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Archive for the ‘LSU’ Category

Aggressive underneath…

Posted by hoopsknowitall on July 9, 2008

Now we’ve made it to minutes per free throws attempted. This again should be dominated by forwards and aggressive guards. However, the main difference here is that free throw percentages aren’t as relevant, but instead the turnover rate is key. This category measures how aggressive these players are in the paint and if this aggression is working in their favor by free throw attempts heavily outweighing their number of turnovers.

MINUTES PER FREE THROWS ATTEMPTED

While the aim is for this number to be low, it’s best combined with a solid free throw percentage and low turnover rate.

1. A.J. Ogilvy, Vanderbilt (3.9) – As if this phenomenal freshman hadn’t done enough, he leads yet another statistical category, this time in how often he gets to the stripe. His aggression and assertiveness under the basket is unmatched offensively, and he improves upon that with a very solid 76.9% touch – although his 10.5 m/to rate could be improved upon.

2. Elgin Bailey, Mississippi State (5.2) – Bailey seems to have a lot of potential under the basket, with solid shooting percentages and rebounding figures as a freshman. His aggression in the paint, however, goes unrewarded as he hit an absolutely abysmal 39.0% from the stripe with 41 attempts (he hits a much better 47.4% from the field). If Bailey wants to step into the shoes of graduating forward Charles Rhodes, he absolutely must improve from the charity stripe.

3. Cameron Tatum, Tennessee (5.3) – Very similar to Bailey but with much less playing time is Tatum, who shot well from the field but managed just a 42.9% effort from the free throw line in 14 attempts. Similarly, he must improve that stroke before he looks to contribute for the Vols. A 9.3 m/to rate also should improve.

4. Korvotney Barber, Auburn (5.6) – Shockingly, Barber is the 3rd out of the top 4 in this category to shoot less than 45% from the free throw line (43.8%), although Barber’s misses made a much larger impact on his team, as he started 29 of 32 games for the Tigers. Auburn simply doesn’t have a choice, with limited options inside., although his 11.5 m/to ratio is at least decent.

5. J.P. Prince, Tennessee (5.8) – Although his shooting touch is still terrible at 55.7%, Prince’s m/to rate is an acceptable 11.3 and his touch from the field is a solid 49.7% – especially for a guard. Prince should continue to improve his free throw shooting and outside mark (15.4%) if the Vols are to seriously filter him into the starting lineup.

6. Nick Calathes, Florida (5.9) – Calathes is simply beneficial to his team regardless of what he is doing. Included is his knack for attacking the lane and drawing fouls, shooting 72.4% from the charity stripe as a freshman. This dynamic guard should join A.J. Ogilvy as preseason SEC Player of the Year favorites.

7. Zach Graham, Ole Miss (6.3) – The third-straight guard in the category, Graham would have been an absolute star if he had started every game last season, with incredible numbers from long range (43.3%) and his aggressive floor-play. A 13.9 m/to ratio is also impressive for a freshman guard.

8. Tyler Smith, Tennessee (6.4) – Smith, possibly the most dynamic player in the conference, got to the line 160 times and hit 70.6% of those shots. His 11.3 m/to ratio is especially impressive considering the amount of time in which he handled the ball.

8. Alonzo Gee, Alabama (6.4) – Gee’s touch from the charity stripe is far from impressive for a guard (67.9%), but his 15.8 m/to ratio is excellent considering his role as perhaps the most aggressive player in the conference.

10. Tasmin Mitchell, LSU (6.6) – Mitchell only saw three games, but excelled in those games from the free throw stripe, hitting 8 of 10 of his attempts. However, his ball-handling was nothing short of poor, as he turned the ball over every 7.3 minutes. In perspective, he would have given the ball up an average of five times if he had played 40 full minutes.

Not too much surprising on this front, as few would argue that these 10 players are the most aggressive in the conference. Some to their remorse, and others to their own benefit. To coaches, it’s absolutely vital for a player with lots of talent and potential to get to the basket, while those who only think they have that talent should know when to back off.

