statement for the Tigers considering their horrible performance in the past few years.

—Kentucky and Ole Miss have racked up some pretty bad losses, although Kentucky’s stats are probably the only SEC team thus far which are under-inflated because of an early-season matchup with #1 UNC. Vanderbilt has a “good” loss to Illinois, but Shan Foster’s departure has obviously hurt the ‘Dores very badly.

—Georgia and Arkansas are down-right terrible this season. Georgia’s offensive stats are the worst I’ve ever seen, and Arkansas is struggling with every single cupcake on the schedule. Expect these two teams to bring up the rear of the conference.

Wednesday games…

Mississippi State [102] vs. North Alabama [61]: I caution excited/dismayed readers that this was a rare SEC vs. D-II regular-season matchup. With that said, the Bulldogs certainly took care of business – although the Lions pulled within 8 early in the second half. State is looking pretty dominant in their early-season games, although they’ve all been against terrible teams. Regardless – MSU is at or near the top of the SEC is several offensive and defensive categories, and continued that tonight. Varnado once again neared triple-double status with 16 points, 14 rebounds, and 7 blocks – just sick. Stewart is still looking to be in freshman-season form with 16 points as well, and FRESHMAN point guard Dee Bost handed out 10 assists (although with 5 turnovers). 21 turnovers is too many, although that is to be expected with a young team – and in typical MSU fashion the rebounding numbers are just ridiculous (51-27). As a whole, a great performance that means very little. We’ll know more about these ‘Dawgs after they play in the Legends Classic championships rounds against Washington State and then either Texas Tech or Pittsburgh. If State can win those two games, they should hop into the Top 25.
Impact [Miss. State]: Very little, outside of some stats-fluffing and some confidence.
Grade [Miss. State]: (A) Not perfect, with some turnover troubles, but darn-near close.
Stat of the Game: MSU’s 23-of-26 (88.5%) performance from the charity stripe

Alabama [89] vs. Florida A&M [48]: The Tide rebounded from an embarassing home loss to Mercer and destroyed FAMU, for what it was worth. The Tide hit the boards better and defended well, although ball-handling wasn’t nearly as impressive as it was in their first outing. Steele led the team in scoring – which in general isn’t a good sign for a point guard, especially considering he hit just 4-of-10 shots. A good percentage, but not good enough to be hoisting 10 attempts without handing out more than 1 assist. Gee went 0-fer, but Green had a promising 12-point, 8-rebound outing. Bama’s big men seem to be rebounding excellently, but not scoring efficiently enough. Gottfried’s squad’s point can’t come from the guard position, and certainly not consistently.
Impact [Alabama]: This was a nice recovery from the team’s first game, but some concern still lies at offensive production underneath the basket.
Grade [Alabama]: (A) Not much to complain about outside of the poor ball-handling
Stat of the Game: FAMU’s 0-for-13 mark from long range

Auburn [74] vs. Mercer [78]: Well, Tide fans can feel somewhat vindicated regarding their loss to Mercer, as Mercer has now beaten both Alabama SEC teams on their home floor. The world wants to know, is (3-0) Mercer that good or are the ‘Bama teams that bad? My gut tells me it’s more poor play from Alabama/Auburn than it is Mercer being THAT much improved, although it’s possible. Auburn fell exactly as Alabama did – on the boards. The Tigers got DOMINATED on the boards – but took very good care of the ball, which is a plus. Barber and Waller are looking to be the backbone of this team, as the two combined for 39 points on 14-of-26 shooting and 7 rebounds. If Lebo wants to win enough games to turn this team around, some amount of balance offensively will have to show up for Auburn.
Impact [Auburn]: The Tigers’ hopes at a turnaround season took a big hit with this loss. This team can’t afford any more gaffes at home, considering wins will be hard to come by in the SEC.
Grade [Auburn]: (C-) This wasn’t as bad a grade as Alabama because the Tigers, in theory, are a far weaker team than their in-state counterparts. Auburn must find complementary players and rebounding.
Stat of the Game: Mercer’s 46-21 rebounding advantage

Change of plans…

So, I’ve decided that instead of trying to catch up on a growing number of games, I’m just starting from here on out – so the previous post won’t be updated. Sorry about that!

This weekend’s games…

Note: Many of my posts this season will be works in progress – so if games are missing, have patience!

I’m debuting a new feature in this season’s recaps – the grade. This will be based on each team’s potential and performance as a whole compared to where they should have performed, or had the capacity to perform.

Also, I’m going to tweak the layout of the recaps. Instead of regurgitating stats, I’m going to use less stats and more commentary. Bare with me as the changes take shape over time. If you don’t like the changes, think it’s a good idea, or have any various comments – let me know in comments, they are VERY helpful!