Next, we move on to the ever-important rebounding category with minutes per rebound.

Posted in Alabama Basketball, Auburn Basketball, Auburn University, College Basketball, Florida Basketball, LSU, LSU Basketball, Mississippi State Basketball, Mississippi State University, Ole Miss, Ole Miss Basketball, Sports, Tennessee, Tennessee Basketball, University of Alabama, University of Florida, University of Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Vanderbilt Basketball | Leave a Comment »

Some news updates…

Posted by hoopsknowitall on July 2, 2008

As was suspected, Billy Humphrey was kicked off of the Georgia hoops team by embattled coach Dennis Felton. Losing the upperclassman shooter will mean youth in the Bulldogs’ guards and could hurt the team’s free throw shooting, as Humphrey hit 83.1% of his to lead the team (outside of Brewer, who only attempted nine). I’ve updated the excel file to include this change – Georgia now returns 50.22% of their scoring moving them to 6th while Auburn moves to 4th and Ole Miss moves to 5th. UGA also now returns 54.17% of their rebounding, dropping the team to 7th while Kentucky moves to 5th and Tennessee moves to 6th.

The Dallas Mavericks have picked up Charles Rhodes from Mississippi State, avoiding the European league…for now.

In other Mississippi State news, word has it that junior-to-be shooting guard Barry Stewart has broken his foot in a pick-up game, although word is that he will be fully healed by season’s start. Stewart’s shooting touch suffered last season – much like Beverly’s – and his lack of practice over the summer could hurt the Bulldogs.

Also on the MSU front, Jamont Gordon has apparently “verbally committed” to Mike Conley and will join the 76′ers summer camp soon, effectively eliminating him from any discussion for next season SEC talk.

Three SEC teams will begin, or have begun, breaking ground on new basketball facilities in the near future. Ole Miss’ building looks to span over 51,000 square feet and cost over $11 million, LSU’s will be 58,960 square feet and cost over $14 million, while there aren’t any firm details on plans for Mississippi State’s, but the building is in the works and there is an artist rendering on how it should look.

More to come soon…

Posted in College Basketball, LSU, LSU Basketball, Mississippi State, Mississippi State Basketball, Ole Miss, Ole Miss Basketball, Sports | Leave a Comment »

Tuesday game, Wednesday odds…

Posted by hoopsknowitall on January 8, 2008

Overall: 90-18 (83.3%)
Vs. Spread: 32-26 (55.2%)

I’m unveiling a new couple of new elements to the breakdown of each game as we enter SEC play. The first is called the “Impact”. It’s pretty self explanatory – it’ll breakdown the psychological and tangible impact of each result on both teams involved in the game. Secondly, in the odds, are the “Keys” – things to watch that could away the game.

(11-5, 0-1) Alabama [83] vs. (14-2, 1-0) Florida [90]: This was simply a bad matchup for the Tide, as neither team played defense and the Gators outshot the Tide. In yet another close game, the victor shot from the charity stripe better, as Florida shot 80.8% from the line. Lucas and Calathes, both freshmen, shot the Gators to victory on a combined 11-of-21 performance, as Speights spent most of the game in foul trouble, and the two scored 19 and 21 points respectively. Gee and Hendrix were Alabama’s entire arsenal, as Gee notched 32 on 14-of-(what?!?) 25 attempts, while Hendrix only managed 11 attempts, hit 7 of them, and connected on 12-of-(what?!?) 21 attempts from the free throw line. That’s the most attempts from the stripe I’ve ever seen on a single player.
Impact [Alabama]: The Tide’s loss tonight is devastating. Regardless of if the Gators end up in the tournament, if Alabama finds itself on the bubble this loss at home will not look good. UA has now lost 2 of the last 3 on their approach to Fayetteville to meet Arkansas on Sunday. If the Tide can’t pull off an upset win at Arkansas, momentum will turn south and Alabama’s chances in the West will drastically decrease, while the following game at Georgia could be a “hangover” loss waiting to happen.
Impact [Florida]: The win was gigantic for the Gators, as this win sets Florida up for a 2-0 start as they face Auburn at home on Saturday before one of their toughest matchups so far on Wednesday at #13 Ole Miss. The Gators are well on their way to proving their worth to the NCAA committee.
Stat of the Game: Florida’s 23.1% free throw shooting advantage