Friday

Arkansas [91] vs. Southeastern Louisiana [87]: This was the first conference “tossup” game that I selected, and it didn’t disappoint. Seems like Arkansas’ freshmen and sophomores aren’t ready to defend yet, as the ‘Backs got outshot heavily by the experienced SeLa team. Michael Washington earned SEC Player of the Week honors from the SEC by a 10-of-16 performance for 30 points and 14 rebounds. The team has talented individual rebounders, but doesn’t hit the glass well as a team – which could be a symptom of a guard-oriented lineup. Speaking of the guards, the super-talented freshman duo Clarke and Fortson had big games, but for different reasons. Clarke looks to be an efficient (and hopefully reliable shooting guard, hitting 5-of-8 threes. Fortson had no fear, that’s for sure, which is a huge obstacle to overcome as a freshman. That said, he put up just one shot less than team-leader Washington and was medicore from the field. Following suit, he distributed the ball for 7 assists, but turned the ball over 6 times. If Arkansas wants to win consistently this season, Fortson needs to focus more on getting the ball to other players and take care of it in the process.
Impact [Arkansas]: This is a big win for Arkansas in a few ways. SeLa should be a nice RPI boost if that comes into play for the ‘Backs, and a close victory can mature young players quickly.
Grade [Arkansas]: (B-) Overall a solid performance against an experienced mid-major. As with many other young SEC teams, rebounding and defense must improve if Arkansas wants to be competitive.
Stat of the Game: Arkansas being outshot from the field 49.3% to 42.9%

Auburn [75] vs. Missouri State [60]: If I were an Auburn basketball fan (do they exist?), I’d be excited about Korvotney Barber and Tay Waller. This may be the most dynamic duo in the SEC. Barber showed just why everyone is so excited about him in his season opener – and why he led the nation in field-goal percentage last season before his injury. He shot 10-of-14 (wow) for 22 points and 5 rebounds. I’d like to see some more rebounding, but I certainly wouldn’t complain if the scoring keeps up. Oh yeah, he had 2 blocks and a steal too. Transfer Waller is looking more and more like a consistent and reliable guard after a 4-of-8 mark from long range in this game, and these guys combined with the SEC’s most underrated player in Quantez Robertson could actually do some damage for the Tigers this season. Auburn actually has some impressive talent this season, but with so little depth the team can not afford even a single injury or off-game.
Impact [Auburn]: This was a good win, as Missouri State was a surprisingly competitive mid-major last season. Nice confidence boost for AU.
Grade [Auburn]: (A) The Tigers rebounded well, forced turnovers, and took care of the ball. Nice performance.
Stat of the Game: Auburn’s 56.0% field-goal percentage

Florida [80] vs. Toledo [58]: And to think some doubted me when I put Dan Werner on my Second-Team All-SEC. Werner led the Gators in the blowout win with 19 points on 8-of-14 shooting and 5 rebounds and I don’t see this performance slacking much. This guy is talented, but just not dominating enough to carry as much load as Florida needs him to down low. Calathes, SEC POY candidate, increased his scoring to 16 points but sacrificed ball-handling, turning the ball over five times. If Calathes is going to increase his production offensively at the cost of turnovers, this could hurt the Gators – he needs someone to step into that shooting role. Alex Tyus at center isn’t cutting it – 2 rebounds won’t get it done in the paint. As talented as Florida is, seems as if the team isn’t meshing well early on.
Impact [Florida]: The win was nothing special, but a weakness in rebounding was exposed badly.
Grade [Florida]: (B-) A big win but defense was lacking and rebounding needs to improve.
Stat of the Game: Florida’s +2 rebounding margin and allowing Toledo to shoot 43.8%

Georgia [72] vs. USC-Upstate [48]: Nice all-around performance from the Bulldogs except for on the boards (Sound like a trend? What’s with SEC teams so far and poor rebounding?), as UGA thoroughly outshot and otherwise outplayed USC-Upstate. Scoring was pretty much even across the board, with injured Albert Jackson the only player who didn’t score. Four players scored either 10 or 11 points, two of them non-starters.
Impact [Georgia]: Not much. Easy win against a lesser opponent. Rebounding has surfaced as a concern.
Grade [Georgia]: (A-) No excuse for being outrebounded by USCU by 9.
Stat of the Game: Georgia’s 20 (pressure, much?) steals

Kentucky [103] vs. VMI [111]: Kentucky did it again. Last year’s 18-point opening blowout home loss to Gardner-Webb only somewhat eclipses this year’s first-game blowout home loss to VMI. And yes, this was a blowout loss despite the 8-point difference, and noone who saw the game would argue. VMI can score points, no doubt, but UK’s 25 turnovers and utter lack of defense didn’t help. VMI was up by well over 20 points at times during the game, as the Wildcats looked lost and confused throughout the game. UK’s offense was unbelievably lopsided, as Meeks attempted 27 (wow) shots from the field for 39 (another wow) points. Confusing to me, though, is that Perry Stevenson played literally every minute of the game while returning SEC Freshman of the Year Patrick Patterson played just 27. Patterson managed just 8 points in those 27 minutes, too. Both teams shot very, very well – but VMI’s hot-shooting from three got it done.
Impact [Kentucky]: The Wildcats desperately need VMI to do well this season, and they just might. Otherwise, UK has already lost a huge amount of respect on the national scene once again.
Grade [Kentucky]: (F) The Blue had no sense of balance, no gameplan, and no consistency. No excuse for such an embarassing loss.
Stat of the Game: VMI’s 14-of-31 (45.2%) mark from behind the arc

Sunday

Florida [81] vs. Bradley [58]: I hate to gloat (okay, no I don’t), but Werner is not only validating his Second-Team All-SEC pick, he’s making an argument for First Team. He’s currently leading the Gators in scoring, after tying for the lead in this game with 17 on 4-of-6 shooting from behind the arc. Very nice, especially for a “forward”. Chandler Parsons put up 10 rebounds – if those two can complement each other that well every game, Florida may actually have a reliable post presence…at least in the starting lineup. Calathes led the Gators in shots attempted (that shouldn’t happen) but had a solid 6-to-3 assist-to-turnover ratio. Defense is still very, very shaky for Florida so far this season, as is rebounding.
Impact [Florida]: This game proved that the Toledo outing wasn’t a fluke – these Gators must find defense and rebounding.
Grade [Florida]: (B) Another big win, but it seems as if Florida is simply winning on talent at the moment, which won’t last forever.
Stat of the Game: Florida being outshot from the field 44.9% to 41.5%

Alabama [69] vs. Mercer [71]: Yeah, you read that right. In what was, to me, the most embarassing outing by an SEC squad this weekend, Mercer toppled some analysts’ favorite for the Western Division at home. How did they do it? Well, for one, Alabama (who is normally dominant on the boards) got outrebounded 56-38. Ouch. Defense? Not there. Offense? Not there. What WAS there? Former All-American Ronald Steele, who silenced all doubters who wondered if he could return to form after his surgeries and hiatus to the tune of 25 points. He hit 5-of-11 threes, which in theory is good if he can keep it up, but 11 treys sure seems like a lot to be attempting and seems to show that he was thinking shoot-first as opposed to old-school Steele pass-first mentality. Three assists to two turnovers says that too. On the up side, the squad took care of the ball, as six turnovers for a game is very impressive. As a whole, the Tide looks completely out of sync, and Gottfried has placed himself firmly on the very-very-hot-seat after just one game.
Impact [Alabama]: This was simply a devastating loss. Rebounding must improve, along with nearly everything else. This game could seriously hurt ‘Bama in the RPI if – as I suspect – the squad goes near .500 in the conference and is arguing for an NCAA bid.
Grade [Alabama]: (D-) The Tide didn’t fail only because this wasn’t a blowout loss. Not much positive to take from this game.
Stat of the Game: Alabama’s current -18 rebound margin on the season

Monday

Georgia [53] vs. Loyola-Chicago [74]: This might not have been the most embarassing (although close) performance by the SEC over the weekend, but it was probably the most shocking. The Bulldogs absolutely laid a freakin’ egg against ULC in the NIT Season Tipoff, shooting terribly and making a joke of themselves with ball handling (how about a 5-to-18 assist-to-turnover ratio). The team outside of Woodbury and freshman Travis Leslie put up a COMBINED 11 points. Absolutely no offense. Oh yeah, and 5 assists for an entire team in a game is horrendous. Several SEC *players* had more assists in single games over the weekend. This Bulldog team is on track for a whole lot of losses this season if these kind of performances continue.
Impact [Georgia]: The Bulldogs will be living this loss again and again. Any hope for a postseason has taken a major blow with this loss, especially if it is a precursor for the future.
Grade [Georgia]: [F] Oddly, not much I can say about this horrific outing. Rebounding was the only “decent” stat category. The Bulldogs are badly, badly under-talented and will be relying upon one or two players all season.
Stat of the Game: ULC attempting 11 more shots from the field than UGA

Tuesday

Kentucky [58] @ North Carolina [77]: The Wildcats got thoroughly outplayed in Chapel Hill, although the game was a relatively close 6-7 points for much of the contest. Have no doubt, though, there was never any doubt who would win this game. Gillespie wised up and got Patterson playing time (37 minutes) in this one, and he showed why that’s a good idea: 19 points, 11 rebounds, 2 blocks. Meeks once again is attempting to carry Kentucky’s offensive load, and it is NOT going to work. He must be able to share the ball and stop putting up so many shots (20 in this one). He also is not able to handle the ball, as he turned it over 6 times – with that said, the entire team doesn’t seem to be able to either (28 as a team). This squad needs to complete their adjustment and quickly, while someone needs to step up and complement Meeks offensively.
Impact [Kentucky]: Kentucky wasn’t supposed to win this one, but the loss did help confirm the nation’s suspicions of UK after a loss to VMI. The loss also drops UK to an embarassing 0-2 to start the season.
Grade [Kentucky]: (C-) The ‘Cats were outclassed and bumbling on offense.
Stat of the Game: Kentucky’s 14-to-28 assist-to-turnover ratio

Another setback for Ole Miss…

First Trevor Gaskins was lost, which really just hurt guard depth but not necessarily the Rebels’ talent-level too badly.

But now, this – Eniel Polynice has injured his knee and will be out for the remainder of the season. Polynice is the most experienced upperclassmen among a slew of underclassmen, and this loss not only is devastating for the Rebels’ defense and backcourt offense, but also for its experience.

If Andy Kennedy can squeak out a postseason birth after these two losses, he should be a heavy favorite for SEC Coach of the Year honors.

Absolute disaster…

While I’m following up this post with some actual game-by-game breakdowns, I thought I would express my utter shock and horror at this weekend’s games in the SEC. Apparently the day has come which SEC teams that can actually beat teams such as VMI, Loyola Chicago, or Mercer by 20 points as expected are the conference’s elite, while teams that were supposed to rank among the SEC’s top 4 or 5 are losing those games.

To compound the problem, off-the-court issues are plaguing teams across the league as well. Georgia’s mass losses are well documented, Jai Lucas left Florida, Ole Miss has lost two valuable guards and Mississippi State is missing two players two injury.