Wednesday Odds

(8-4) Georgia [#190] vs. (7-6, 0-1) Georgia Tech [#90]
Spread: Georgia by 1.5
Pick: Georgia – It’s tough to make this call, because the Yellow Jackets are playing to the level of their competition.
—Keys: Georgia needs not overlook Tech towards SEC play, and play solid defense.

(7-7) LSU [#177] vs. (9-5) Mississippi State [#134]
Spread: Even
Pick: Mississippi State – LSU is playing horribly, and State’s main contributors are not new to this challenge. With that said, this pick guarantees an LSU win, because I apparently can not pick MSU correctly.
Keys: Mississippi State’s interior defense, as the LSU guards have been utterly incapable so far.

(15-0) #17 Vanderbilt [#6] vs. (8-6) South Carolina [#147]
Spread: Vanderbilt by 8
Pick: Vanderbilt – The Commodores’ potent offense will stretch this out a bit more than 8 points.
—Keys: As long as Vanderbilt doesn’t suddenly go cold, this game shouldn’t be too tough.

(12-1) #7 Tennessee [#4] vs. (13-0) #13 Ole Miss [#20]
Spread: Tennessee by 11
Pick: Ole Miss – Although I still think the Vols take the game, Ole Miss has the offense to keep up with Tennessee.
—Keys: Will the Ole Miss frosh choke on the road in a big-game situation?

Posted in Alabama Basketball, College Basketball, Florida Basketball, Georgia Basketball, LSU, Mississippi State Basketball, Ole Miss Basketball, South Carolina Basketball, Sports, Tennessee Basketball, Vanderbilt Basketball | 1 Comment »

2007-2008 Preseason All-SEC Third Team

Posted by hoopsknowitall on October 15, 2007

Here they are, in all their glory – listed in reverse order for optimal excitement, beginning with All-SEC Third Team…

All-SEC Third Team

Tasmin Mitchell (LSU – Forward – Junior - 14.5ppg, 5.9rpg, 1.0spg) – The only remaining star player from a team that reached the Final Four two years ago only to miss the postseason last year. Relied on too heavily for outside contributions, Mitchell is shooting only 25.9% from three. Regardless, Mitchell is an outstanding all-around player who contains excellent versatility and will be relied on heavily by the Tigers this season and will receive ample opportunity to fluff his stats sheets.

Wayne Chism (Tennessee – Center – Sophomore – 9.1ppg, 5.2rpg, 0.6bpg) – An athletic, but short, purely-inside man who greatly increased his production at the end of last season. Although Chism will likely be overshadowed by Iowa transfer Tyler Smith in the post, Chism should easily average over 10ppg this season, giving a guard-heavy Volunteer team a legitimate inside presence.

Charles Thomas (Arkansas – Power Forward – Senior – 10.7ppg, 5.7rpg, 1.2apg) – Another forward relied on too heavily to score from behind the arc. Thomas averaged only 17.9% from that range last season, athough Thomas led the Hogs in both offensive rebounding and free throw attempts last season meaning he can more than handle his own inside the paint. Thomas needs to work on his offensive game, but has tremendous rebounding potential – best seen in his 18-rebound effort versus Mississippi State in the SEC Tournament last season…more rebounds by a single Razorback in a single game in over 10 years.