Is this bad fortune a case of bad luck, simply a symptom of a reloading conference, or is the SEC sliding against the nation’s best?

Discuss.

SEC’s final exhibition game…

On the eve of the SEC’s regular-season debut, Alabama wrapped up the league’s exhibition slate against Belhaven.

Alabama [97] vs. Belhaven [43]: Not much didn’t go right for the Tide on Thursday evening, as every major role-player stepped up and played their part in the well-oiled machine. Senario Hillman, who will be looked toward to lead the team in scoring, did so in this game with 21 points on 8-of-12 shooting. Freshman Jamychal Green, who ‘Bama needs a huge season out of, played much better in his second exhibition outing with 14 points and 7 rebounds, although 8 of those points came from the charity stripe. Green also stole the ball 5 times and blocked 3 shots. Big-time player Alonzo Gee put up 18 points and 6 rebounds, while returning former All-American Ronald Steele handed out 8 assists and turned the ball over just once. Even usually-inept forward Yamene Coleman shot 6-of-7 for 12 points in 17 minutes. The only scary stat was UA only outrebounding the D-II team 47-43.
Stat of the Game: Alabama’s 26-to-12 assist-to-turnover ratio

More exhibition results…

As we wind down the exhibition “season” and approach regular-season play, here are some recaps of SEC teams’ exhibition outings…

Alabama [99] vs. Faulkner [53]: While this was a convincing win as a result of a simple gap in athleticism, there were some worrying results in this contest for the Tide. Star interior freshman Jamychal Green, looking to fill the gigantic hole underneath left by departed Hendrix, had an unstellar performance with 8 points and 4 rebounds in 17 minutes, while the Tide’s other interior bodies mustered 19 points and 17 rebounds in 49 minutes. Coupled with the lack of production underneath was the team’s abysmal 6-of-31 performance from behind the arc for 19.4%. All eyes were on Ronald Steele, who seemed healthy enough and surprisingly was a much more effective rebounder (7) than scorer (2-of-5 for 5 points). Gee led the way with 21 points while Torrance put up 19.
Stat of the Game: Alabama’s 20-to-10 assist-to-turnover ratio

Arkansas [108] vs. Dillard [80]: While the Razorbacks have averaged over 100 points in exhibition play, allowing 80 points to a D-II school is a bit scary. Dillard shot almost 40% from the field and over 35% from three. With that said, the ‘Backs continued hitting on all cylinders with a 56.5% mark from the field. Michael Washington seems ready to pull the weight for the young Razorbacks with 19 points down low on 8-of-13 shooting and 10 rebounds in 20 minutes, while Courtney Fortson showed off why Arkansas fans were excited about his ability with an outstanding 10 assists to just 2 turnovers, along with 11 points for a double-double. Rotnei Clark, another freshman phenom for Pelphrey, also went off for 20 points on 5-of-9 shooting from long range and proved to be a very talented shooter from the charity stripe at 5-of-5 on the night. Overall, it looks like Arkansas will live and die by their offense this season, as is the case with most inexperienced teams.
Stat of the Game: Arkansas players not named Clark going 4-of-18 (22.2%) from three

Auburn [98] vs. Morehouse College [50]: This result should give the (very few) Auburn hoops faithful a good amount of hope, as the Tigers looked impressive in their first exhibition outing. Junior college transfer Tay Waller looked particularly exciting, especially considering his name is almost unheard of around the SEC. Waller drained 7-of-12 three-pointers (yeah, 7. of 12. Geez.) and recorded 27 points in 21 minutes (!). Quantez Robertson, one of the most unheralded but deserving players in the league, scored 19 points and surprisingly grabbed 10 rebounds to put up a double-double, as well as handing out 5 assists without turning the ball over. For every surprise (Waller) there is a disappointment, though, and that comes in the form of Korvotney Barber, who Auburn desperately needs a big season out of. Barber managed just 4 points and no rebounds in 19 minutes.
Stat of the Game: Auburn’s 45.5% effort from three

Florida [82] vs. Rollins College [53]: The Gators had a pretty uneventful and standard exhibition game against Rollins College, with a pretty standard outclassing in offense and defense. The remarkable thing was the even scoring, however, as nearly every squad member got on the board – and that the Gators were actually outrebounded 37-36. Parsons hit 7-of-11 shots from the floor for 16 points, while Calathes also put up 16 on 6-of-8 shooting as well as a 6-to-1 assists-to-turnover performance. Kenny Kadji has not performed well underneath, and this game was not an exception: just 4 points on 1-of-5 shooting and 5 rebounds in 17 minutes.
Stat of the Game: Nine out of ten Gators scoring

Georgia [93] vs. Albany State [56]: The Bulldogs relied heavily upon offense to down Albany State, although the squad stole the ball 18 times. ASU did, however, score efficiently against UGA – shooting 24-of-55 for 43.6%. Price led the Bulldogs with 19 points on 8-of-13 shooting and 7 rebounds, while Albert Jackson was not effective offensively in his outing back from the injury at 1-of-8 from the field for 4 points but pulled down a solid 7 rebounds. Brewer and Zlovaric pitched in 15 apiece.
Stat of the Game: Georgia forcing 29 Albany State turnovers

Kentucky [94] vs. Ouachita Baptist [72]: The Wildcats allowed OBU to hit 46.4% from behind the arc to keep the game respectable, but Kentucky solidly outrebounded and outscored their opponents for a safe win. After apparently gaining a big head, UK’s first exhibition star Josh Harrellson saw only 3 minutes while potential-ridden junior Perry Stevenson saw 35 and absolutely destroyed the stat sheet with 16 points and an unbelieveable 20 (…wow) rebounds. Oh yeah, and 7 blocks. Dude is talented. Gillespie wasn’t pleased, however, as Stevenson apparently missed several assignments and took his play on his own shoulders. One thing is for sure, though – with Stevenson and Harrellson beside SEC Player of the Year candidate Patrick Patterson, UK’s frontcourt has nothing to be concerned about. Meeks, who will be relied upon heavily to step up with the heavy guard losses for the Blue, led all scorers with 23 points and hit a perfect 8-of-8 free throws. Freshman Deandre Liggins performed adequately in the point guard role, handing out 7 assists to just 4 turnovers although he hit just 2-of-5 shots from the field.
Stat of the Game: Kentucky’s 52-36 rebounding advantage

Mississippi State [67] vs. Oklahoma City [65]: The Bulldogs trailed almost the entire game and came from behind the defeat the two-time defending NAIA national champion OCU Stars. MSU’s defense was surprisingly lacking, despite the high quality of opponent, and ball-sharing was worryingly lacking. Ever-reliable superstar Jarvis Varnado neared triple-double status for the second consecutive outing with 12 points, 13 rebounds, and 8 blocks in 24 minutes. Freshman point guard Dee Bost served well, dishing out 6 assists to 3 turnovers and 11 points on 3-of-6 shooting from long range, while a pair of backup big men in senior Brian Johnson and sophomore Elgin Bailey combined for 19 rebounds and 16 points. Seems as if the Bulldogs are scarily short on effective and reliable role players.
Stat of the Game: MSU shooting 25-of-73 (34.2%) and allowing OCU to shoot 27-of-63 (42.9%)

South Carolina [75] vs. Kentucky Wesleyan [55]: In a surprisingly underwhelming performance, the Gamecocks didn’t truly dominate UKW, allowing their opponents to shoot (38.3%-35.4%) and rebound (44-41) similarly. In fact, USC was allowed 14 more free throws in the game, and that difference made up for an otherwise very close game. Devan Downey, one of the league’s elite players, led the Gamecocks in scoring with 19 points and 8 rebounds, but sacrificed his ball-handling with 4 assists to 3 turnovers. Archie added 9 rebounds, while Steed put in 12 points and 7 rebounds.
Stat of the Game: USC’s 85.2% from FT compared to UKW’s 46.2%

Tennessee [82] vs. Tusculum [51]: The Vols rebounded somewhat from a disappointing first exhibition game with a solid win here, although some key stats are remaining that should worry Orange fans. The Vols only shot 8-of-26 (30.8%) from long range – the heart and soul of the squad’s offense. In fact, the team was outshot from three (33.3%). The main key to the game was shots attempted, as the Vols simply controlled the ball more. Both star big men, Tyler Smith and Wayne Chism, posted double-doubles with a collective 25 points and 21 rebounds while super-freshman Scotty Hopson was mediocre at 1-of-4 from downtown for 11 points.
Stat of the Game: Vols forcing 25 Tusculum turnovers

Vanderbilt [84] vs. Alabama-Huntsville [65]: Yet another case of an SEC team failing to keep up the intensity on defense and relying on offense to win in exhibition play, as UAH actually outshot Vandy heavily from behind the line and nearly matched them on the boards. Leading the ‘Dores was ridiculously talented A.J. Ogilvy. For those who questioned him as my pick for SEC Player of the Year, how about these numbers: 25 points on 9-of-10 shooting and 7-of-7 from the charity stripe in just 19 minutes. Just wait until this guy gets ~30 minutes per game. Eyes are on Beal to step into Foster’s spot, and those shoes are enormous in comparison – Beal managed just 8 points and 2 assists in 25 minutes. Freshman Jeffrey Taylor made a name for himself, as he put up 16 points on 7-of-8 shooting in 20 minutes. With the collection of guards, it will be interesting to see if Ogilvy can fill up Vandy’s needs inside, because otherwise rebounding looks hard to come by.
Stat of the Game: Vandy’s +4 rebounding margin

Conference primer…

So, the conference primer I put together for my good friends at Rush The Court has been published – you should check it out!

While their ranking of fifth for the SEC is certainly understandable, I retain my hopes that the league will take a step up this coming season.

With the season quickly approaching (this weekend), I will be releasing predictions and such soon. I’ve been battling some pretty serious physical conditions, including a trip to the emergency room, so once I recover some more in-depth analysis will be up.

When it rains, it pours…

And now there’s more…Albert Jackson apparently suffered an ankle injury in Georgia’s exhibition tonight against Albany State.

Although little is known as the X-ray results haven’t been released yet, word on the street is that Jackson hit the ground hard and literally could put no weight on the foot.

Jackson really came on strong late for the Bulldogs and currently holds a starting position on the Bulldogs’ scarily thin front line. Georgia literally only has two froncourt players outside of Jackson, and with the departure of Takais Brown and Mike Mercer during the offseason, this team is seriously lacking in role players.