Ramel Bradley (Kentucky – Point Guard – Senior – 13.4ppg, 3.7rpg, 3.8apg) – A combo guard slotted in the point guard position, Bradley loves to score from the field (42.0%), from three (36.7%) or the stripe (81.5%). That last mark ranked second in the conference. With that said, Bradley has the problem many floor generals do – giving the ball away…his assist-to-turnover ratio notched in at a meager 1.42 as he caused 91 turnovers on the season. If Bradley could work on his ball-handling, he has the potential to be one of the most effective points in the SEC.

Ben Hansbrough (Miss. State – Guard – Sophomore – 7.3ppg, 2.8rpg, 3.2apg) – Brother of National Player of the Year candidate Tyler Hansbrough of North Carolina, Ben shares his love for the game and drive to win with his older sibling. Hansbrough ranked second in the SEC from behind the arc as a freshman (41.2%) and sixth from the stripe (78.4%). Backing up Gordon at the point occasionally, Hansbrough also ranked eighth in the conference in the assist-to-turnover ratio category, with a 1.72:1 mark. If Hansbrough can continue shooting with the same accuracy and learn to drive and dish a little better, he could do big things as a starter for the Bulldogs.

Well, there you have it. Look for Second-Team All-SEC very soon.

Posted in Arkansas Basketball, College Basketball, Kentucky Basketball, LSU, LSU Basketball, Mississippi State, Mississippi State Basketball, Southeastern Conference, Sports, Tennessee, Tennessee Basketball, University of Arkansas, University of Kentucky | 1 Comment »

Schedule Breakdown: LSU

Posted by hoopsknowitall on September 11, 2007

Predicted wins and losses, with wins in bold and losses italicized.

vs. Southeastern Louisiana
vs. McNeese State
vs. Oklahoma State – Maui Invitational (Maui, HI)

vs. Marquette/Chaminade – Maui Invitational (Maui, HI)
vs. Nicholls State
vs. Southern
@ Villanova – Big East vs. SEC Challenge
vs. Northwestern State
@ Wichita State
vs. Oregon State
vs. Washington
@ Tulane
@ Texas A&M
—————————
vs. Mississippi State
@ Ole Miss
vs. Auburn
@ Vanderbilt
vs. Arkansas

@ Auburn
@ Alabama
vs. Tennessee
@ Florida

vs. Kentucky
@ Arkansas
vs. Ole Miss
@ South Carolina
vs. Georgia
vs. Alabama
@ Mississippi State

This scenario sees LSU going (11-18) and (3-13) on the season, with the bottom falling out in Baton Rouge and Brady likely being ushered out the door. Poor scheduling and an unfavorable SEC draw will cost the Tigers dearly this season. This would obviously leave LSU without a postseason bid.

Posted in College Basketball, LSU, LSU Basketball, Predictions, Schedule, Sports | Leave a Comment »

LSU releases schedule…

Posted by hoopsknowitall on August 22, 2007

Here’s how it shapes up…

vs. Southeastern Louisiana
vs. McNeese State
vs. Oklahoma State – Maui Invitational (Maui, Hawaii)
vs. Marquette or Chaminade – Maui Invitational (Maui, Hawaii)
TBA – Maui Invitational (Maui, Hawaii
)
vs. Nicholls State
vs. Southern
@ Villanova – Big East vs. SEC Challenge
vs. Northwestern State
@ Wichita State
vs. Oregon State
vs. Washington
@ Tulane
@ Texas A&M
————————-
vs. Tennessee
vs. Kentucky
vs. Georgia
@ Florida
@ Vanderbilt
@ South Carolina

This is quite an impressive schedule, especially considering Brady’s performace – or lack thereof – last season. The Maui Invitational will quickly give the nation a view of whether or not the Tigers will be contenders this season. Trips to Texas A&M and Wichita State will be matchups to watch, as will Washington at home.

The Tigers’ matchup versus the East couldn’t be better, as they will host what should be the top 3 teams from the division.

Posted in College Basketball, LSU, LSU Basketball, Schedule, Sports | Leave a Comment »