If Jackson is out for any length of time, this squad is headed closer and closer to being the worst team this league has seen in quite some time.

Another major development…

This time with Ole Miss. Trevor Gaskins, a sharp-shooting sophomore-to-be who tore his left ACL and will be sidelined for the remainder of the season.

Although Gaskins only averaged 5.9 points and 1.5 rebounds per game last season, he was a major component in the Rebels’ backcourt for this upcoming season, ranked third last year in 3-point percentage among SEC freshmen.

The pressure will now be on junior David Huertas to step up, work on his jumper, and pick up some slack. This will hurt the Rebels’ guard depth, and could hamper their hope for a solid season.

Exhibition recap

Here are some results and highlights from SEC exhibitions that have occured thus far…

Arkansas [103] vs. Campbelsville [58]: The Razorbacks shot 60.6% as a team from the field , along with 50.0% from outside the arc, to destroy visiting Campbelsville. Michael Washington dominated the paint, scoring a game-high 22 points in just 21 minutes on the floor, to go with 7 rebounds and 4 blocks. Stefan Welsh led all guards with 20 points on 8-of-11 shooting and 4-of-6 from long range and 3 steals.
Stat of the Game: Arkansas shooting 29.6% better from the floor than Campbelsville

#19 Florida [108] vs. Warner [49]: Warner was completely over-everything-ed in this game, as the Gators tromped in their first outing of the season. Dan Werner led the Gators with 17 points and 6 rebounds while Alex Tyus, an up-and-comer, notched a double-double with 16 points and 14 rebounds. Chandler Parsons had 6 rebounds while phenomenal point guard Nick Calathes racked up 9 assists.
Stat of the Game: Florida’s 46.4% mark from three

Kentucky [111] vs. UM-St. Louis [53]: The Wildcats looks awfully impressive in this one, especially ju-co transfer Josh Harrellson. Harrellson put his name on the SEC radar screen with a surprising 21 points in just 16 minutes and 12 rebounds for a double-double, shooting 9-of-14 from the floor including a made three-pointer. Jodie Meeks proved his potential as an explosive scorer with a game-high 27 points on 7-of-13 shooting from behind the arc, while ever-reliable Patterson recorded 24 points and 11 rebounds for the team’s second double-double.
Stat of the Game: Kentucky’s 63-23 halftime lead

Mississippi State [88] vs. Montevallo [59]: The Bulldogs needed to knock a little rust off from the offseason, but Varnado showed his offensive ability by nearing triple-double status in just 24 minutes with 17 points on 7-of-9 shooting, 12 rebounds, and 8 blocks, along with a surprising 4 assists. Ravern Johnson lived up to offseason hype with a game-high 19 points on 8-of-14 shooting from the field. A pair of freshmen also impressed, as Dee Bost shined as the starting point guard with 13 points and seven assists to just 3 turnovers, while Romero Osby played very well in the paint with 10 points on 3-of-5 shooting and 11 rebounds in just 13 minutes.
Stat of the Game: Mississippi State’s 62-37 rebounding advantage

Ole Miss [115] vs. North Alabama [81]: Where there was good news for Ole Miss offensively, there was bad news defensively. The Rebels gave up 81 points and allowed UNA to shoot 38.9% from three, but scored 115 on 56.8% shooting from the floor. Further emphasizing the lack of Rebel defense, the Rebs only stole the ball twice, as compared to UNA’s 11 steals. The scoring was very balanced for Ole Miss, with seven players scoring 11 points or more, led by DeAundre Cranston with 16 on 5-of-8 shooting, including 2-of-3 threes. Malcolm White led all rebounders with 9.
Stat of the Game: Ole Miss’ 57-27 rebounding advantage

#14 Tennessee [87] vs. Indianapolis [73]: This was perhaps one of the more shocking exhibition results in the nation, as Indianapolis took a quick lead over the highly-regarded Vols. Unfortunately a problem that often plagues Bruce Pearl teams, the Volunteers simply didn’t have any sense of defense and allowed UI to shoot 48.1% from the field and 42.9% from long range along with a disappointing 20 turnovers to just 17 assists. Scoring was well-balanced as five squad members scored in double figures, led by standout Tyler Smith and freshman phenom Scotty Hopson on a collective 9-of-19 performance. New point guard Bobby Maze played well with 7 assists to just 3 turnovers.
Stat of the Game: UI shooting 14.3% better than Tennessee from three

Breaking news: Jai Lucas is transferring

According to CBSSportsline, Jai Lucas is transferring out of the Florida program.

This comes a huge shock considering the positive direction the Gators are headed in, but word on the street has it that Lucas is intimidated by the challenge for playing time. I’m not sure what else he expected considering Florida is just two years removed from back-to-back national titles. Talented players run away, truly GREAT players welcome the challenge and prove themselves.

Lucas averaged 8.5ppg, 1.7rpg , 2.2apg last season and shot an outstanding 43.5% from three-point range. Although the Gators have a wealth of depth, this certainly hurts their cause. In the big picture however, I don’t see the loss affecting the Gators’ season in a significant way.

2008-09 Preseason SEC Awards

So, here we go – my complete run-down of the season’s awards heading into the 2008-09 season.

SEC COACH OF THE YEAR:   BILLY DONOVAN (FLORIDA)

While both South Carolina and LSU should take major steps upwards this season with an almost entire roster returning, both programs will be welcoming in new coaches, and that always invites unpredictable results. Out of returning coaches, Donovan has the best situation on his hands with many players returning and an incredible recruiting class.

Donovan is 285-115 (.713) at Florida, which ranks as the second-highest percentage in the SEC behind Tennessee’s Bruce Pearl. Having recently won back-to-back national championships in 2005-07, Donovan has more than proven his ability as a head coach.

Donovan returns nearly every starter, including co-freshman of the year Nick Calathes, the league’s best overall point guard. With the cast and crew returning in 2008-09, along with Donovan at the helm, the Gators could shock the nation and make a surprise return to the Final Four next March.

SEC PLAYER OF THE YEAR:   A.J. OGILVY (VANDERBILT)

When I’m wrong, I go all out. A year ago, I was resisting the Ogilvy bandwagon that had built up steam amongst the national media. I held the belief that the Australian would struggle with SEC-caliber competition.

I was wrong.

Ogilvy easily ranked, as noted previously in the summer, as the most efficient player in the conference last season – as a freshman. He averaged over 17ppg despite playing alongside the league’s most prolific scorer in Shan Foster, while also chipping in almost 7 rebounds and 1.4 blocks per game. Without Foster on the roster, I would suppose that Ogilvy’s scoring will go somewhat higher as the Commodores will rely even more heavily upon the sophomore.

SEC FRESHMAN OF THE YEAR:   SCOTTY HOPSON (TENNESSEE)

Hopson comes into the Vol program as the highest-ranked freshman in the SEC per the media outlets. The Hopkinsville, Kentucky native is accurately named, with a huge leaping ability, and is a lethal scorer. Although Hopson will likely fill the shooting guard spot, he’s equally adept at small forward, known for his mid-range jumper. Hopson should be a definite one-and-done.

SEC DEFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR:   JARVIS VARNADO (MISSISSIPPI STATE)

This was as easy a selection as I’ve made in quite some time. Varnado led the nation in blocks per game a season ago at 4.6 per contest, while tying Shaquille O’Neal’s SEC single-season record in swats per outing. Varnado helped MSU rank second in the nation in both field goal percentage defense and blocks per game, and currently ranks as State’s highest field-goal-percentage shooter of all time. Look for Varnado to step up offensively in the wake of Rhodes’ graduation, and challenge for SEC Player of the Year honors.

ALL-SEC FIRST TEAM

A.J. Ogilvy (Vanderbilt – Center – Sophomore – 17.0ppg, 6.7rpg, 1.4bpg) – Ogilvy is a tremendously talented big-man who specializes in offense. He has a soft touch and uses his size (6′11″, 250lb) to his advantage defensively.

Nick Calathes (Florida – Point Guard – Sophomore – 15.3ppg, 5.2rpg, 6.1apg) – Calathes is in the running for SEC Player of the Year because of his versatility. He’s extremely efficient with the basketball and is one of the best passers the league has ever seen. His long-range shot is also solid, and his rebounding is phenomenal for his position.

Marcus Thornton (LSU – Shooting Guard – Senior – 19.6ppg, 5.6rpg, 1.3 spg) -Thornton returns as the league’s leading scorer, and its second-best three-point shooter. This kid is dynamic and explosive, with a touch for the basket only barely overshadowed a season ago by Vanderbilt’s Foster.

Tyler Smith (Tennessee – Power Forward – Junior – 13.6ppg, 6.7rpg, 3.3apg) – Smith was the league’s most versatile big man last year, shooting an impressive 37.8% from long range, 53.6% from the floor, and is among the SEC’s elite rebounders.

Patrick Patterson (Kentucky – Power Forward – Sophomore – 16.4ppg, 7.7rpg, 1.2bpg) – Patterson was named the SEC’s co-freshman of the year for 2007-08 after a tremendous season, providing a much-needed hole-stopper down low for the Wildcats. Patterson is among the league’s most reliable post players, producing big numbers nearly every single game.

Jarvis Varnado (Mississippi State – Center – Junior – 7.9ppg, 7.8rpg, 4.6bpg) – Producing ridiculous block numbers last year, including two consecutive 10-block performances, Varnado led the nation in swats per game last season. He stands as MSU’s all-time most efficient score, shooting over 60% in his career, and returns as the league’s leading rebounder. Expect Varnado’s offensive production to increase heavily with his minutes, and the big man to challenge for SEC Player of the Year.

Devan Downey (South Carolina – Point Guard – Junior – 18.4ppg, 5.3apg, 3.2spg) – Downey is a tremendously talented guard stuck in an underperforming program. Downey is the league’s second-leading returning scorer and still found the time and ability to hand out over 5 assists per game. Downey – possibly the SEC’s best defending guard – should have a huge season along with his fellow Gamecocks this year.

Chris Warren (Ole Miss – Point Guard – Sophomore – 15.8ppg, 4.4apg, 1.0spg) – Warren provided the Rebels, who approached last season with dampened expectations, a huge boost of energy both from his ability to find open lanes and hit treys when the formations fell apart. Warren is a special talent and has a bright future in Oxford.

ALL-SEC SECOND TEAM

Ronald Steele (Alabama – Point Guard – Senior – Redshirted) – There is no other player in the SEC that begs more questions than Ronald Steele does. When healthy, Steele is a tremendous asset in his maturity and decision-making. However, after two knee surgeries, doubts remain about his ability to return to form.

Alonzo Gee (Alabama – Small Forward – Senior – 14.5ppg, 6.8rpg, 1.5spg) – Gee stands as the SEC’s most energetic player, suffocating the ball while on the court on both offense and defense. While this certainly has its advantages, as it’s nearly impossible to guard his athleticism, it also brings turnovers and ball-hogging.

Dominique Archie (South Carolina – Power forward – Junior – 10.6ppg, 5.7rpg, 1.0spg) -Archie is poised for a breakout season alongside fellow Gamecock Mike Holmes, while Archie specializes in his athleticism on defense. Archie also provides a difficult matchup on offense, as he shoots a solid 34.3% from long range.

Chris Johnson (LSU – Center – Senior – 11.6ppg, 6.6rpg, 2.6bpg) – Johnson, although very lanky at just 210lbs at 6′11″, is dangerously potent defensively, ranking (a distant) second in the league last season. He does well what a big man should, which is score from under the basket and grab rebounds.

Dan Werner (Florida - Power Forward – Junior – 9.1ppg, 6.4rpg, 2.4apg) – Werner struggled to replace Joakim Noah’s hole alongside talented big-man Marreese Speights last season, but still rebounded and defended very well in the paint. Look for Werner to have a breakout season for the Gators in 2008-09.

Wayne Chism (Tennessee – Center – Junior – 9.9ppg, 5.8rpg, 1.3bpg) – Chism pales in the shadow of the team’s star Tyler Smith, but still serves his duty as an adept scorer and a potentially explosive big-man. Unfortunately, Chism will need to produce on a more consistent basis if he hopes to jump to first-team.

Korvotney Barber (Auburn – Power Forward – Senior – 13.8ppg, 6.9rpg, 72.0% FG) – Barber has about as much potential as any player in the league, but broke his hand early last season and was benched. Barber was leading the nation in field-goal percentage before the incident, and could be a huge anchor for the Tigers this year if he can stay healthy.

ALL-SEC FRESHMAN TEAM

Scotty Hopson (#5 nationally – Tennessee – Shooting Guard – 6′5″, 185lbs – Other offers from Texas, Cincinatti, Kentucky, Louisville, Mississippi State)

DeAndre Liggins (#28 nationally – Kentucky – Point Guard – 6′5″, 190lbs – Other offers from Memphis, Illinois, Kansas)

Courtney Fortson (#60 nationally – Arkansas – Point Guard – 5′10″, 175lbs – Other offers from Florida State, Tennessee, Kentucky)

Jamychal Green (#21 nationally – Alabama – Power Forward – 6′8″, 225lbs – Other offers from Auburn, Florida, Georgia Tech, Kentucky, Marquette, Ole Miss, Virginia)

Dee Bost (#83 nationally – Mississippi State – Point Guard – 6′2″, 170lbs – Other offers from Virginia, High Point, Cincinatti, Florida State, Miami)

Kenny Kadji (#27 nationally – Florida – Center – 6′10″, 240lbs – Other offers from Florida State, Georgia Tech, Kansas State, Memphis, Connecticut)

Howard Thompkins (#30 nationally – Georgia – Power Forward – 6′8″, 225lbs – Other offers from Georgia Tech, Michigan State, Florida, Florida State)

PREDICTED ORDER OF FINISH

East

1. Tennessee   (25-5, 13-3)
2. Florida    (25-5, 12-4)
3. Kentucky   (22-8, 11-5)
4. Vanderbilt   (24-6, 9-7)
5. South Carolina   (19-10, 8-8)
6. Georgia   (15-13, 5-11)

West

t1. Alabama   (18-11, 8-8)
t1. LSU   (21-10, 8-8)
t1. Mississippi State   (21-10, 8-8)
4. Ole Miss   (17-13, 7-9)
5. Arkansas   (14-15, 5-11)
6. Auburn   (14-17, 3-13)

Please feel free to post comments and questions!!!!!

2008-09 SEC Schedule breakdowns: Vanderbilt

Wins in bold, losses in italics, and toss-ups are marked with asterisks.

vs. Morehead State
vs. Illinois
vs. Middle Tennessee State***
vs. Central Arkansas – Cancun Challenge (Nashville, Tennessee)
vs. Drake – Cancun Challenge (Cancun, Mexico)
vs. New Mexico/VCU – Cancun Challenge (Cancun, Mexico)***
vs. Illinois-Chicago
@ Georgia Tech
vs. Alabama A&M
vs. USF – SEC/Big East Challenge (Nashville, Tennessee)
vs. Tennessee Tech
vs. Furman
vs. Saint Francis (PA)
@ Massachusetts***
———-
@ Kentucky
vs. Georgia
@ Mississippi State
vs. Tennessee
vs. Florida
@ South Carolina
@ Auburn
vs. Alabama
vs. Ole Miss
@ Tennessee
vs. Kentucky
@ Florida
@ Georgia
vs. South Carolina
@ LSU
vs. Arkansas

The ‘Dores’ non-conference schedule will spin up the ol’ hype machine, but the team’s RPI will be very weak. I’ve got them going (24-6) and (9-7) and around a 4 or 5 seed in the tournament…possibly lower considering the RPI.